Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1901 | 2064.41089920635 | 218.213904537347 | 1519.37519625631 | 163.410899206348 |
2 | 1395 | 1318.97132895013 | -85.6487898234341 | 1556.67746087331 | -76.0286710498722 |
3 | 1639 | 1455.33204676043 | 228.688227749267 | 1593.97972549031 | -183.667953239574 |
4 | 1643 | 1496.43158022568 | 160.274866291010 | 1629.29355348331 | -146.568419774322 |
5 | 1751 | 1869.73121302426 | -32.3385945005743 | 1664.60738147632 | 118.731213024258 |
6 | 1797 | 1923.91682559587 | -27.6404702830841 | 1697.72364468722 | 126.916825595869 |
7 | 1373 | 1237.90242522798 | -222.742333126094 | 1730.83990789811 | -135.097574772020 |
8 | 1558 | 1567.52465330036 | -214.790326887499 | 1763.26567358714 | 9.52465330036284 |
9 | 1555 | 1566.94685327191 | -252.638292548066 | 1795.69143927616 | 11.9468532719086 |
10 | 2061 | 2417.46546724876 | -114.77101756095 | 1819.30555031219 | 356.465467248765 |
11 | 2010 | 2126.18424917732 | 50.8960894744706 | 1842.91966134821 | 116.184249177317 |
12 | 2119 | 2105.43550890742 | 292.496748918216 | 1840.06774217436 | -13.5644910925760 |
13 | 1985 | 1914.57027246215 | 218.213904537347 | 1837.21582300051 | -70.429727537854 |
14 | 1963 | 2187.76201217304 | -85.6487898234341 | 1823.88677765039 | 224.762012173040 |
15 | 2017 | 1994.75403995045 | 228.688227749267 | 1810.55773230028 | -22.2459600495474 |
16 | 1975 | 1993.26819115769 | 160.274866291010 | 1796.45694255130 | 18.2681911576869 |
17 | 1589 | 1427.98244169825 | -32.3385945005743 | 1782.35615280233 | -161.017558301751 |
18 | 1679 | 1603.67592750730 | -27.6404702830841 | 1781.96454277578 | -75.3240724926954 |
19 | 1392 | 1225.16940037686 | -222.742333126094 | 1781.57293274923 | -166.830599623140 |
20 | 1511 | 1438.63577105709 | -214.790326887499 | 1798.15455583041 | -72.364228942907 |
21 | 1449 | 1335.90211363649 | -252.638292548066 | 1814.73617891158 | -113.097886363511 |
22 | 1767 | 1813.05374455668 | -114.77101756095 | 1835.71727300427 | 46.0537445566822 |
23 | 1899 | 1890.40554342857 | 50.8960894744706 | 1856.69836709696 | -8.59445657142896 |
24 | 2179 | 2190.81118739763 | 292.496748918216 | 1874.69206368416 | 11.811187397627 |
25 | 2217 | 2323.10033519130 | 218.213904537347 | 1892.68576027136 | 106.100335191297 |
26 | 2049 | 2276.82477741351 | -85.6487898234341 | 1906.82401240993 | 227.824777413509 |
27 | 2343 | 2536.34950770224 | 228.688227749267 | 1920.96226454850 | 193.349507702238 |
28 | 2175 | 2257.08099473867 | 160.274866291010 | 1932.64413897032 | 82.080994738667 |
29 | 1607 | 1302.01258110842 | -32.3385945005743 | 1944.32601339215 | -304.987418891576 |
30 | 1702 | 1472.43427313654 | -27.6404702830841 | 1959.20619714654 | -229.565726863457 |
31 | 1764 | 1776.65595222516 | -222.742333126094 | 1974.08638090093 | 12.6559522251612 |
32 | 1766 | 1742.33570518474 | -214.790326887499 | 2004.45462170276 | -23.6642948152632 |
33 | 1615 | 1447.81543004348 | -252.638292548066 | 2034.82286250459 | -167.184569956525 |
34 | 1953 | 1937.46344745476 | -114.77101756095 | 2083.30757010619 | -15.5365525452366 |
35 | 2091 | 1999.31163281775 | 50.8960894744706 | 2131.79227770778 | -91.6883671822532 |
36 | 2411 | 2350.94570929048 | 292.496748918216 | 2178.55754179130 | -60.0542907095196 |
37 | 2550 | 2656.46328958783 | 218.213904537347 | 2225.32280587482 | 106.463289587829 |
38 | 2351 | 2538.51480898551 | -85.6487898234341 | 2249.13398083792 | 187.514808985514 |
39 | 2786 | 3070.36661644972 | 228.688227749267 | 2272.94515580102 | 284.366616449717 |
40 | 2525 | 2611.73542231799 | 160.274866291010 | 2277.989711391 | 86.7354223179877 |
41 | 2474 | 2697.30432751959 | -32.3385945005743 | 2283.03426698099 | 223.304327519587 |
42 | 2332 | 2431.74492886365 | -27.6404702830841 | 2259.89554141944 | 99.7449288636453 |
43 | 1978 | 1941.98551726820 | -222.742333126094 | 2236.75681585789 | -36.0144827317968 |
44 | 1789 | 1609.54354022380 | -214.790326887499 | 2183.24678666370 | -179.456459776205 |
45 | 1904 | 1930.90153507855 | -252.638292548066 | 2129.73675746952 | 26.9015350785498 |
46 | 1997 | 2028.49697897619 | -114.77101756095 | 2080.27403858476 | 31.4969789761894 |
47 | 2207 | 2332.29259082552 | 50.8960894744706 | 2030.81131970000 | 125.292590825525 |
48 | 2453 | 2602.47319399733 | 292.496748918216 | 2011.03005708445 | 149.473193997335 |
49 | 1948 | 1686.53730099376 | 218.213904537347 | 1991.24879446889 | -261.46269900624 |
50 | 1384 | 863.170973067734 | -85.6487898234341 | 1990.4778167557 | -520.829026932266 |
51 | 1989 | 1759.60493320823 | 228.688227749267 | 1989.70683904251 | -229.395066791774 |
52 | 2140 | 2137.01848590348 | 160.274866291010 | 1982.70664780551 | -2.98151409651564 |
53 | 2100 | 2256.63213793207 | -32.3385945005743 | 1975.70645656850 | 156.632137932071 |
54 | 2045 | 2148.95550552802 | -27.6404702830841 | 1968.68496475506 | 103.955505528023 |
55 | 2083 | 2427.07886018448 | -222.742333126094 | 1961.66347294162 | 344.078860184476 |
56 | 2022 | 2300.77756012426 | -214.790326887499 | 1958.01276676324 | 278.77756012426 |
57 | 1950 | 2198.27623196321 | -252.638292548066 | 1954.36206058486 | 248.276231963207 |
58 | 1422 | 1008.60408040375 | -114.77101756095 | 1950.1669371572 | -413.395919596250 |
59 | 1859 | 1721.13209679599 | 50.8960894744706 | 1945.97181372954 | -137.867903204011 |
60 | 2147 | 2062.08536691704 | 292.496748918216 | 1939.41788416474 | -84.9146330829583 |