Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 102.86 | 103.08547145967 | 0.0731892146297798 | 102.561339325700 | 0.225471459669947 |
2 | 102.55 | 102.551112589115 | -0.04377717818096 | 102.592664589066 | 0.00111258911509537 |
3 | 102.28 | 101.966754085832 | -0.0307439382634395 | 102.623989852431 | -0.313245914167993 |
4 | 102.26 | 101.889815981638 | -0.0209319035555342 | 102.651115921917 | -0.37018401836157 |
5 | 102.57 | 102.442877944103 | 0.0188800644945374 | 102.678241991403 | -0.127122055897331 |
6 | 103.08 | 103.528165216000 | -0.0689499181799595 | 102.700784702180 | 0.448165215999566 |
7 | 102.76 | 102.885452635589 | -0.0887800485473834 | 102.723327412958 | 0.125452635589411 |
8 | 102.51 | 102.374200378563 | -0.0999361373969808 | 102.745735758834 | -0.135799621436931 |
9 | 102.87 | 103.014948343729 | -0.0430924484393207 | 102.768144104710 | 0.144948343729482 |
10 | 103.14 | 103.517590574046 | -0.0138632058109881 | 102.776272631765 | 0.377590574046323 |
11 | 103.12 | 103.334233244828 | 0.121365596352626 | 102.784401158820 | 0.214233244827867 |
12 | 103.16 | 103.387806442080 | 0.196640115483002 | 102.735553442437 | 0.227806442080208 |
13 | 102.48 | 102.200105059316 | 0.0731892146297798 | 102.686705726054 | -0.279894940683832 |
14 | 102.57 | 102.576139417176 | -0.04377717818096 | 102.607637761005 | 0.00613941717639932 |
15 | 102.88 | 103.262174142308 | -0.0307439382634395 | 102.528569795955 | 0.382174142308372 |
16 | 102.63 | 102.859174479712 | -0.0209319035555342 | 102.421757423843 | 0.229174479712071 |
17 | 102.38 | 102.426174883774 | 0.0188800644945374 | 102.314945051732 | 0.0461748837736025 |
18 | 101.69 | 101.260580368539 | -0.0689499181799595 | 102.188369549641 | -0.429419631461244 |
19 | 101.96 | 101.946986000997 | -0.0887800485473834 | 102.061794047551 | -0.0130139990031637 |
20 | 102.19 | 102.531792863875 | -0.0999361373969808 | 101.948143273522 | 0.341792863874502 |
21 | 101.87 | 101.948599948945 | -0.0430924484393207 | 101.834492499494 | 0.0785999489448983 |
22 | 101.6 | 101.455850286774 | -0.0138632058109881 | 101.758012919037 | -0.144149713226426 |
23 | 101.63 | 101.457101065067 | 0.121365596352626 | 101.681533338580 | -0.172898934933031 |
24 | 101.22 | 100.596619951157 | 0.196640115483002 | 101.64673993336 | -0.623380048843075 |
25 | 101.21 | 100.734864257230 | 0.0731892146297798 | 101.611946528140 | -0.475135742769538 |
26 | 101.49 | 101.435740464715 | -0.04377717818096 | 101.588036713466 | -0.0542595352851691 |
27 | 101.64 | 101.746617039471 | -0.0307439382634395 | 101.564126898792 | 0.106617039470947 |
28 | 101.66 | 101.791104664448 | -0.0209319035555342 | 101.549827239107 | 0.131104664448500 |
29 | 101.77 | 101.985592356084 | 0.0188800644945374 | 101.535527579422 | 0.215592356083889 |
30 | 101.82 | 102.155838830403 | -0.0689499181799595 | 101.553111087777 | 0.33583883040302 |
31 | 101.78 | 102.078085452415 | -0.0887800485473834 | 101.570694596132 | 0.29808545241508 |
32 | 101.28 | 101.015917993642 | -0.0999361373969808 | 101.644018143755 | -0.264082006357768 |
33 | 101.29 | 100.905750757062 | -0.0430924484393207 | 101.717341691377 | -0.384249242937884 |
34 | 101.37 | 100.899097992791 | -0.0138632058109881 | 101.854765213020 | -0.470902007208849 |
35 | 101.12 | 100.126445668985 | 0.121365596352626 | 101.992188734662 | -0.993554331015119 |
36 | 101.51 | 100.614840442413 | 0.196640115483002 | 102.208519442104 | -0.895159557587135 |
37 | 102.24 | 101.981960635824 | 0.0731892146297798 | 102.424850149546 | -0.258039364175559 |
38 | 102.94 | 103.181383832347 | -0.04377717818096 | 102.742393345834 | 0.241383832347367 |
39 | 103.09 | 103.150807396142 | -0.0307439382634395 | 103.059936542121 | 0.0608073961420388 |
40 | 103.46 | 103.510837120658 | -0.0209319035555342 | 103.430094782898 | 0.0508371206579739 |
41 | 103.64 | 103.460866911832 | 0.0188800644945374 | 103.800253023674 | -0.179133088168257 |
42 | 104.39 | 104.753929478628 | -0.0689499181799595 | 104.095020439552 | 0.363929478627526 |
43 | 104.15 | 103.998992193116 | -0.0887800485473834 | 104.389787855431 | -0.151007806883740 |
44 | 105.21 | 106.025943876246 | -0.0999361373969808 | 104.493992261151 | 0.815943876245598 |
45 | 105.8 | 107.044895781568 | -0.0430924484393207 | 104.598196666872 | 1.24489578156769 |
46 | 105.91 | 107.331425829351 | -0.0138632058109881 | 104.502437376460 | 1.42142582935124 |
47 | 105.39 | 106.251956317599 | 0.121365596352626 | 104.406678086048 | 0.861956317599493 |
48 | 105.46 | 106.60856178864 | 0.196640115483002 | 104.114798095877 | 1.14856178864007 |
49 | 104.72 | 105.543892679664 | 0.0731892146297798 | 103.822918105706 | 0.82389267966424 |
50 | 103.14 | 102.978936228574 | -0.04377717818096 | 103.344840949607 | -0.161063771426356 |
51 | 102.63 | 102.423980144755 | -0.0307439382634395 | 102.866763793509 | -0.206019855245202 |
52 | 102.32 | 102.362638044278 | -0.0209319035555342 | 102.298293859278 | 0.0426380442775667 |
53 | 101.93 | 102.111296010458 | 0.0188800644945374 | 101.729823925047 | 0.181296010458183 |
54 | 100.62 | 100.129552701452 | -0.0689499181799595 | 101.179397216728 | -0.490447298548105 |
55 | 100.6 | 100.659809540139 | -0.0887800485473834 | 100.628970508409 | 0.0598095401385308 |
56 | 99.63 | 99.2821965412 | -0.0999361373969808 | 100.077739596197 | -0.347803458799959 |
57 | 98.9 | 98.3165837644543 | -0.0430924484393207 | 99.526508683985 | -0.583416235545698 |
58 | 98.32 | 97.676922855797 | -0.0138632058109881 | 98.976940350014 | -0.643077144202948 |
59 | 99.22 | 99.8912623876045 | 0.121365596352626 | 98.4273720160429 | 0.671262387604514 |
60 | 98.81 | 99.5402529831572 | 0.196640115483002 | 97.8831069013598 | 0.730252983157214 |