Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[50])
38	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	3	5.5	-2.0893	13.0893	0.2593	0.2593	0.0015	0.2593
52	0	5.5	-5.2328	16.2329	0.1576	0.676	0.0023	0.324
53	5	7.7501	-5.395	20.8951	0.3409	0.8761	0.0467	0.4851
54	1	9.5001	-5.6785	24.6787	0.1362	0.7194	0.0533	0.5768
55	1	8.5002	-8.47	25.4703	0.1932	0.8068	0.0595	0.523
56	3	7.7502	-10.8397	26.3401	0.3082	0.7617	0.1399	0.4895
57	6	5.2503	-14.8291	25.3297	0.4708	0.5869	0.147	0.3942
58	7	5.5003	-15.9654	26.9661	0.4455	0.4818	0.2188	0.4097
59	8	4.5004	-18.2675	27.2683	0.3816	0.4148	0.2593	0.3816
60	14	5.0005	-18.999	28.9999	0.2312	0.4032	0.2312	0.4032
61	14	4.5006	-20.6702	29.6714	0.2297	0.2297	0.1853	0.3926
62	13	4.3006	-21.9456	30.5468	0.258	0.2344	0.3912	0.3912

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
51	0.704	-0.4545	0	6.2501	0	0
52	0.9956	-1	0.7273	30.2505	18.2503	4.272
53	0.8654	-0.3548	0.6031	7.5629	14.6878	3.8325
54	0.8152	-0.8947	0.676	72.252	29.0789	5.3925
55	1.0186	-0.8824	0.7173	56.2524	34.5136	5.8748
56	1.2238	-0.6129	0.6999	22.5645	32.5221	5.7028
57	1.9512	0.1428	0.6203	0.5621	27.9564	5.2874
58	1.9911	0.2726	0.5769	2.249	24.7429	4.9742
59	2.5812	0.7776	0.5992	12.2471	23.3545	4.8327
60	2.4487	1.7997	0.7192	80.9912	29.1182	5.3961
61	2.8535	2.1107	0.8457	90.2391	34.6746	5.8885
62	3.1137	2.0228	0.9438	75.6798	38.0917	6.1719