| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.7518 | -0.2784 | -0.9993 | -0.7396 | -0.4777 | -0.0532 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0671 ) | (0 ) | (0.1574 ) | (0.0933 ) | (0.9383 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.7534 | -0.2795 | -0.993 | -0.7818 | -0.5045 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0639 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0023 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.5778 | 0 | -1.0044 | -0.7431 | -0.4923 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0025 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.292148262225848 |
| -2.60797854015013 |
| 1.8087837002054 |
| 1.56379461086632 |
| -4.41529853771269 |
| -2.14029383067899 |
| 1.10317657268757 |
| 1.46208694283945 |
| -2.17149690116576 |
| 0.106612427825686 |
| 2.44363925835249 |
| 3.98273204728929 |
| -4.709397561509 |
| -5.34499718583797 |
| -6.32032344058757 |
| 2.02703648341032 |
| -2.09250101240712 |
| 3.75710773746926 |
| 0.976042257004843 |
| 1.04917541447875 |
| -0.824342616307113 |
| -0.682219253737476 |
| -0.441802437284288 |
| -1.22696402155789 |
| 0.657270960277731 |
| -0.0184956050261589 |
| 1.54988843940096 |
| -1.02299084747273 |
| 2.05474635034879 |
| 4.98235917637363 |
| 0.283550229437850 |
| -3.78563140082643 |
| 1.99385104427210 |
| 2.19062463476077 |
| -1.12059402670197 |
| 1.24723257630126 |
| 1.75551479467637 |
| -3.78508455313232 |
| 4.75724548335951 |
| -4.27999060207504 |
| 1.08563386654733 |
| 2.34052273610325 |
| 0.722072136516051 |
| 2.45177890718064 |
| -3.03101343740663 |
| -2.79964164953843 |
| -0.888832401540369 |
| -6.34069080308255 |
