Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	8.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	8.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	8.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	8.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	8.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	8.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	8.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	8.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	8.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	8.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	8.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	8.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	8.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	8.87	8.8639	8.7817	8.9461	0.4421	0.537	1	0.537
50	8.92	8.8771	8.7327	9.0215	0.2801	0.5382	0.9883	0.5916
51	8.96	8.8961	8.6994	9.0928	0.2623	0.406	0.9604	0.6406
52	8.97	8.9066	8.665	9.1483	0.3036	0.3325	0.935	0.6474
53	8.99	8.9119	8.6213	9.2026	0.2993	0.3477	0.9022	0.6369
54	8.98	8.9172	8.5758	9.2586	0.3593	0.338	0.8455	0.6287
55	8.98	8.9238	8.5332	9.3144	0.3889	0.3889	0.8218	0.6255
56	9.01	8.9289	8.492	9.3659	0.3581	0.4094	0.8016	0.6214
57	9.01	8.9324	8.4504	9.4144	0.3761	0.3761	0.783	0.6157
58	9.03	8.935	8.4091	9.461	0.3617	0.39	0.7055	0.6101
59	9.05	8.9376	8.3691	9.5062	0.3492	0.3751	0.6187	0.6055
60	9.05	8.9399	8.3304	9.5494	0.3617	0.3617	0.6014	0.6014

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0047	7e-04	0	0	0	0
50	0.0083	0.0048	0.0028	0.0018	9e-04	0.0307
51	0.0113	0.0072	0.0042	0.0041	0.002	0.0446
52	0.0138	0.0071	0.005	0.004	0.0025	0.0499
53	0.0166	0.0088	0.0057	0.0061	0.0032	0.0567
54	0.0195	0.007	0.0059	0.0039	0.0033	0.0577
55	0.0223	0.0063	0.006	0.0032	0.0033	0.0575
56	0.025	0.0091	0.0064	0.0066	0.0037	0.061
57	0.0275	0.0087	0.0066	0.006	0.004	0.063
58	0.03	0.0106	0.007	0.009	0.0045	0.0669
59	0.0325	0.0126	0.0075	0.0126	0.0052	0.0722
60	0.0348	0.0123	0.0079	0.0121	0.0058	0.0761