Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	93	98.4931	80.6683	116.3178	0.2729	0.6495	0.0687	0.6495
34	124	104.093	75.5378	132.6482	0.0859	0.7768	0.0031	0.7337
35	130	110.9558	74.7715	147.1401	0.1511	0.2399	0.0172	0.8063
36	124	115.3678	75.904	154.8316	0.3341	0.2337	0.0474	0.8441
37	115	117.0042	76.3871	157.6213	0.4615	0.3678	0.2061	0.8558
38	106	116.8463	75.7773	157.9154	0.3024	0.5351	0.3845	0.8514
39	105	116.0226	74.6456	157.3996	0.3008	0.6825	0.5004	0.8403
40	105	115.2622	73.5294	156.9951	0.3149	0.6851	0.4675	0.8294
41	101	114.8362	72.6364	157.036	0.2602	0.6761	0.5707	0.8216
42	95	114.7191	71.9556	157.4827	0.1831	0.7353	0.672	0.8169
43	93	114.7752	71.4019	158.1486	0.1626	0.8142	0.7181	0.8142
44	84	114.8791	70.8948	158.8633	0.0844	0.8352	0.8121	0.8121
45	87	114.9601	70.3854	159.5349	0.1095	0.9133	0.8329	0.8099
46	116	114.9991	69.8573	160.1409	0.4827	0.8879	0.348	0.8074
47	120	115.0051	69.3139	160.6963	0.4152	0.483	0.26	0.8046
48	117	114.9952	68.7654	161.2251	0.4661	0.416	0.3513	0.8017
49	109	114.9829	68.2207	161.7451	0.401	0.4663	0.4997	0.7989
50	105	114.9746	67.6844	162.2648	0.3397	0.5978	0.645	0.7961
51	107	114.9713	67.1573	162.7853	0.3719	0.6586	0.6586	0.7935
52	109	114.9714	66.6383	163.3045	0.4043	0.6267	0.657	0.791
53	109	114.9728	66.1258	163.8198	0.4053	0.5947	0.7125	0.7886
54	108	114.9742	65.6187	164.3297	0.3909	0.5938	0.7862	0.7862
55	107	114.975	65.1164	164.8336	0.3769	0.608	0.8062	0.7838
56	99	114.9752	64.6187	165.3318	0.267	0.6219	0.886	0.7816
57	103	114.9752	64.1257	165.8246	0.3222	0.731	0.8596	0.7793
58	131	114.975	63.6373	166.3126	0.2703	0.6762	0.4844	0.7772
59	137	114.9748	63.1536	166.7961	0.2024	0.2722	0.4246	0.775
60	135	114.9748	62.6744	167.2752	0.2265	0.2046	0.4698	0.7729

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0923	-0.0558	0	30.1739	0	0
34	0.14	0.1912	0.1235	396.2885	213.2312	14.6024
35	0.1664	0.1716	0.1396	362.6811	263.0479	16.2188
36	0.1745	0.0748	0.1234	74.5149	215.9146	14.694
37	0.1771	-0.0171	0.1021	4.0167	173.535	13.1733
38	0.1793	-0.0928	0.1006	117.643	164.2197	12.8148
39	0.182	-0.095	0.0998	121.4978	158.1166	12.5744
40	0.1847	-0.089	0.0984	105.3133	151.5162	12.3092
41	0.1875	-0.1205	0.1009	191.4406	155.9522	12.4881
42	0.1902	-0.1719	0.108	388.8434	179.2413	13.3881
43	0.1928	-0.1897	0.1154	474.1608	206.0522	14.3545
44	0.1953	-0.2688	0.1282	953.516	268.3408	16.3811
45	0.1978	-0.2432	0.137	781.77	307.8354	17.5452
46	0.2003	0.0087	0.1279	1.0018	285.9187	16.9091
47	0.2027	0.0434	0.1222	24.9493	268.5208	16.3866
48	0.2051	0.0174	0.1157	4.0191	251.9894	15.8742
49	0.2075	-0.052	0.112	35.7954	239.2721	15.4684
50	0.2099	-0.0868	0.1106	99.4931	231.5066	15.2153
51	0.2122	-0.0693	0.1084	63.5418	222.6664	14.922
52	0.2145	-0.0519	0.1056	35.6574	213.3159	14.6053
53	0.2168	-0.0519	0.103	35.6743	204.8568	14.3128
54	0.219	-0.0607	0.1011	48.6392	197.756	14.0626
55	0.2212	-0.0694	0.0997	63.6005	191.9231	13.8536
56	0.2235	-0.1389	0.1013	255.2084	194.56	13.9485
57	0.2256	-0.1042	0.1015	143.4046	192.5138	13.8749
58	0.2278	0.1394	0.1029	256.8012	194.9864	13.9638
59	0.23	0.1916	0.1062	485.108	205.7316	14.3433
60	0.2321	0.1742	0.1086	401.0104	212.7059	14.5844