Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	8.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	8	8.265	8.1705	8.3595	0	1	0	1
34	8	8.512	8.3403	8.6838	0	1	0.5547	1
35	8	8.581	8.3388	8.8232	0	1	0.744	1
36	7.9	8.3283	8.0697	8.5869	6e-04	0.9936	0.0965	0.9936
37	7.8	8.1628	7.907	8.4186	0.0027	0.978	0.0049	0.8939
38	7.8	8.0879	7.8216	8.3542	0.0171	0.9829	0.0012	0.7411
39	7.9	8.1783	7.897	8.4595	0.0262	0.9958	0.0125	0.893
40	8.1	8.511	8.2275	8.7946	0.0022	1	0.5304	0.9998
41	8	8.6044	8.315	8.8939	0	0.9997	0.5119	1
42	7.6	8.4735	8.1539	8.7931	0	0.9982	0.6739	0.9982
43	7.3	7.9803	7.6258	8.3348	1e-04	0.9822	0.254	0.4566
44	7	7.732	7.3637	8.1002	0	0.9892	0.0769	0.0769
45	6.8	7.7676	7.3822	8.1531	0	1	0.1187	0.1187
46	7	8.0292	7.6338	8.4247	0	1	0.5576	0.5576
47	7.1	8.2515	7.8444	8.6586	0	1	0.8871	0.8871
48	7.2	8.1904	7.7806	8.6003	0	1	0.9176	0.8188
49	7.1	8.1723	7.7624	8.5822	0	1	0.9625	0.795
50	6.9	8.1103	7.7016	8.519	0	1	0.9316	0.7016
51	6.7	8.0792	7.6703	8.4881	0	1	0.8049	0.6479
52	6.7	8.2406	7.8282	8.6531	0	1	0.7481	0.8736
53	6.6	8.0908	7.6697	8.5119	0	1	0.6637	0.6637
54	6.9	8.0986	7.6664	8.5309	0	1	0.9881	0.6727
55	7.3	7.9442	7.5032	8.3853	0.0021	1	0.9979	0.4022
56	7.5	7.9541	7.5091	8.3991	0.0227	0.998	1	0.4199
57	7.3	7.9119	7.4626	8.3612	0.0038	0.9638	1	0.3503
58	7.1	8.0132	7.5593	8.4671	0	0.999	1	0.5227
59	6.9	8.0938	7.6328	8.5547	0	1	1	0.6549
60	7.1	8.0761	7.6085	8.5437	0	1	0.9999	0.6251

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0058	-0.0321	0	0.0702	0	0
34	0.0103	-0.0602	0.0461	0.2622	0.1662	0.4077
35	0.0144	-0.0677	0.0533	0.3376	0.2233	0.4726
36	0.0158	-0.0514	0.0528	0.1834	0.2134	0.4619
37	0.016	-0.0444	0.0512	0.1317	0.197	0.4439
38	0.0168	-0.0356	0.0486	0.0829	0.178	0.4219
39	0.0175	-0.034	0.0465	0.0774	0.1636	0.4045
40	0.017	-0.0483	0.0467	0.169	0.1643	0.4053
41	0.0172	-0.0702	0.0493	0.3653	0.1866	0.432
42	0.0192	-0.1031	0.0547	0.763	0.2443	0.4942
43	0.0227	-0.0852	0.0575	0.4628	0.2641	0.5139
44	0.0243	-0.0947	0.0606	0.5358	0.2868	0.5355
45	0.0253	-0.1246	0.0655	0.9363	0.3367	0.5803
46	0.0251	-0.1282	0.07	1.0593	0.3883	0.6232
47	0.0252	-0.1396	0.0746	1.326	0.4509	0.6715
48	0.0255	-0.1209	0.0775	0.981	0.484	0.6957
49	0.0256	-0.1312	0.0807	1.1498	0.5231	0.7233
50	0.0257	-0.1492	0.0845	1.4648	0.5755	0.7586
51	0.0258	-0.1707	0.089	1.9023	0.6453	0.8033
52	0.0255	-0.187	0.0939	2.3736	0.7317	0.8554
53	0.0266	-0.1843	0.0982	2.2225	0.8027	0.8959
54	0.0272	-0.148	0.1005	1.4367	0.8315	0.9119
55	0.0283	-0.0811	0.0996	0.415	0.8134	0.9019
56	0.0285	-0.0571	0.0979	0.2062	0.7881	0.8878
57	0.029	-0.0773	0.097	0.3744	0.7716	0.8784
58	0.0289	-0.114	0.0977	0.8339	0.774	0.8798
59	0.0291	-0.1475	0.0995	1.4251	0.7981	0.8934
60	0.0295	-0.1209	0.1003	0.9528	0.8036	0.8964