| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.0701 | 0.1881 | -0.058 | 0.3931 |
| (p-val) | (0.8978 ) | (0.3704 ) | (0.6705 ) | (0.4604 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1666 | -0.0612 | 0.326 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2234 ) | (0.641 ) | (0.0133 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1607 | 0 | 0.3185 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2455 ) | (NA ) | (0.0144 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2804 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0127 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.108499938663651 |
| 3.57371278875682 |
| 3.01971387803031 |
| -2.67033936381383 |
| 4.75925319690563 |
| 11.4610381200995 |
| -9.18929473165453 |
| 2.06974801534877 |
| 3.31214914157832 |
| -2.74768588851810 |
| -5.73913126910734 |
| -2.03115984332694 |
| 2.82710855834484 |
| -0.141540135003223 |
| 5.15224688381121 |
| 6.14304046540286 |
| -0.708108529960128 |
| -3.32788202617027 |
| 1.72241155324809 |
| 2.22103800828805 |
| -4.56804976197941 |
| 4.76917310190919 |
| -5.42432683505854 |
| 0.83298054008128 |
| 8.05782776781791 |
| 8.08194650368236 |
| -0.195204887736622 |
| -0.441170597209492 |
| 4.56201156533766 |
| -2.54574273203761 |
| -4.69269257067495 |
| 5.13915436407112 |
| 8.31853374885418 |
| -2.01171443436843 |
| -0.837678307917656 |
| 16.0739533347356 |
| -0.219241100151464 |
| 2.49874545109503 |
| 14.5168054244357 |
| 9.77321813113255 |
| 18.5002725459758 |
| -2.93450115800601 |
| -7.75417486654806 |
| 0.901814666772736 |
| 19.5841131621778 |
| -9.22467395812413 |
| -24.3313460354736 |
| -4.85279366283629 |
| -37.2657233889915 |
| 4.97347773591625 |
| 2.27761013126835 |
| 17.9208572245992 |
| -10.6253667891914 |
| -2.37993706684256 |
| 11.7257026242498 |
| 15.3476693016479 |
| -1.71092712692379 |
| -19.4439818672235 |
| 10.8212059862425 |
| -10.1145723856102 |
| 12.1535553083339 |
