| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.472 | -0.0926 | 0.0788 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.1119 ) | (0.1417 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4664 | -0.0569 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.2834 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4417 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.254999841149589 |
| 22.5766185386395 |
| 8.56515337806722 |
| 31.5452103054886 |
| 17.7906436509351 |
| 5.21119570659613 |
| -11.3107360258947 |
| -4.39651392060296 |
| -3.24651650131062 |
| -3.59496635814503 |
| -9.07800360360409 |
| -0.242308633239247 |
| -3.78789669910873 |
| -1.28958736455934 |
| -1.23947889419389 |
| -10.9921184957860 |
| 0.0490481926026973 |
| -6.7640100564588 |
| -1.69603769325795 |
| -12.8705956588003 |
| -1.75763720014032 |
| -1.32974283028813 |
| 0.674368882023771 |
| -1.33052948618842 |
| -3.65157876376395 |
| -2.17975494157304 |
| -5.33231994204067 |
| -0.468345572143846 |
| -0.665761394427761 |
| 5.38708121928886 |
| 19.6997754332403 |
| 16.6062858743919 |
| -0.355074933803905 |
| 1.37592524053889 |
| 2.62895253974557 |
| 0.273169339231572 |
| -12.5882132269202 |
| 11.2640852176488 |
| -10.2888619412429 |
| -1.71654567294149 |
| 4.07378160360582 |
| -3.53432446736787 |
| 8.08652256146956 |
| -6.44908731048611 |
| -9.16160293820366 |
| -0.945807877855884 |
| -11.6739170805695 |
| -3.69913454826758 |
| 0.485810303372716 |
| -14.6183263948954 |
| 1.58831357738728 |
| -0.622160493958205 |
| -1.84012684513021 |
| 2.18183406802459 |
| -4.06095918197511 |
| 0.0483786870314304 |
| -0.347153954962039 |
| 0.728752958942181 |
| -3.43776303946609 |
| 10.5152755204117 |
| -6.17975207031725 |
| 12.7515222859533 |
| -4.31950151179672 |
| 0.435453043677796 |
| 0.422651413295682 |
| -2.0161404120787 |
| -2.03201370819306 |
| 2.55020119480349 |
| -2.17130771357614 |
| -1.57306954882992 |
| 0.0931081638109958 |
| 0.78893234765954 |
| 1.41559568286536 |
| 0.83554157340825 |
| -0.449553243867285 |
| -4.10226401526245 |
| 1.52366970191923 |
| -0.846669898267095 |
| -0.949624413670392 |
| 2.06082733965363 |
| -2.97357172883861 |
| 2.11143799002767 |
| 1.80843673071209 |
| -3.2625040764982 |
| 5.5626359188197 |
| 3.32263328998195 |
| -4.51496928656417 |
| 2.33898434021427 |
| 0.708436730712037 |
| 2.95054997785576 |
| 0.841507845411968 |
| -1.62028760763161 |
| 1.76301675379170 |
| 0.253842779026456 |
| -1.44581893520620 |
| 1.56425198314582 |
| -0.528988022986596 |
| 2.05688658754661 |
| -0.532825553370685 |
| -0.872791935580778 |
| -0.404115143633135 |
| 0.827620951310962 |
| 0.0212843416200599 |
| -5.31148053923232 |
| 1.24241241502773 |
| 1.36388507677992 |
| -1.68131795940985 |
| -7.22437069934483 |
| 23.8754444118443 |
| 73.988105250424 |
| -17.5772342367028 |
| -11.5420359492181 |
| 0.432093267411688 |
| -1.76781896624431 |
| -6.02933680603883 |
| -10.2772238103463 |
| -13.7186996038384 |
| 6.67372149115295 |
| 3.27792460445102 |
| -2.37579319489652 |
| -2.61536061882094 |
| -6.48825234480341 |
| -2.09168748558045 |
| -7.23749249218054 |
| -5.73428478941906 |
| 2.73611128857789 |
| -2.9511519482661 |
| -8.37471423375462 |
| 8.25354417120786 |
| 4.02919027172481 |
| -14.7631840793542 |
| 2.86102748052247 |
| 10.8632405571649 |
| -4.58711746591644 |
| -6.06536929878456 |
| 10.7487490247186 |
| -5.76114119953019 |
| -0.222430277857313 |
| 6.79722330744403 |
| -7.27708909676898 |
| 3.25827178253604 |
| 0.835616174532674 |
| 3.05157876376398 |
| 1.65960260758425 |
| 2.57131821086091 |
| 7.16871590983112 |
| -5.18257474339907 |
| 8.70693858010134 |
| 1.18131033338085 |
| -1.40644326273519 |
| 5.88649050954973 |
| -8.08243946975625 |
| -4.45142879812875 |
| -2.90237430294889 |
| -11.1167954289784 |
| 9.35525295997218 |
| -4.35377237260974 |
| 5.92623995102923 |
| -9.75255450318286 |
| 3.12451016769529 |
| 5.1588869181661 |
| 1.39388033103972 |
| 6.18248908492438 |
| -6.06952068904519 |
| 1.49734122115950 |
| 0.439688768961162 |
| -8.744583705852 |
| 3.59295189559867 |
| 0.103029116527694 |
| 2.39068025430726 |
| -8.88991858436327 |
| 6.73928350809837 |
| -6.33726505416513 |
| 0.969517257723965 |
| -5.74965303426899 |
| -5.32883462603007 |
| 0.230935307116738 |
| 2.43173952626535 |
| -4.13501496750871 |
| -3.18119661437311 |
| 6.35105558918571 |
| -0.278630559970793 |
| -6.38821322692013 |
| 0.872326002199657 |
| 5.36193072668635 |
| -5.84686584442824 |
| 4.60550033862251 |
| -5.3584175534636 |
| -5.6273963845513 |
| -1.17712058862332 |
| -8.43348057027043 |
| 1.75477940056203 |
| -0.515240037170656 |
| 10.4061015456465 |
| -3.73239167190931 |
| 1.60245309878104 |
| 3.05726742251863 |
| 0.259602607584213 |
| 0.82429609822043 |
| -5.3915346486894 |
| 1.62411120940956 |
| -7.74656667654412 |
| 5.39819904686297 |
| 3.41674161910262 |
| 2.91025580716288 |
| -2.16469692195747 |
| -1.06892578459829 |
| 0.747289228604785 |
| 1.77371749976618 |
| 5.41950438305253 |
| 71.469684023221 |
| 79.6039161938235 |
| -51.0977418097444 |
| 6.70549043026955 |
| 3.44797972874568 |
| -11.5380301554304 |
| 6.44616484700259 |
| -17.7151263181630 |
| -4.85981192228587 |
| 2.54386095047033 |
| -1.29738033904277 |
| -0.143626089746874 |
| -2.92357697748099 |
| 3.84701161535577 |
| -6.80142774419403 |
| -10.3982019181188 |
| 0.697131143071374 |
| -4.56650913576573 |
| -14.8983623810388 |
| 9.10952674920424 |
| -5.60185189175706 |
| -0.360396329448065 |
| -7.45479696381028 |
| 3.14038689513103 |
| -5.99231101062588 |
| 3.67106215224698 |
| -6.49635498445582 |
| 3.81543941465299 |
| -6.93730760336962 |
| 5.30769318408181 |
| -2.16639884807927 |
| 2.06301675379166 |
| 18.8139189460208 |
| 29.1493281170420 |
| 4.79800904653433 |
| 24.0451929455468 |
| 6.3444940559906 |
| -3.41357339096908 |
| -5.9745606334771 |
| -19.8414185522951 |
| 1.29847722017752 |
| -11.3288745072998 |
| -7.48322920023338 |
| 0.335424219758352 |
| 7.65168884812948 |
| -10.4942869153546 |
| -4.30722592724868 |
| -5.84301725669388 |
| 2.3302161863773 |
| -6.52373744040108 |
| -5.36036427752816 |
| -8.1632728124057 |
| 2.87918215182663 |
| -3.28610624325637 |
| 0.459624162219200 |
| -0.391737660813988 |
| 5.06391369737844 |
| -3.27860193937227 |
| 3.63946839690919 |
| -8.80948363993406 |
| 3.51642565135666 |
| 0.425680529823467 |
| -3.87881888010293 |
| 10.5779539884359 |
| -18.8501767689127 |
| 8.26927589110238 |
| 18.0087317038885 |
| 4.75511999751967 |
| -9.69194390093895 |
| -2.06843753319566 |
| -3.264878379447 |
| -7.8067565625463 |
| 5.86262885285618 |
| -1.46848504049439 |
| -10.3213875633430 |
| 2.68595683768666 |
| -6.97120106053194 |
| 0.226304054868820 |
| 2.22491885987944 |
| -1.43604375341698 |
| -0.805247151264268 |
| -7.18012527926027 |
| 0.423114475421073 |
| 6.90785288361548 |
| -8.8281838038381 |
| -2.0125337510313 |
| -0.0569257054299896 |
| -0.310654765448646 |
| -2.35304905716259 |
| -6.29757209049626 |
| 5.64450203876413 |
| -0.49939879297608 |
| -9.03557362532808 |
| 15.8146777447091 |
| -2.45194279887414 |
| -8.26687164410305 |
| 7.50391632621614 |
| -7.03428191816323 |
| 1.66063901952151 |
| -4.79992539887564 |
| 3.23991333572087 |
| -5.14515705566384 |
| 18.2091028049621 |
| -15.2595466898391 |
| 5.31396988464087 |
| 6.65357909438342 |
| -10.5468978963481 |
| 3.13818012106572 |
| 1.17595289443000 |
| -2.94046856221883 |
| 0.94670195018682 |
| -9.43755659602016 |
| -0.227097216667232 |
| 11.2107648498142 |
| -3.03924095889374 |
| -3.84679047991733 |
| 9.37579319489646 |
| -6.14952881797637 |
| -6.14827127060079 |
| -4.6451494296349 |
| 16.1399167670421 |
| -6.43086490069999 |
| 0.328148320596881 |
| -3.21343488932581 |
| -4.63695119428854 |
| 2.49834481779050 |
| 27.0405857125479 |
| -23.6444461210189 |
| 13.5369031058933 |
| 19.2616880366129 |
| -1.48161768735946 |
| 5.86300645982789 |
| -11.7515005279974 |
| 19.1194980804755 |
| -10.8693791128254 |
| 2.47436621408889 |
| -15.5991030564132 |
| 1.38275676095412 |
| 1.52914065655671 |
| -5.99001837476487 |
| 15.3881281285110 |
| -7.15338447167426 |
| 6.84223116085906 |
| -21.8097507558983 |
| 8.83273758370564 |
| 3.30003128853343 |
| -4.28168829709711 |
| -2.18832694592783 |
| 3.50160556704139 |
| -5.63192860978387 |
