Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	76.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	103.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	88.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	105.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	44.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	104.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	102.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	77.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	85.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	91.3	85.1453	73.4952	96.7954	0.1502	0.4963	0.5764	0.4963
63	106.5	106.3554	94.598	118.1129	0.4904	0.994	0.6947	0.9998
64	92.4	90.7677	78.8118	102.7236	0.3945	0.005	0.645	0.8193
65	97.5	101.2857	89.2917	113.2797	0.2681	0.9268	0.6456	0.9957
66	107	107.982	95.9277	120.0362	0.4366	0.9558	0.6325	0.9999
67	51.1	46.6566	34.5583	58.7548	0.2358	0	0.6244	0
68	98.6	95.8206	83.682	107.9593	0.3268	1	0.6156	0.9568
69	102.2	108.7994	96.6264	120.9724	0.144	0.9497	0.6078	0.9999
70	114.3	106.3847	94.1818	118.5877	0.1018	0.7493	0.6005	0.9997
71	99.4	103.9782	91.7493	116.2072	0.2315	0.049	0.5936	0.9987
72	72.5	79.0788	66.8272	91.3303	0.1463	6e-04	0.5873	0.1637
73	92.3	86.486	74.2149	98.7572	0.1765	0.9873	0.5814	0.5814

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0698	0.0723	0	37.8801	0	0
63	0.0564	0.0014	0.0368	0.0209	18.9505	4.3532
64	0.0672	0.018	0.0305	2.6644	13.5218	3.6772
65	0.0604	-0.0374	0.0323	14.3316	13.7243	3.7046
66	0.057	-0.0091	0.0276	0.9643	11.1723	3.3425
67	0.1323	0.0952	0.0389	19.7442	12.6009	3.5498
68	0.0646	0.029	0.0375	7.7248	11.9043	3.4503
69	0.0571	-0.0607	0.0404	43.5524	15.8603	3.9825
70	0.0585	0.0744	0.0442	62.6515	21.0594	4.589
71	0.06	-0.044	0.0441	20.9602	21.0494	4.588
72	0.079	-0.0832	0.0477	43.28	23.0704	4.8032
73	0.0724	0.0672	0.0493	33.8025	23.9647	4.8954