Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	3.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	3.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	3.88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	4.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	4.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	4.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	4.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	4.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	4.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	4.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	4.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	4.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	4.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	4.86	4.9077	4.8132	5.0023	0.1612	0.9655	1	0.9655
34	4.87	4.9571	4.8019	5.1122	0.1358	0.8898	1	0.9583
35	5.01	5.0019	4.7815	5.2223	0.4714	0.8796	1	0.9471
36	5.03	5.0648	4.7548	5.3748	0.413	0.6355	1	0.9391
37	5.13	5.1347	4.7127	5.5568	0.4912	0.6867	1	0.9281
38	5.18	5.1909	4.6524	5.7293	0.4842	0.5877	0.9995	0.9115
39	5.21	5.2299	4.5806	5.8792	0.476	0.5599	0.9953	0.892
40	5.26	5.2649	4.5071	6.0226	0.495	0.5564	0.9801	0.8751
41	5.25	5.3053	4.435	6.1757	0.4504	0.5407	0.9413	0.8628
42	5.2	5.3478	4.3595	6.3362	0.3847	0.5769	0.9168	0.8524
43	5.16	5.3841	4.2766	6.4916	0.3458	0.6277	0.8904	0.8409
44	5.19	5.4125	4.188	6.6369	0.3609	0.6569	0.8285	0.8285
45	5.39	5.4379	4.0984	6.7774	0.4721	0.6416	0.8011	0.817
46	5.58	5.4645	4.0098	6.9192	0.4382	0.54	0.7884	0.8074
47	5.76	5.4912	3.9208	7.0616	0.3686	0.4559	0.726	0.7989
48	5.89	5.5149	3.8294	7.2004	0.3313	0.3878	0.7136	0.7905
49	5.98	5.5347	3.7358	7.3336	0.3138	0.3493	0.6704	0.7819
50	6.02	5.5525	3.6419	7.4631	0.3158	0.3305	0.6488	0.7738
51	5.62	5.5702	3.549	7.5913	0.4807	0.3313	0.6366	0.7665
52	4.87	5.5874	3.4566	7.7182	0.2547	0.488	0.6183	0.7599
53	4.24	5.6029	3.3637	7.8421	0.1164	0.7394	0.6213	0.7534
54	4.02	5.6164	3.2705	7.9624	0.0911	0.8749	0.636	0.7471
55	3.74	5.6287	3.1776	8.0798	0.0655	0.9008	0.6461	0.7411
56	3.45	5.6405	3.0857	8.1953	0.0464	0.9276	0.6352	0.7355
57	3.34	5.6517	2.9945	8.3089	0.0441	0.9478	0.5765	0.7302
58	3.21	5.662	2.9038	8.4201	0.0407	0.9505	0.5232	0.7252
59	3.12	5.6711	2.8135	8.5287	0.0401	0.9543	0.4757	0.7203
60	3.04	5.6795	2.724	8.635	0.04	0.9552	0.4445	0.7157

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0098	-0.0097	0	0.0023	0	0
34	0.016	-0.0176	0.0136	0.0076	0.0049	0.0702
35	0.0225	0.0016	0.0096	1e-04	0.0033	0.0575
36	0.0312	-0.0069	0.0089	0.0012	0.0028	0.0528
37	0.0419	-9e-04	0.0073	0	0.0022	0.0472
38	0.0529	-0.0021	0.0065	1e-04	0.0019	0.0433
39	0.0633	-0.0038	0.0061	4e-04	0.0017	0.0408
40	0.0734	-9e-04	0.0054	0	0.0015	0.0382
41	0.0837	-0.0104	0.006	0.0031	0.0016	0.0405
42	0.0943	-0.0276	0.0082	0.0219	0.0037	0.0605
43	0.1049	-0.0416	0.0112	0.0502	0.0079	0.0889
44	0.1154	-0.0411	0.0137	0.0495	0.0114	0.1066
45	0.1257	-0.0088	0.0133	0.0023	0.0107	0.1033
46	0.1358	0.0211	0.0139	0.0133	0.0109	0.1042
47	0.1459	0.0489	0.0162	0.0722	0.0149	0.1223
48	0.1559	0.068	0.0195	0.1407	0.0228	0.151
49	0.1658	0.0805	0.023	0.1983	0.0331	0.182
50	0.1756	0.0842	0.0264	0.2185	0.0434	0.2084
51	0.1851	0.0089	0.0255	0.0025	0.0413	0.2032
52	0.1946	-0.1284	0.0307	0.5146	0.0649	0.2548
53	0.2039	-0.2432	0.0408	1.8575	0.1503	0.3877
54	0.2131	-0.2842	0.0519	2.5486	0.2593	0.5092
55	0.2222	-0.3355	0.0642	3.5672	0.4031	0.6349
56	0.2311	-0.3883	0.0777	4.7982	0.5863	0.7657
57	0.2399	-0.409	0.0909	5.344	0.7766	0.8812
58	0.2485	-0.4331	0.1041	6.0122	0.9779	0.9889
59	0.2571	-0.4498	0.1169	6.5083	1.1828	1.0876
60	0.2655	-0.4647	0.1293	6.9668	1.3893	1.1787