Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	19406.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	18385.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	20739.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	22268.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	21569	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	17514.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	21124.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	21251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	21393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	22145.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	20310.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	23466.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	21264.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	18388.1	20354.9442	18795.1857	21914.7028	0.0067	0.1265	0.9933	0.1265
50	22635.4	22001.4017	20430.2374	23572.566	0.2145	1	0.9423	0.821
51	22014.3	24161.371	22539.3038	25783.4383	0.0047	0.9674	0.9889	0.9998
52	18422.7	23504.3063	21751.3223	25257.2903	0	0.9521	0.9848	0.9939
53	16120.2	19345.596	17516.1621	21175.0298	3e-04	0.8386	0.9751	0.0199
54	16037.7	22925.2253	21083.3073	24767.1432	0	1	0.9723	0.9614
55	16410.7	23273.2134	21340.9228	25205.5039	0	1	0.9799	0.9792
56	17749.8	22884.2642	20889.1384	24879.3899	0	1	0.9285	0.9442
57	16349.8	24188.4518	22155.4717	26221.4319	0	1	0.9756	0.9976
58	15662.3	22123.7315	20043.6744	24203.7886	0	1	0.9562	0.7909
59	17782.3	25680.3435	23538.5394	27822.1477	0	1	0.9786	1
60	16398.9	23070.0186	20885.5778	25254.4594	0	1	0.9474	0.9474

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0391	-0.0966	0.0081	3868476.2742	322373.0228	567.779
50	0.0364	0.0288	0.0024	401953.881	33496.1567	183.0196
51	0.0343	-0.0889	0.0074	4609914.0375	384159.5031	619.806
52	0.0381	-0.2162	0.018	25822722.5532	2151893.5461	1466.9334
53	0.0482	-0.1667	0.0139	10403179.157	866931.5964	931.0916
54	0.041	-0.3004	0.025	47438004.2397	3953167.02	1988.2573
55	0.0424	-0.2949	0.0246	47094089.5085	3924507.459	1981.037
56	0.0445	-0.2244	0.0187	26362722.1636	2196893.5136	1482.1921
57	0.0429	-0.3241	0.027	61444461.8638	5120371.822	2262.8239
58	0.048	-0.2921	0.0243	41750097.3425	3479174.7785	1865.2546
59	0.0426	-0.3076	0.0256	62379091.3066	5198257.6089	2279.9688
60	0.0483	-0.2892	0.0241	44503823.3212	3708651.9434	1925.7861