Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	8.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	8	8.1392	7.9129	8.3655	0.1139	0.8861	9e-04	0.8861
34	8	8.4904	8.1393	8.8415	0.0031	0.9969	0.4786	0.9969
35	8	8.6555	8.212	9.0991	0.0019	0.9981	0.754	0.9981
36	7.9	8.6123	8.1667	9.0579	9e-04	0.9965	0.6894	0.9965
37	7.8	8.4441	7.9859	8.9022	0.0029	0.99	0.4054	0.9713
38	7.8	8.3087	7.8307	8.7868	0.0185	0.9815	0.2164	0.8972
39	7.9	8.287	7.8066	8.7674	0.0572	0.9765	0.1924	0.8792
40	8.1	8.3587	7.8753	8.8421	0.1471	0.9686	0.2834	0.9271
41	8	8.4455	7.9519	8.9392	0.0385	0.9149	0.2698	0.9615
42	7.6	8.4835	7.9845	8.9825	3e-04	0.9712	0.6285	0.9712
43	7.3	8.4619	7.963	8.9609	0	0.9996	0.9224	0.9652
44	7	8.4142	7.915	8.9134	0	1	0.9481	0.9481
45	6.8	8.3811	7.8816	8.8805	0	1	0.9326	0.9326
46	7	8.3806	7.8814	8.8798	0	1	0.9324	0.9324
47	7.1	8.4029	7.9029	8.9028	0	1	0.9429	0.9429
48	7.2	8.4256	7.9243	8.9269	0	1	0.9801	0.952
49	7.1	8.4331	7.9312	8.935	0	1	0.9933	0.9546
50	6.9	8.425	7.9232	8.9268	0	1	0.9927	0.9516
51	6.7	8.4117	7.9102	8.9133	0	1	0.9772	0.9462
52	6.7	8.404	7.9026	8.9053	0	1	0.8827	0.9429
53	6.6	8.4053	7.904	8.9065	0	1	0.9435	0.9435
54	6.9	8.4119	7.9105	8.9134	0	1	0.9992	0.9463
55	7.3	8.4177	7.916	8.9194	0	1	1	0.9487
56	7.5	8.419	7.9172	8.9208	2e-04	1	1	0.9491
57	7.3	8.4162	7.9145	8.918	0	0.9998	1	0.948
58	7.1	8.4126	7.911	8.9143	0	1	1	0.9465
59	6.9	8.4109	7.9093	8.9125	0	1	1	0.9458
60	7.1	8.4116	7.91	8.9132	0	1	1	0.9461

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0142	-0.0171	0	0.0194	0	0
34	0.0211	-0.0578	0.0374	0.2405	0.1299	0.3605
35	0.0261	-0.0757	0.0502	0.4297	0.2299	0.4794
36	0.0264	-0.0827	0.0583	0.5074	0.2992	0.547
37	0.0277	-0.0763	0.0619	0.4148	0.3224	0.5678
38	0.0294	-0.0612	0.0618	0.2588	0.3118	0.5584
39	0.0296	-0.0467	0.0596	0.1498	0.2886	0.5372
40	0.0295	-0.031	0.0561	0.0669	0.2609	0.5108
41	0.0298	-0.0528	0.0557	0.1985	0.254	0.504
42	0.03	-0.1041	0.0605	0.7805	0.3066	0.5537
43	0.0301	-0.1373	0.0675	1.3501	0.4015	0.6336
44	0.0303	-0.1681	0.0759	2	0.5347	0.7312
45	0.0304	-0.1886	0.0846	2.4997	0.6859	0.8282
46	0.0304	-0.1647	0.0903	1.906	0.773	0.8792
47	0.0304	-0.1551	0.0946	1.6975	0.8346	0.9136
48	0.0304	-0.1455	0.0978	1.5021	0.8764	0.9361
49	0.0304	-0.1581	0.1013	1.7772	0.9293	0.964
50	0.0304	-0.181	0.1058	2.3257	1.0069	1.0035
51	0.0304	-0.2035	0.1109	2.9301	1.1081	1.0527
52	0.0304	-0.2028	0.1155	2.9035	1.1979	1.0945
53	0.0304	-0.2148	0.1202	3.259	1.2961	1.1384
54	0.0304	-0.1797	0.1229	2.2859	1.341	1.158
55	0.0304	-0.1328	0.1234	1.2493	1.3371	1.1563
56	0.0304	-0.1092	0.1228	0.8445	1.3165	1.1474
57	0.0304	-0.1326	0.1232	1.246	1.3137	1.1462
58	0.0304	-0.156	0.1244	1.723	1.3295	1.153
59	0.0304	-0.1796	0.1265	2.2828	1.3648	1.1682
60	0.0304	-0.1559	0.1275	1.7204	1.3775	1.1737