Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[33])
21	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	24	26.4484	20.7678	32.129	0.1991	0.5615	0.8829	0.5615
35	23	26.8252	19.7969	33.8535	0.143	0.7846	0.857	0.591
36	23	24.9723	17.1672	32.7774	0.3102	0.6898	0.6898	0.3982
37	24	25.4693	17.011	33.9276	0.3668	0.7164	0.3614	0.4511
38	17	26.5237	17.6264	35.4209	0.018	0.7109	0.5459	0.5459
39	21	24.9331	15.6914	34.1748	0.2021	0.9538	0.9538	0.4105
40	19	25.0531	15.4147	34.6915	0.1092	0.7951	0.5848	0.4237
41	22	26.4606	16.4983	36.4229	0.1901	0.9289	0.5361	0.5361
42	22	25.1367	14.9141	35.3592	0.2738	0.7262	0.5863	0.4343
43	18	24.7926	14.2448	35.3404	0.1034	0.6981	0.3408	0.4112
44	16	26.3791	15.536	37.2222	0.0303	0.9351	0.4553	0.5273
45	14	25.4086	14.3362	36.481	0.0217	0.9521	0.4583	0.4583
46	12	24.6179	13.2596	35.9761	0.0147	0.9665	0.5425	0.4057
47	14	26.2321	14.5912	37.873	0.0197	0.9917	0.7068	0.5156
48	16	25.6922	13.8378	37.5465	0.0545	0.9734	0.6719	0.4797
49	8	24.5246	12.4149	36.6344	0.0037	0.9162	0.5338	0.4056
50	3	26.0219	13.6392	38.4046	1e-04	0.9978	0.9234	0.5014
51	0	25.9556	13.3682	38.5429	0	0.9998	0.7798	0.4972
52	5	24.5165	11.6995	37.3335	0.0014	0.9999	0.8006	0.4103
53	1	25.7651	12.6851	38.8451	1e-04	0.9991	0.7137	0.486
54	1	26.1742	12.8938	39.4547	1e-04	0.9999	0.7311	0.5103
55	3	24.5926	11.1044	38.0808	9e-04	0.9997	0.831	0.419
56	6	25.4842	11.744	39.2244	0.0027	0.9993	0.912	0.4707
57	7	26.329	12.3898	40.2682	0.0033	0.9979	0.9585	0.5184
58	8	24.7455	10.6165	38.8745	0.0101	0.9931	0.9615	0.4309
59	14	25.2042	10.8356	39.5728	0.0632	0.9905	0.9368	0.4568
60	14	26.4066	11.8386	40.9746	0.0475	0.9525	0.9193	0.5218
61	13	24.961	10.2174	39.7046	0.0559	0.9275	0.9879	0.4451

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
34	0.1096	-0.0926	0	5.9947	0	0
35	0.1337	-0.1426	0.1176	14.6324	10.3135	3.2115
36	0.1595	-0.079	0.1047	3.8899	8.1723	2.8587
37	0.1694	-0.0577	0.093	2.1588	6.6689	2.5824
38	0.1711	-0.3591	0.1462	90.7005	23.4752	4.8451
39	0.1891	-0.1577	0.1481	15.4691	22.1409	4.7054
40	0.1963	-0.2416	0.1615	36.6402	24.2122	4.9206
41	0.1921	-0.1686	0.1624	19.8971	23.6728	4.8655
42	0.2075	-0.1248	0.1582	9.8386	22.1357	4.7049
43	0.2171	-0.274	0.1698	46.1394	24.5361	4.9534
44	0.2097	-0.3935	0.1901	107.7256	32.0987	5.6656
45	0.2223	-0.449	0.2117	130.1561	40.2702	6.3459
46	0.2354	-0.5125	0.2348	159.2112	49.4195	7.0299
47	0.2264	-0.4663	0.2514	149.6251	56.577	7.5218
48	0.2354	-0.3772	0.2597	93.9382	59.0678	7.6856
49	0.2519	-0.6738	0.2856	273.064	72.4425	8.5113
50	0.2428	-0.8847	0.3209	530.008	99.3582	9.9679
51	0.2474	-1	0.3586	673.6906	131.2655	11.4571
52	0.2667	-0.7961	0.3816	380.8931	144.4038	12.0168
53	0.259	-0.9612	0.4106	613.3096	167.8491	12.9557
54	0.2589	-0.9618	0.4368	633.7423	190.0345	13.7853
55	0.2798	-0.878	0.4569	466.2413	202.5893	14.2334
56	0.2751	-0.7646	0.4703	379.6352	210.287	14.5013
57	0.2701	-0.7341	0.4813	373.6101	217.0921	14.734
58	0.2913	-0.6767	0.4891	280.4121	219.6249	14.8197
59	0.2909	-0.4445	0.4874	125.5341	216.006	14.6971
60	0.2815	-0.4698	0.4867	153.9238	213.7067	14.6187
61	0.3014	-0.4792	0.4865	143.0659	211.1838	14.5322