Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	140.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	156.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	137.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	122.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	125.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	139.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	134.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	149.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	132.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	119.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	152	146.3857	132.6028	160.1687	0.2123	0.9999	0.8027	0.9999
50	149.4	157.8421	143.3749	172.3092	0.1264	0.7857	0.5668	1
51	127.3	137.4475	119.5453	155.3497	0.1333	0.0953	0.5152	0.9747
52	114.1	120.9737	101.9624	139.9849	0.2393	0.2571	0.4294	0.5563
53	102.1	125.7407	104.6189	146.8625	0.0141	0.86	0.4978	0.7156
54	107.7	145.7078	123.3559	168.0597	4e-04	0.9999	0.7129	0.989
55	104.4	132.2533	108.3101	156.1965	0.0113	0.9778	0.4142	0.8499
56	102.1	156.3433	131.181	181.5056	0	1	0.711	0.9979
57	96	133.2435	106.7517	159.7352	0.0029	0.9894	0.5278	0.8436
58	109.3	143.987	116.3301	171.6438	0.007	0.9997	0.3612	0.958
59	90	121.9076	93.0833	150.7319	0.015	0.8044	0.6256	0.5623
60	83.9	118.5355	88.6078	148.4633	0.0117	0.9692	0.4722	0.4722

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.048	0.0384	0	31.52	0	0
50	0.0468	-0.0535	0.0459	71.2684	51.3942	7.169
51	0.0665	-0.0738	0.0552	102.9715	68.5867	8.2817
52	0.0802	-0.0568	0.0556	47.2474	63.2519	7.9531
53	0.0857	-0.188	0.0821	558.8832	162.3781	12.7428
54	0.0783	-0.2608	0.1119	1444.5899	376.0801	19.3928
55	0.0924	-0.2106	0.126	775.8065	433.1839	20.8131
56	0.0821	-0.3469	0.1536	2942.3351	746.8278	27.3281
57	0.1014	-0.2795	0.1676	1387.0752	817.9664	28.6001
58	0.098	-0.2409	0.1749	1203.188	856.4885	29.2658
59	0.1206	-0.2617	0.1828	1018.0941	871.1799	29.5158
60	0.1288	-0.2922	0.1919	1199.62	898.55	29.9758