| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2374 | -0.0893 | 0.0891 | -0.317 |
| (p-val) | (0.9412 ) | (0.9596 ) | (0.9118 ) | (0.922 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.0627 | 0 | 0.1244 | -0.4957 |
| (p-val) | (0.8352 ) | (NA ) | (0.355 ) | (0.0945 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1307 | -0.5516 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.3225 ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5387 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.205538806476428 |
| 6.16342446943636 |
| 9.58249170004855 |
| 2.02791809634073 |
| 3.98910842653635 |
| 2.08464307861922 |
| -0.453414935688076 |
| -0.0468980966887119 |
| 6.36953209895461 |
| -7.51222921965125 |
| 1.4649927392208 |
| 0.958227463334563 |
| 5.20589221576985 |
| -7.97382701505047 |
| 1.47116750372301 |
| -0.30692327822117 |
| -3.74881036329955 |
| 6.94784112366514 |
| 1.92371142386943 |
| 5.80168185581255 |
| -4.08124534441039 |
| 0.210404520871753 |
| 5.08001632575933 |
| -8.41359313682595 |
| 3.77171895077322 |
| -12.8387201821373 |
| 8.3874829479134 |
| 17.4888091418874 |
| 3.20274676541149 |
| -6.55076531288316 |
| -9.24354528176233 |
| 0.286719793844981 |
| -4.6920424695262 |
| -12.1911576951779 |
| 6.1135878166163 |
| 13.9172676648549 |
| -10.6032298457756 |
| 6.39969719008462 |
| 22.1485995989570 |
| -8.12107292817962 |
| -9.60967361785112 |
| 20.2978964212973 |
| -0.0104145948394319 |
| 15.5256989996622 |
| -2.92343127125236 |
| -11.5559516276026 |
| -24.3480504685493 |
| 11.5902176415210 |
| -29.2644928985992 |
| -24.3494536670038 |
| 2.03189880703655 |
| -41.1157305784456 |
| 16.9685859157846 |
| 21.0275240234105 |
| 38.7559410046492 |
| -9.23089701991492 |
| 6.36511107419477 |
| -3.03476946325907 |
| 17.7730786245272 |
