ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	0.0016	0.2892	0.0531	0.081	-0.2676
(p-val)	(0.9991 )	(0.1322 )	(0.9 )	(0.9542 )	(0.1334 )
Estimates ( 2 )	0	0.2893	0.0536	0.0825	-0.2676
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0411 )	(0.697 )	(0.583 )	(0.1318 )
Estimates ( 3 )	0	0.2918	0	0.0838	-0.2683
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0391 )	(NA )	(0.5814 )	(0.1365 )
Estimates ( 4 )	0	0.2947	0	0	-0.2405
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.037 )	(NA )	(NA )	(0.1676 )
Estimates ( 5 )	0	0.2702	0	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0555 )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )	0	0	0	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 7 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 8 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 9 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.497221796283625
1.92623539531942
0.000708994492505988
-1.54031597474414
-1.99999999993288
1.27015798728958
-0.4596840257767
1.72984201280181
2.27015798714776
-0.540315974158947
-4.54031597428143
-2.00000000055068
0.0806319492007338
-4.45968402541913
-0.72984201278297
-0.649210063748543
8.27015798724895
-3.45968402550213
-2.16126389799129
1.08063194899563
-4.00000000000003
-2.99999999999999
0.080631948995645
0.810473961746766
-4.72984201275102
5.99999999999992
3.35078993624458
4.37905207650657
-1.54031597449783
0.379052076506554
0.270157987248879
0.459684025502156
-1.99999999999997
4.72984201275109
-1.4596840255022
-3.35078993624455
3.5403159744978
1.54031597449784
4.18952603825328
2.72984201275102
0.649210063755433
3.18952603825328
4.45968402550217
-0.080631948995645
-0.350789936244581
0.729842012751107
-1.27015798724889
1.72984201275109