Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	74.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	108.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	114.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	96.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	89.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	97.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	100.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	122.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	129.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	102.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	96.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	127.7	122.5071	100.67	153.0465	0.3695	0.9543	0.8157	0.9543
34	128.9	129.5576	104.3393	166.1645	0.486	0.5396	0.7899	0.963
35	126.5	111.4923	91.1338	140.2429	0.1531	0.1177	0.8401	0.8514
36	119.8	99.2789	81.7185	123.7624	0.0502	0.0147	0.7808	0.5973
37	113.2	99.908	79.409	130.4073	0.1965	0.1006	0.5716	0.5942
38	114.1	108.4604	81.8573	152.1938	0.4002	0.4159	0.6427	0.7087
39	134.1	114.1972	84.0485	166.3071	0.227	0.5015	0.376	0.7508
40	130	111.9233	82.1655	163.6228	0.2466	0.2002	0.4476	0.7244
41	121.8	106.7994	78.57	155.6342	0.2736	0.1759	0.4648	0.6647
42	132.1	104.8799	76.5008	154.8328	0.1428	0.2534	0.171	0.6333
43	105.3	106.7303	76.3983	162.2269	0.4799	0.1851	0.5552	0.645
44	103	109.3139	76.8615	170.953	0.4204	0.5508	0.6617	0.6617
45	117.1	109.8184	76.4363	174.6047	0.4128	0.5817	0.2943	0.6598
46	126.3	108.453	75.0955	173.914	0.2965	0.3979	0.2702	0.6431
47	138.1	107.2304	73.7891	173.7396	0.1815	0.2871	0.2851	0.6274
48	119.5	107.2773	73.0938	176.7411	0.3651	0.1922	0.3619	0.6227
49	138	108.1008	72.8158	181.6309	0.2127	0.3806	0.4459	0.6245
50	135.5	108.63	72.4573	185.6738	0.2471	0.2275	0.4447	0.6241
51	178.6	108.4457	71.7971	187.8203	0.0416	0.252	0.2632	0.6188
52	162.2	107.9794	71.0134	189.2587	0.0955	0.0443	0.2977	0.6118
53	176.9	107.7855	70.3595	191.4874	0.0528	0.1013	0.3714	0.6069
54	204.9	107.9562	69.8878	194.7397	0.0143	0.0597	0.2928	0.6047
55	132.2	108.1978	69.4728	198.1754	0.3005	0.0176	0.5252	0.6031
56	142.5	108.2493	68.9954	201.0486	0.2347	0.3065	0.5441	0.6004
57	164.3	108.1269	68.4552	203.4197	0.124	0.2398	0.4268	0.5969
58	174.9	108.0112	67.9278	205.8374	0.0901	0.1297	0.357	0.5935
59	175.4	108.0127	67.4619	208.6362	0.0947	0.0963	0.2789	0.591
60	143	108.0888	67.0417	211.6788	0.2545	0.1014	0.4145	0.589

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.1272	0.0424	0	26.9665	0	0
34	0.1442	-0.0051	0.0237	0.4325	13.6995	3.7013
35	0.1316	0.1346	0.0607	225.23	84.2097	9.1766
36	0.1258	0.2067	0.0972	421.1153	168.4361	12.9783
37	0.1558	0.133	0.1044	176.6772	170.0843	13.0416
38	0.2057	0.052	0.0956	31.8054	147.0378	12.1259
39	0.2328	0.1743	0.1069	396.1197	182.6209	13.5137
40	0.2357	0.1615	0.1137	326.7675	200.6393	14.1647
41	0.2333	0.1405	0.1167	225.0183	203.348	14.26
42	0.243	0.2595	0.131	740.9319	257.1064	16.0345
43	0.2653	-0.0134	0.1203	2.0458	233.9191	15.2944
44	0.2877	-0.0578	0.1151	39.8651	217.7479	14.7563
45	0.301	0.0663	0.1113	53.0219	205.0767	14.3205
46	0.308	0.1646	0.1151	318.5169	213.1796	14.6007
47	0.3165	0.2879	0.1266	952.9352	262.4966	16.2017
48	0.3304	0.1139	0.1258	149.3943	255.4277	15.9821
49	0.347	0.2766	0.1347	893.9623	292.9886	17.1169
50	0.3619	0.2474	0.141	721.9946	316.8222	17.7995
51	0.3734	0.6469	0.1676	4921.6247	559.1803	23.647
52	0.384	0.5021	0.1843	2939.8746	678.215	26.0426
53	0.3962	0.6412	0.2061	4776.82	873.3866	29.5531
54	0.4101	0.898	0.2375	9398.1042	1260.8738	35.5088
55	0.4243	0.2218	0.2368	576.1079	1231.1014	35.0871
56	0.4374	0.3164	0.2402	1173.1088	1228.685	35.0526
57	0.4496	0.5195	0.2513	3155.4154	1305.7542	36.1352
58	0.4621	0.6193	0.2655	4474.1068	1427.614	37.7838
59	0.4753	0.6239	0.2788	4541.0496	1542.9264	39.2801
60	0.489	0.323	0.2803	1218.7947	1531.3503	39.1325