Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	122.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	122.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	124.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	127.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	129.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	133.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	135.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	126.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	121.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	121.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	113.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	120.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	118.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	122.22	117.1741	111.8879	122.4603	0.0307	0.2947	0.0237	0.2947
50	121.04	117.8642	110.3909	125.3376	0.2025	0.1267	0.0371	0.4204
51	122.52	117.7158	108.5639	126.8677	0.1518	0.2383	0.0197	0.4224
52	123.02	119.7162	109.1491	130.2833	0.27	0.3015	0.0358	0.5798
53	128.8	123.5359	111.7219	135.3499	0.1912	0.5341	0.0449	0.7922
54	126.41	125.3121	112.3709	138.2534	0.434	0.2987	0.0654	0.8442
55	119.65	119.7066	105.7286	133.6846	0.4968	0.1736	0.1751	0.56
56	117.56	117.0633	102.1204	132.0062	0.474	0.3672	0.2879	0.4186
57	119.35	116.6348	100.7856	132.484	0.3685	0.4545	0.2812	0.4026
58	116.78	112.9139	96.2075	129.6203	0.3251	0.2251	0.4759	0.2512
59	120.19	114.7031	97.1814	132.2248	0.2697	0.4081	0.249	0.3302
60	114.26	113.6411	95.3404	131.9418	0.4736	0.2415	0.2966	0.2966

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.023	0.0431	0	25.4608	0	0
50	0.0324	0.0269	0.035	10.0854	17.7731	4.2158
51	0.0397	0.0408	0.0369	23.0802	19.5421	4.4206
52	0.045	0.0276	0.0346	10.915	17.3854	4.1696
53	0.0488	0.0426	0.0362	27.7104	19.4504	4.4103
54	0.0527	0.0088	0.0316	1.2053	16.4095	4.0509
55	0.0596	-5e-04	0.0272	0.0032	14.0658	3.7504
56	0.0651	0.0042	0.0243	0.2467	12.3384	3.5126
57	0.0693	0.0233	0.0242	7.3724	11.7866	3.4332
58	0.0755	0.0342	0.0252	14.9467	12.1026	3.4789
59	0.0779	0.0478	0.0273	30.1058	13.7393	3.7067
60	0.0822	0.0054	0.0254	0.3831	12.6262	3.5533