Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	82719	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	83614	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	81640	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	78665	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	77828	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	75728	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	72187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	79357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	81329	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	77304	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	75576	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	72932	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	74291	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	74988	74937.0991	72242.8717	77631.3265	0.4852	0.6808	0	0.6808
50	73302	73470.9233	69661.6124	77280.2343	0.4654	0.2175	0	0.3365
51	70483	71084.4472	66419.3815	75749.5129	0.4003	0.1757	7e-04	0.089
52	69848	70220.7788	64834.2375	75607.32	0.4461	0.462	0.0028	0.0693
53	66466	68664.412	62642.2185	74686.6055	0.2371	0.35	0.0108	0.0335
54	67610	66288.0451	59691.1668	72884.9233	0.3472	0.4789	0.0398	0.0087
55	75091	73093.1798	65967.8173	80218.5424	0.2913	0.9343	0.0424	0.3709
56	76207	74814.6271	67197.3586	82431.8956	0.3601	0.4717	0.0468	0.5536
57	73454	71998.924	63919.6438	80078.2041	0.362	0.1537	0.099	0.2891
58	72008	69447.469	60931.2048	77963.7332	0.2778	0.1782	0.0792	0.1325
59	71362	66604.8732	57672.9784	75536.768	0.1483	0.1179	0.0825	0.0458
60	74250	67444.5161	58115.4898	76773.5425	0.0764	0.2052	0.0752	0.0752

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0183	7e-04	0	2590.9028	0	0
50	0.0265	-0.0023	0.0015	28535.0904	15562.9966	124.7517
51	0.0335	-0.0085	0.0038	361738.7044	130954.8992	361.8769
52	0.0391	-0.0053	0.0042	138964.0091	132957.1767	364.6329
53	0.0447	-0.032	0.0098	4833015.4099	1072968.8233	1035.8421
54	0.0508	0.0199	0.0115	1747564.8794	1185401.4993	1088.7615
55	0.0497	0.0273	0.0137	3991285.49	1586242.0694	1259.461
56	0.0519	0.0186	0.0143	1938702.2692	1630299.5944	1276.8319
57	0.0573	0.0202	0.015	2117246.2658	1684404.7801	1297.8462
58	0.0626	0.0369	0.0172	6556319.1479	2171596.2169	1473.6337
59	0.0684	0.0714	0.0221	22630255.2565	4031474.3114	2007.8532
60	0.0706	0.1009	0.0287	46314610.7192	7555069.012	2748.6486