Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[92])
80	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	1.1	1.3882	0.832	1.9445	0.1549	0.4835	0.2278	0.4835
94	1.5	1.6587	0.8541	2.4633	0.3495	0.9132	0.8681	0.7357
95	2.2	1.7244	0.7288	2.72	0.1746	0.6707	0.8491	0.7385
96	2.9	1.5619	0.4497	2.6742	0.0092	0.1304	0.5435	0.6123
97	3.1	1.4637	0.2742	2.6532	0.0035	0.009	0.4111	0.5418
98	3.5	1.4075	0.1383	2.6766	6e-04	0.0045	0.3257	0.5046
99	3.6	1.3923	0.0286	2.7561	8e-04	0.0012	0.279	0.4956
100	4.4	1.4121	-0.042	2.8661	0	0.0016	0.3005	0.5065
101	4.2	1.3956	-0.1307	2.9218	2e-04	1e-04	0.3018	0.4977
102	5.2	1.6201	0.0309	3.2093	0	7e-04	0.6535	0.607
103	5.8	1.6234	-0.032	3.2787	0	0	0.6491	0.6043
104	5.9	1.5911	-0.1344	3.3167	0	0	0.5859	0.5859
105	5.4	1.6015	-0.1366	3.3396	0	0	0.7141	0.5899
106	5.5	1.4582	-0.2889	3.2053	0	0	0.4813	0.526
107	4.7	1.4182	-0.3371	3.1735	1e-04	0	0.1913	0.5081
108	3.1	1.5025	-0.2675	3.2724	0.0384	2e-04	0.0609	0.5452
109	2.6	1.5582	-0.2324	3.3489	0.1271	0.0457	0.0457	0.5687
110	2.3	1.5857	-0.2231	3.3945	0.2195	0.1359	0.019	0.5797
111	1.9	1.5876	-0.2345	3.4097	0.3684	0.2218	0.0152	0.58
112	0.6	1.5757	-0.2593	3.4108	0.1487	0.3645	0.0013	0.5744
113	0.6	1.587	-0.2642	3.4382	0.148	0.852	0.0028	0.5785
114	-0.4	1.4795	-0.3894	3.3484	0.0244	0.8218	0	0.5332
115	-1.1	1.4768	-0.4077	3.3614	0.0037	0.9745	0	0.5318
116	-1.7	1.4901	-0.4082	3.3884	5e-04	0.9963	0	0.5371
117	-0.8	1.4847	-0.4485	3.418	0.0103	0.9994	0	0.5342
118	-1.2	1.5569	-0.4142	3.5281	0.0031	0.9905	0	0.562
119	-1	1.5775	-0.4315	3.5865	0.006	0.9966	0.0012	0.5687
120	-0.1	1.5352	-0.5055	3.5759	0.0581	0.9926	0.0664	0.5517

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
93	0.2044	-0.2076	0	0.0831	0	0
94	0.2475	-0.0957	0.1517	0.0252	0.0541	0.2327
95	0.2946	0.2758	0.193	0.2262	0.1115	0.3339
96	0.3633	0.8567	0.3589	1.7904	0.5312	0.7288
97	0.4146	1.118	0.5107	2.6775	0.9605	0.98
98	0.4601	1.4867	0.6734	4.3787	1.5302	1.237
99	0.4997	1.5856	0.8037	4.8738	2.0078	1.417
100	0.5254	2.116	0.9678	8.9278	2.8728	1.6949
101	0.558	2.0095	1.0835	7.8647	3.4275	1.8513
102	0.5005	2.2097	1.1961	12.8157	4.3663	2.0896
103	0.5202	2.5728	1.3213	17.444	5.5552	2.3569
104	0.5533	2.7081	1.4368	18.5664	6.6395	2.5767
105	0.5537	2.3718	1.5088	14.4286	7.2386	2.6905
106	0.6113	2.7718	1.599	16.3363	7.8885	2.8086
107	0.6315	2.3141	1.6466	10.7702	8.0806	2.8426
108	0.601	1.0633	1.6102	2.5521	7.735	2.7812
109	0.5863	0.6686	1.5548	1.0853	7.3439	2.71
110	0.582	0.4505	1.4934	0.5102	6.9642	2.639
111	0.5856	0.1968	1.4252	0.0976	6.6028	2.5696
112	0.5942	-0.6192	1.3849	0.9521	6.3203	2.514
113	0.5952	-0.6219	1.3486	0.9741	6.0657	2.4629
114	0.6445	-1.2704	1.345	3.5326	5.9506	2.4394
115	0.6511	-1.7448	1.3624	6.6401	5.9805	2.4455
116	0.65	-2.1408	1.3948	10.1769	6.1554	2.481
117	0.6643	-1.5388	1.4006	5.2201	6.118	2.4735
118	0.6459	-1.7707	1.4148	7.6007	6.175	2.485
119	0.6498	-1.6339	1.4229	6.6436	6.1924	2.4884
120	0.6782	-1.0651	1.4102	2.6739	6.0667	2.4631