Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	110.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	109.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	116.8	115.2566	105.9707	124.5425	0.3723	0.9994	0.7197	0.9994
51	115.7	125.1566	115.8707	134.4425	0.023	0.9611	0.7197	1
52	99.4	116.0566	106.7707	125.3425	2e-04	0.53	0.7197	0.9997
53	94.3	102.7566	93.4707	112.0425	0.0371	0.7607	0.7197	0.7337
54	91	113.4566	104.1707	122.7425	0	1	0.7197	0.998
55	93.2	115.5566	106.2707	124.8425	0	1	0.7197	0.9996
56	103.1	112.5566	103.2707	121.8425	0.023	1	0.7197	0.9965
57	94.1	120.0566	110.7707	129.3425	0	0.9998	0.7197	1
58	91.8	111.8566	102.5707	121.1426	0	0.9999	0.7197	0.9945
59	102.7	118.6566	109.3707	127.9426	4e-04	1	0.7197	1
60	82.6	98.7566	89.4707	108.0426	3e-04	0.2026	0.7197	0.4128
61	89.1	102.5566	93.2707	111.8426	0.0023	1	0.7197	0.7197

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0411	0.0134	0	2.382	0	0
51	0.0379	-0.0756	0.0445	89.4277	45.9049	6.7753
52	0.0408	-0.1435	0.0775	277.4431	123.0843	11.0943
53	0.0461	-0.0823	0.0787	71.5145	110.1918	10.4972
54	0.0418	-0.1979	0.1025	504.3	189.0135	13.7482
55	0.041	-0.1935	0.1177	499.8186	240.8143	15.5182
56	0.0421	-0.084	0.1129	89.4277	219.1877	14.805
57	0.0395	-0.2162	0.1258	673.7463	276.0075	16.6135
58	0.0424	-0.1793	0.1317	402.2682	290.0365	17.0305
59	0.0399	-0.1345	0.132	254.6138	286.4942	16.9261
60	0.048	-0.1636	0.1349	261.0365	284.1799	16.8576
61	0.0462	-0.1312	0.1346	181.0807	275.5883	16.6009