Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 153.4 | 155.548329402848 | -13.0543605572819 | 164.306031154434 | 2.14832940284754 |
2 | 145 | 146.936965508469 | -21.5224563469274 | 164.585490838458 | 1.93696550846897 |
3 | 137.7 | 138.325606463122 | -27.790556985604 | 164.864950522482 | 0.625606463121585 |
4 | 148.3 | 155.479078402935 | -24.3585721701985 | 165.479493767264 | 7.17907840293464 |
5 | 152.2 | 159.832540762309 | -21.5265777743547 | 166.094037012045 | 7.63254076230919 |
6 | 169.4 | 181.774763528673 | -10.1322363399386 | 167.157472811266 | 12.3747635286729 |
7 | 168.6 | 168.416979903724 | 0.562111485790318 | 168.220908610486 | -0.183020096276124 |
8 | 161.1 | 140.204912668219 | 12.3832245286684 | 169.611862803112 | -20.8950873317806 |
9 | 174.1 | 150.252853222534 | 26.9443297817278 | 171.002816995739 | -23.8471467774663 |
10 | 179 | 151.209387763944 | 33.2346056599951 | 173.556006576061 | -27.7906122360559 |
11 | 190.6 | 177.005946942622 | 28.0848569009950 | 176.109196156383 | -13.5940530573782 |
12 | 190 | 182.245890432563 | 17.1756873877285 | 180.578422179708 | -7.75410956743684 |
13 | 181.6 | 191.206712354248 | -13.0543605572819 | 185.047648203033 | 9.6067123542484 |
14 | 174.8 | 181.255086310147 | -21.5224563469274 | 189.86737003678 | 6.45508631014746 |
15 | 180.5 | 194.103465115078 | -27.790556985604 | 194.687091870526 | 13.6034651150777 |
16 | 196.8 | 219.716908453086 | -24.3585721701985 | 198.241663717113 | 22.9169084530860 |
17 | 193.8 | 207.330342210656 | -21.5265777743547 | 201.796235563699 | 13.5303422106559 |
18 | 197 | 200.816244624436 | -10.1322363399386 | 203.315991715503 | 3.81624462443602 |
19 | 216.3 | 227.202140646903 | 0.562111485790318 | 204.835747867306 | 10.9021406469035 |
20 | 221.4 | 224.846631281548 | 12.3832245286684 | 205.570144189784 | 3.44663128154772 |
21 | 217.9 | 202.551129706011 | 26.9443297817278 | 206.304540512261 | -15.3488702939893 |
22 | 229.7 | 219.10310329638 | 33.2346056599951 | 207.062291043625 | -10.5968967036199 |
23 | 227.4 | 218.895101524017 | 28.0848569009950 | 207.820041574988 | -8.50489847598314 |
24 | 204.2 | 182.271459490732 | 17.1756873877285 | 208.952853121539 | -21.9285405092678 |
25 | 196.6 | 196.168695889191 | -13.0543605572819 | 210.085664668090 | -0.431304110808554 |
26 | 198.8 | 207.727670463196 | -21.5224563469274 | 211.394785883731 | 8.9276704631959 |
27 | 207.5 | 230.086649886232 | -27.790556985604 | 212.703907099372 | 22.5866498862315 |
28 | 190.7 | 191.680642836993 | -24.3585721701985 | 214.077929333205 | 0.980642836993127 |
29 | 201.6 | 209.274626207316 | -21.5265777743547 | 215.451951567038 | 7.6746262073163 |
30 | 210.5 | 213.106068086547 | -10.1322363399386 | 218.026168253391 | 2.60606808654737 |
31 | 223.5 | 225.837503574466 | 0.562111485790318 | 220.600384939744 | 2.33750357446567 |
32 | 223.8 | 209.246441727325 | 12.3832245286684 | 225.970333744007 | -14.5535582726755 |
33 | 231.2 | 204.115387670002 | 26.9443297817278 | 231.340282548270 | -27.0846123299979 |
34 | 244 | 214.953632461127 | 33.2346056599951 | 239.811761878878 | -29.0463675388733 |
35 | 234.7 | 193.031901889519 | 28.0848569009950 | 248.283241209486 | -41.6680981104814 |
36 | 250.2 | 223.702280508298 | 17.1756873877285 | 259.522032103973 | -26.4977194917015 |
37 | 265.7 | 273.693537558822 | -13.0543605572819 | 270.760822998460 | 7.99353755882225 |
38 | 287.6 | 312.393633807136 | -21.5224563469274 | 284.328822539792 | 24.7936338071357 |
39 | 283.3 | 296.493734904480 | -27.790556985604 | 297.896822081124 | 13.1937349044803 |
40 | 295.4 | 304.664209817754 | -24.3585721701985 | 310.494362352444 | 9.2642098177543 |
41 | 312.3 | 323.03467515059 | -21.5265777743547 | 323.091902623765 | 10.7346751505899 |
42 | 333.8 | 349.319430071098 | -10.1322363399386 | 328.41280626884 | 15.5194300710984 |
43 | 347.7 | 361.104178600294 | 0.562111485790318 | 333.733709913916 | 13.4041786002942 |
44 | 383.2 | 425.151254606670 | 12.3832245286684 | 328.865520864662 | 41.9512546066696 |
45 | 407.1 | 463.258338402864 | 26.9443297817278 | 323.997331815408 | 56.158338402864 |
46 | 413.6 | 482.023386874357 | 33.2346056599951 | 311.942007465648 | 68.4233868743565 |
47 | 362.7 | 397.428459983117 | 28.0848569009950 | 299.886683115889 | 34.7284599831165 |
48 | 321.9 | 342.699624429809 | 17.1756873877285 | 283.924688182463 | 20.7996244298089 |
49 | 239.4 | 223.891667308245 | -13.0543605572819 | 267.962693249037 | -15.5083326917546 |
50 | 191 | 152.316490143536 | -21.5224563469274 | 251.205966203391 | -38.6835098564640 |
51 | 159.7 | 112.741317827858 | -27.790556985604 | 234.449239157746 | -46.9586821721421 |
52 | 163.4 | 125.589786639445 | -24.3585721701985 | 225.568785530754 | -37.8102133605554 |
53 | 157.6 | 120.038245870593 | -21.5265777743547 | 216.688331903762 | -37.5617541294072 |
54 | 166.2 | 133.590879041810 | -10.1322363399386 | 208.941357298128 | -32.6091209581895 |
55 | 176.7 | 151.643505821715 | 0.562111485790318 | 201.194382692494 | -25.0564941782847 |
56 | 198.3 | 189.796352068802 | 12.3832245286684 | 194.420423402529 | -8.50364793119789 |
57 | 226.2 | 237.809206105708 | 26.9443297817278 | 187.646464112565 | 11.6092061057076 |
58 | 216.2 | 217.079168602519 | 33.2346056599951 | 182.086225737486 | 0.879168602519144 |
59 | 235.9 | 267.189155736598 | 28.0848569009950 | 176.525987362407 | 31.2891557365981 |
60 | 226.9 | 264.733379046165 | 17.1756873877285 | 171.890933566107 | 37.833379046165 |