Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	7.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	7.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	7.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	6.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	6.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	6.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	6.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	7.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	7.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	7.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	6.9	7.1517	6.6815	7.6218	0.1471	0.0732	0.7364	0.0732
63	6.6	7.1541	6.0109	8.2974	0.1711	0.6685	0.6042	0.2766
64	6.9	7.6553	5.7448	9.5658	0.2192	0.8605	0.6798	0.5633
65	7.7	8.1449	5.5365	10.7534	0.3691	0.8252	0.7372	0.686
66	8	8.193	4.9402	11.4459	0.4537	0.6168	0.7449	0.6619
67	8	7.9506	4.0324	11.8689	0.4901	0.4901	0.7175	0.5892
68	7.7	7.6935	3.0112	12.3758	0.4989	0.449	0.7059	0.5323
69	7.3	7.5403	1.9851	13.0955	0.4662	0.4775	0.6943	0.5057
70	7.4	7.8142	1.3204	14.308	0.4503	0.5617	0.6542	0.5378
71	8.1	8.86	1.4083	16.3117	0.4208	0.6495	0.6199	0.6397
72	8.3	9.0585	0.6381	17.479	0.4299	0.5883	0.6063	0.6416
73	8.2	8.8407	-0.5792	18.2605	0.447	0.5448	0.6099	0.6099

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0335	-0.0352	0	0.0633	0	0
63	0.0815	-0.0775	0.0563	0.3071	0.1852	0.4303
64	0.1273	-0.0987	0.0704	0.5704	0.3136	0.56
65	0.1634	-0.0546	0.0665	0.198	0.2847	0.5336
66	0.2026	-0.0236	0.0579	0.0373	0.2352	0.485
67	0.2514	0.0062	0.0493	0.0024	0.1964	0.4432
68	0.3105	8e-04	0.0424	0	0.1684	0.4103
69	0.3759	-0.0319	0.0411	0.0578	0.1545	0.3931
70	0.424	-0.053	0.0424	0.1716	0.1564	0.3955
71	0.4291	-0.0858	0.0467	0.5776	0.1985	0.4456
72	0.4743	-0.0837	0.0501	0.5754	0.2328	0.4825
73	0.5436	-0.0725	0.052	0.4105	0.2476	0.4976