Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	7.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	7.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	7.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	6.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	6.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	6.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	6.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	7.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	7.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	7.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	6.9	7.3889	6.8132	7.9647	0.048	0.3527	0.9073	0.3527
51	6.6	7.3581	6.424	8.2922	0.0558	0.8318	0.7738	0.3829
52	6.9	7.3495	6.1326	8.5665	0.2345	0.8863	0.5952	0.4043
53	7.7	7.3472	5.895	8.7993	0.317	0.7269	0.5254	0.4183
54	8	7.3465	5.6906	9.0024	0.2196	0.3378	0.6148	0.4279
55	8	7.3463	5.5087	9.1839	0.2428	0.2428	0.72	0.4349
56	7.7	7.3463	5.3433	9.3492	0.3646	0.2612	0.8228	0.4402
57	7.3	7.3462	5.1905	9.502	0.4832	0.3739	0.8714	0.4444
58	7.4	7.3462	5.0479	9.6446	0.4817	0.5157	0.7647	0.4478
59	8.1	7.3462	4.9136	9.7789	0.2718	0.4827	0.3878	0.4507
60	8.3	7.3462	4.7863	9.9061	0.2326	0.2819	0.3358	0.4531
61	8.2	7.3462	4.6651	10.0274	0.2663	0.2428	0.4553	0.4553

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0398	-0.0662	0	0.2391	0	0
51	0.0648	-0.103	0.0846	0.5747	0.4069	0.6379
52	0.0845	-0.0612	0.0768	0.2021	0.3386	0.5819
53	0.1008	0.048	0.0696	0.1245	0.2851	0.5339
54	0.115	0.089	0.0735	0.4271	0.3135	0.5599
55	0.1276	0.089	0.0761	0.4273	0.3325	0.5766
56	0.1391	0.0482	0.0721	0.1251	0.3028	0.5503
57	0.1497	-0.0063	0.0638	0.0021	0.2652	0.515
58	0.1596	0.0073	0.0576	0.0029	0.2361	0.4859
59	0.1689	0.1026	0.0621	0.5682	0.2693	0.5189
60	0.1778	0.1298	0.0682	0.9097	0.3275	0.5723
61	0.1862	0.1162	0.0722	0.7289	0.361	0.6008