Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	101	99.6154	95.181	104.2564	0.2794	0.0115	0	0.0115
51	95	94.2308	88.3537	100.4987	0.405	0.0171	4e-04	4e-04
52	93	91.5385	84.5961	99.0506	0.3515	0.1832	0.0032	2e-04
53	84	85.2564	77.8349	93.3855	0.381	0.0309	0.0094	0
54	87	83.4615	75.3816	92.4075	0.2191	0.453	0.0183	0
55	116	111.2821	99.5368	124.4133	0.2407	0.9999	0.0288	0.8258
56	120	116.6667	103.4246	131.6042	0.3309	0.5349	0.0401	0.9371
57	117	111.2821	97.8339	126.5787	0.2319	0.132	0.0516	0.7896
58	109	103.2051	90.027	118.3123	0.2261	0.0367	0.063	0.4079
59	105	95.1282	82.3705	109.8619	0.0946	0.0325	0.0741	0.0946
60	107	94.2308	81.0219	109.593	0.0516	0.0847	0.0847	0.0847
61	109	94.2308	80.4796	110.3315	0.0361	0.06	0.0949	0.0949

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0238	0.0139	0	1.9172	0	0
51	0.0339	0.0082	0.011	0.5917	1.2544	1.12
52	0.0419	0.016	0.0127	2.1361	1.5483	1.2443
53	0.0486	-0.0147	0.0132	1.5786	1.5559	1.2474
54	0.0547	0.0424	0.019	12.5207	3.7488	1.9362
55	0.0602	0.0424	0.0229	22.259	6.8339	2.6142
56	0.0653	0.0286	0.0237	11.1111	7.4449	2.7285
57	0.0701	0.0514	0.0272	32.6949	10.6012	3.2559
58	0.0747	0.0561	0.0304	33.5805	13.1544	3.6269
59	0.079	0.1038	0.0377	97.4523	21.5842	4.6459
60	0.0832	0.1355	0.0466	163.0533	34.445	5.869
61	0.0872	0.1567	0.0558	218.1302	49.7521	7.0535