Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 108.8 | NA | NA | 0.931589383338221 | NA |
2 | 128.4 | NA | NA | 1.07567516197286 | NA |
3 | 121.1 | NA | NA | 1.07522779088427 | NA |
4 | 119.5 | NA | NA | 1.02612324059806 | NA |
5 | 128.7 | NA | NA | 1.02207725546480 | NA |
6 | 108.7 | NA | NA | 0.958011024227935 | NA |
7 | 105.5 | 109.374607482350 | 114.954166666667 | 0.951462749493057 | 0.964574890172977 |
8 | 119.8 | 121.948216255011 | 114.8625 | 1.06168868216355 | 0.982384192889554 |
9 | 111.3 | 111.635304139402 | 114.654166666667 | 0.973669840224461 | 0.996996432786322 |
10 | 110.6 | 111.183928997099 | 114.504166666667 | 0.971003346286662 | 0.994748080928907 |
11 | 120.1 | 119.711506887963 | 113.995833333333 | 1.05013931989879 | 1.00324524452274 |
12 | 97.5 | 102.592191349491 | 113.570833333333 | 0.903332205447332 | 0.950364727738934 |
13 | 107.7 | 106.158491853821 | 113.954166666667 | 0.931589383338221 | 1.01452081806420 |
14 | 127.3 | 123.370977118604 | 114.691666666667 | 1.07567516197286 | 1.03184722187633 |
15 | 117.2 | 123.704957341235 | 115.05 | 1.07522779088427 | 0.947415548406103 |
16 | 119.8 | 118.312009640956 | 115.3 | 1.02612324059806 | 1.01257683276245 |
17 | 116.2 | 118.356546182824 | 115.8 | 1.02207725546480 | 0.981779240334603 |
18 | 111 | 111.253021901070 | 116.129166666667 | 0.958011024227935 | 0.997725707610038 |
19 | 112.4 | 110.857303600310 | 116.5125 | 0.951462749493057 | 1.01391605559208 |
20 | 130.6 | 123.956577345437 | 116.754166666667 | 1.06168868216355 | 1.05359475710635 |
21 | 109.1 | 114.211472258329 | 117.3 | 0.973669840224461 | 0.955245544451367 |
22 | 118.8 | 114.643128418245 | 118.066666666667 | 0.971003346286662 | 1.03625923017897 |
23 | 123.9 | 124.393378022512 | 118.454166666667 | 1.05013931989879 | 0.996033727595834 |
24 | 101.6 | 107.304574354575 | 118.7875 | 0.903332205447332 | 0.946837547337685 |
25 | 112.8 | 110.890189596693 | 119.033333333333 | 0.931589383338221 | 1.01722253709055 |
26 | 128 | 128.054646053027 | 119.045833333333 | 1.07567516197286 | 0.999573259895585 |
27 | 129.6 | 128.090990704884 | 119.129166666667 | 1.07522779088427 | 1.01178076058911 |
28 | 125.8 | 122.279686171268 | 119.166666666667 | 1.02612324059806 | 1.02878903225022 |
29 | 119.5 | 121.844384817097 | 119.2125 | 1.02207725546480 | 0.980759188692885 |
30 | 115.7 | 114.749762139502 | 119.779166666667 | 0.958011024227935 | 1.00828095712602 |
31 | 113.6 | 114.437182195277 | 120.275 | 0.951462749493057 | 0.992684351543637 |
32 | 129.7 | 127.451302590892 | 120.045833333333 | 1.06168868216355 | 1.01764358122197 |
33 | 112 | 116.686216435566 | 119.841666666667 | 0.973669840224461 | 0.959839160282018 |
34 | 116.8 | 116.415209525218 | 119.891666666667 | 0.971003346286662 | 1.00330532819853 |
35 | 127 | 125.907328875366 | 119.895833333333 | 1.05013931989879 | 1.00867837586894 |
36 | 112.1 | 108.414920190437 | 120.016666666667 | 0.903332205447332 | 1.03399052273515 |
37 | 114.2 | 112.035268213713 | 120.2625 | 0.931589383338221 | 1.01932187801932 |
38 | 121.1 | 129.130321215000 | 120.045833333333 | 1.07567516197286 | 0.937812272598394 |
39 | 131.6 | 129.363343590764 | 120.3125 | 1.07522779088427 | 1.01728972324890 |
40 | 125 | 123.925758869728 | 120.770833333333 | 1.02612324059806 | 1.00866842487042 |
41 | 120.4 | 123.139016007353 | 120.479166666667 | 1.02207725546480 | 0.977756716789184 |
42 | 117.7 | 115.444320132067 | 120.504166666667 | 0.958011024227935 | 1.01953911517996 |
43 | 117.5 | 114.401502342171 | 120.2375 | 0.951462749493057 | 1.02708441405394 |
44 | 120.6 | 127.668064030167 | 120.25 | 1.06168868216355 | 0.944637180144776 |
45 | 127.5 | 117.384013154394 | 120.558333333333 | 0.973669840224461 | 1.08617857384293 |
46 | 112.3 | 116.500172318018 | 119.979166666667 | 0.971003346286662 | 0.963947072056229 |
47 | 124.5 | 125.719178913884 | 119.716666666667 | 1.05013931989879 | 0.99030236337513 |
48 | 115.2 | 107.959490203524 | 119.5125 | 0.903332205447332 | 1.06706691355087 |
49 | 104.7 | 110.536961955511 | 118.654166666667 | 0.931589383338221 | 0.947194478188574 |
50 | 130.9 | 127.207551862974 | 118.258333333333 | 1.07567516197286 | 1.02902695699233 |
51 | 129.2 | 126.446788207990 | 117.6 | 1.07522779088427 | 1.02177367911853 |
52 | 113.5 | 119.697276015763 | 116.65 | 1.02612324059806 | 0.948225421479541 |
53 | 125.6 | 118.718531877467 | 116.154166666667 | 1.02207725546480 | 1.05796456554597 |
54 | 107.6 | 110.618339597519 | 115.466666666667 | 0.958011024227935 | 0.972713931446621 |
55 | 107 | NA | NA | 0.951462749493057 | NA |
56 | 121.6 | NA | NA | 1.06168868216355 | NA |
57 | 110.7 | NA | NA | 0.973669840224461 | NA |
58 | 106.3 | NA | NA | 0.971003346286662 | NA |
59 | 118.6 | NA | NA | 1.05013931989879 | NA |
60 | 104.6 | NA | NA | 0.903332205447332 | NA |