| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1942 | 0.2994 | 0.2483 | -0.9846 | 0.9385 | 0.0586 | -0.9527 |
| (p-val) | (0.1965 ) | (0.0554 ) | (0.0813 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.7128 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1728 | 0.2667 | 0.2411 | -1.035 | 1.2886 | 0 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.2255 ) | (0.0604 ) | (0.0821 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0744 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1725 | 0.1766 | -0.8443 | 0.9935 | 0 | -0.9366 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3116 ) | (0.2572 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1185 | -0.7484 | 0.9975 | 0 | -0.9603 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.389 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7163 | 0.994 | 0 | -0.9356 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.35999762703014 |
| -102.953413107638 |
| 434.762735637688 |
| -105.69450052968 |
| -80.3127263736128 |
| 478.685306168552 |
| -356.865320772084 |
| -247.749489379575 |
| -277.865213928461 |
| 225.148550312184 |
| -251.163905163229 |
| -110.442922984887 |
| -11.6917995190954 |
| 287.270530130985 |
| 249.083039965015 |
| 372.631954941768 |
| 388.989435488883 |
| 118.930905487092 |
| -303.674092123892 |
| -44.1376475572617 |
| 17.6081990422433 |
| 63.5161143827358 |
| -67.1111577429642 |
| 270.160474009718 |
| 738.644296450201 |
| -167.755638899967 |
| -26.4199711392063 |
| -688.591821835653 |
| 92.5874489092449 |
| -345.027998130228 |
| -3.09052192232945 |
| -257.413681889713 |
| -69.6969862374071 |
| -65.1589181691357 |
| -292.676410931825 |
| -118.952438837744 |
| -127.51379379645 |
| -30.8958435298273 |
| 50.5730603440914 |
| -14.3464571562641 |
| -227.869052336806 |
| 258.187034193416 |
| 140.168511812747 |
| -135.567452484576 |
| -396.162817484801 |
| 227.130989715825 |
| -68.4422041237749 |
| -145.825018361764 |
| 167.102398472714 |
| 172.216341473257 |
| -276.902834612537 |
| 505.457877256947 |
| -389.237780401336 |
| 162.335304493584 |
| -45.8402943802613 |
| -45.3031147837439 |
| 207.336642898410 |
| -271.075552868674 |
| -275.560262147078 |
| -109.609820565844 |
| -437.132079223325 |
| -257.875903183819 |
| 128.412464134691 |
| -21.6896411409332 |
| -121.797754537884 |
| 319.595244343519 |
| 142.114284326532 |
