Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	2.2	1.324	-0.4007	3.0486	0.1597	0.4207	0.556	0.4207
51	2.9	1.5605	-0.1641	3.2851	0.064	0.2337	0.5274	0.5274
52	3.1	1.6873	-0.0373	3.412	0.0542	0.0841	0.5395	0.5843
53	3.5	1.7062	-0.0184	3.4308	0.0207	0.0566	0.5028	0.5926
54	3.6	1.7431	0.0184	3.4677	0.0174	0.0229	0.4742	0.6088
55	4.4	1.6171	-0.1075	3.3417	8e-04	0.0121	0.4177	0.5529
56	4.2	1.6711	-0.0536	3.3957	0.002	0.001	0.4418	0.5771
57	5.2	1.3428	-0.3818	3.0675	0	6e-04	0.5194	0.4291
58	5.8	1.2889	-0.4358	3.0135	0	0	0.4949	0.4052
59	5.9	1.3077	-0.4169	3.0324	0	0	0.4582	0.4135
60	5.4	1.0892	-0.6354	2.8138	0	0	0.4951	0.3203
61	5.5	1.3086	-0.416	3.0332	0	0	0.4139	0.4139

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.6646	0.6617	0	0.7674	0	0
51	0.5639	0.8584	0.76	1.7943	1.2809	1.1318
52	0.5215	0.8372	0.7858	1.9957	1.5191	1.2325
53	0.5157	1.0514	0.8522	3.2178	1.9438	1.3942
54	0.5048	1.0653	0.8948	3.4483	2.2447	1.4982
55	0.5441	1.7209	1.0325	7.7445	3.1613	1.778
56	0.5266	1.5133	1.1012	6.3954	3.6233	1.9035
57	0.6553	2.8724	1.3226	14.8777	5.0301	2.2428
58	0.6827	3.5001	1.5645	20.3504	6.7324	2.5947
59	0.6729	3.5116	1.7592	21.0889	8.168	2.858
60	0.8079	3.9578	1.9591	18.5831	9.1149	3.0191
61	0.6724	3.2029	2.0628	17.5677	9.8193	3.1336