Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3	4.8862	-2.9063	12.6786	0.3176	0.2168	0.0012	0.2168
51	0	4.9534	-6.0668	15.9736	0.1892	0.6359	0.0022	0.294
52	5	6.8993	-6.5976	20.3963	0.3913	0.8418	0.0394	0.4365
53	1	8.8138	-6.7712	24.3987	0.1629	0.6843	0.0486	0.5408
54	1	7.8542	-9.5703	25.2787	0.2204	0.7796	0.0558	0.4935
55	3	6.8917	-12.1959	25.9792	0.3447	0.7274	0.127	0.4547
56	6	4.6906	-15.9263	25.3076	0.4505	0.5638	0.1412	0.3765
57	7	4.55	-17.4904	26.5904	0.4138	0.4487	0.2004	0.3795
58	8	3.3237	-20.0537	26.7011	0.3475	0.379	0.2335	0.3475
59	14	3.9482	-20.6937	28.5901	0.212	0.3736	0.212	0.3736
60	14	3.9302	-21.9145	29.7748	0.2225	0.2225	0.18	0.3788
61	13	3.2814	-23.7125	30.2753	0.2402	0.2182	0.3659	0.3659

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.8137	-0.386	0	3.5576	0	0
51	1.1351	-1	0.693	24.5358	14.0467	3.7479
52	0.9981	-0.2753	0.5538	3.6075	10.567	3.2507
53	0.9022	-0.8865	0.637	61.0547	23.1889	4.8155
54	1.1319	-0.8727	0.6841	46.9802	27.9471	5.2865
55	1.4131	-0.5647	0.6642	15.145	25.8135	5.0807
56	2.2425	0.2791	0.6092	1.7144	22.3707	4.7298
57	2.4715	0.5385	0.6004	6.0026	20.3247	4.5083
58	3.5885	1.4069	0.69	21.8674	20.4961	4.5273
59	3.1843	2.5459	0.8756	101.0383	28.5503	5.3433
60	3.3551	2.5622	1.0289	101.4014	35.1732	5.9307
61	4.1971	2.9618	1.19	94.4517	40.113	6.3335