| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | ma2 | ma3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4275 | 0.106 | -0.2879 | -0.0541 | -0.5306 | 0.0408 |
| (p-val) | (0.3563 ) | (0.763 ) | (0.1306 ) | (0.9076 ) | (0.0077 ) | (0.8456 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3757 | 0.1382 | -0.2976 | 0 | -0.5426 | 0.0203 |
| (p-val) | (0.0017 ) | (0.4976 ) | (0.0768 ) | (NA ) | (0.001 ) | (0.8665 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3771 | 0.1337 | -0.278 | 0 | -0.5419 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0015 ) | (0.4995 ) | (0.0215 ) | (NA ) | (8e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.4023 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | -0.4475 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0254 ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 274.411807217272 |
| -1669.65463959914 |
| -3050.66875741723 |
| 1327.07068360396 |
| -5304.9176738304 |
| 6244.7218949873 |
| 30274.4535944519 |
| -7071.92692626615 |
| 10321.4545798100 |
| -4327.61379929893 |
| 1549.96966462449 |
| 4909.74725988169 |
| 1212.27449317222 |
| -2794.40476335470 |
| -1368.83868230165 |
| -5220.33925909834 |
| -1468.98001828487 |
| 4270.10740663308 |
| 24109.3640036155 |
| -867.903763377589 |
| 8093.84338943074 |
| 8248.07021175058 |
| -4809.00239341641 |
| 8465.11349520696 |
| -4354.79056550226 |
| 1549.82658363222 |
| -4169.32315421169 |
| -5374.64337981819 |
| -2485.02801228337 |
| 1858.85251228485 |
| 25253.7086474555 |
| -7101.94618252334 |
| 7424.96509778896 |
| -7564.90540052984 |
| -44.9560046851173 |
| 1344.50938422343 |
| -3499.93362315608 |
| -5202.94730476783 |
| -6933.0586639174 |
| -4143.76708171327 |
| -2916.60788225763 |
| -155.492919438674 |
| 24314.7239492490 |
| -5961.58776260509 |
| 834.527974587147 |
| -11802.9633270246 |
| -3299.04754403946 |
| -5523.01282972186 |
| -3336.90545320087 |
| -12973.6246331956 |
| -8691.98311863541 |
| -6892.98762517867 |
| -11632.5707353007 |
| -4323.80961861961 |
| 27777.1685006104 |
| -10072.0184802108 |
| -9063.26467099541 |
| -1356.20158744411 |
| -6821.9037099824 |
| 563.704590487003 |
| -4343.65182018408 |
| -8894.52245950908 |
| -7086.20104082886 |
| -3447.43913148608 |
| -12991.5741258419 |
| 6975.9544883749 |
| 20635.3364949956 |
| -6136.58115374192 |
| -6955.80200785532 |
| -227.248915481498 |
| -2262.29253951559 |
| 4067.83659467992 |
| -1518.89276995588 |
| -896.989215002861 |
| -1129.35330077918 |
| 121.127851435507 |
| -6508.00013386065 |
| 10346.9040516086 |
| 23735.7345256346 |
