Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[51])
39	6.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	6.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	6.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	6.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	6.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	6.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	5.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	6.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	7.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	7.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	6.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	5.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	6.2	6.1023	5.6767	6.5278	0.3263	0.9181	0.0335	0.9181
53	7.1	6.6558	5.9455	7.3662	0.1102	0.8957	0.3454	0.9909
54	7.7	6.9217	6.0131	7.8304	0.0466	0.3503	0.6036	0.9922
55	7.9	6.7207	5.7429	7.6985	0.009	0.0248	0.7398	0.9675
56	7.7	6.3236	5.3193	7.3279	0.0036	0.001	0.6687	0.8466
57	7.4	5.9997	4.9737	7.0257	0.0037	6e-04	0.6486	0.6486
58	7.5	6.219	5.1472	7.2908	0.0096	0.0154	0.5861	0.7782
59	8	6.7712	5.6259	7.9165	0.0177	0.1062	0.2315	0.9517
60	8.1	6.9217	5.6976	8.1457	0.0296	0.0421	0.2723	0.9638

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
52	0.0356	0.016	0	0.0096	0	0
53	0.0545	0.0667	0.0414	0.1973	0.1034	0.3216
54	0.067	0.1124	0.0651	0.6057	0.2709	0.5204
55	0.0742	0.1755	0.0927	1.3907	0.5508	0.7422
56	0.081	0.2177	0.1177	1.8945	0.8196	0.9053
57	0.0873	0.2334	0.137	1.9608	1.0098	1.0049
58	0.0879	0.206	0.1468	1.6411	1.1	1.0488
59	0.0863	0.1815	0.1511	1.51	1.1512	1.0729
60	0.0902	0.1702	0.1533	1.3885	1.1776	1.0852