| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 220206 | 220206 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 220115 | 220151.947561343 | -57.105956069184 | -36.9475613429499 | -0.0241578908683742 |
| 3 | 218444 | 218884.832710419 | -825.237855151883 | -440.832710418858 | -0.257968044864550 |
| 4 | 214912 | 215807.635089226 | -2313.37718911019 | -895.6350892258 | -0.527721428071982 |
| 5 | 210705 | 211283.377214379 | -3774.90936620938 | -578.377214378565 | -0.479226635424588 |
| 6 | 209673 | 208881.96866542 | -2884.886369516 | 791.031334580144 | 0.293510621151455 |
| 7 | 237041 | 228413.507291201 | 11674.1162482406 | 8627.49270879926 | 4.82514873367526 |
| 8 | 242081 | 243632.844898227 | 13982.9247329545 | -1551.84489822655 | 0.763704401832559 |
| 9 | 241878 | 246732.243968709 | 6892.89399700677 | -4854.24396870908 | -2.34470007420332 |
| 10 | 242621 | 244809.28116615 | 1150.94170799541 | -2188.28116614989 | -1.89908005699550 |
| 11 | 238545 | 239904.48547557 | -2792.34611975729 | -1359.48547556992 | -1.30415484917333 |
| 12 | 240337 | 238931.777842675 | -1607.58355473100 | 1405.22215732499 | 0.391831081100997 |
| 13 | 244752 | 242658.719840158 | 1852.95961913864 | 2093.28015984247 | 1.14900380079447 |
| 14 | 244576 | 244677.849582123 | 1961.25480932071 | -101.849582123406 | 0.0364069440670138 |
| 15 | 241572 | 242094.817409794 | -924.33898095333 | -522.817409794261 | -0.945829032128195 |
| 16 | 240541 | 239259.420223356 | -2118.81099437688 | 1281.57977664350 | -0.40053041610154 |
| 17 | 236089 | 237147.009246986 | -2114.75867793284 | -1058.00924698640 | 0.00135060985011902 |
| 18 | 236997 | 242297.925045259 | 2460.46145689813 | -5300.92504525874 | 1.50664286547255 |
| 19 | 264579 | 254795.253354148 | 8746.13104022008 | 9783.74664585243 | 2.07748339526408 |
| 20 | 270349 | 267772.905303327 | 11400.2863477810 | 2576.0946966728 | 0.87860459636238 |
| 21 | 269645 | 273762.972432773 | 8001.5633362573 | -4117.97243277296 | -1.12407224299349 |
| 22 | 267037 | 270811.588798617 | 1119.49118215211 | -3774.58879861729 | -2.27607867707033 |
| 23 | 258113 | 263028.443330783 | -4471.29014092542 | -4915.44333078321 | -1.84911114869343 |
| 24 | 262813 | 261672.552954001 | -2517.20450622156 | 1140.44704599920 | 0.646608876382176 |
| 25 | 267413 | 263694.834714795 | 330.998185231379 | 3718.16528520452 | 0.945007737571297 |
| 26 | 267366 | 265008.563021343 | 948.438860638996 | 2357.4369786569 | 0.204561220854836 |
| 27 | 264777 | 264104.939732210 | -206.068971212011 | 672.060267789575 | -0.380643411426417 |
| 28 | 258863 | 258737.122490497 | -3404.43215604157 | 125.877509502864 | -1.06137009388874 |
| 29 | 254844 | 257664.911934918 | -1952.28530881217 | -2820.911934918 | 0.482682294448132 |
| 30 | 254868 | 262613.782166726 | 2347.54295820549 | -7745.78216672599 | 1.42071120739347 |
| 31 | 277267 | 269030.037705688 | 4873.29548896407 | 8236.96229431205 | 0.83397540008689 |
| 32 | 285351 | 279099.429717225 | 8096.83140331357 | 6251.57028277479 | 1.06620121409361 |
| 33 | 286602 | 286654.998894965 | 7760.65485853806 | -52.9988949654144 | -0.111202917135502 |
| 34 | 283042 | 286469.754399201 | 2823.21138281052 | -3427.75439920139 | -1.63296438615244 |
| 35 | 276687 | 284431.267887248 | -196.634488030494 | -7744.26788724804 | -0.998871775327268 |
| 36 | 277915 | 280209.941286073 | -2695.76440348411 | -2294.94128607324 | -0.827219284042565 |
| 37 | 277128 | 274662.903502512 | -4467.68254471405 | 2465.09649748757 | -0.586966422333203 |
| 38 | 277103 | 272191.034043496 | -3227.63641403206 | 4911.9659565044 | 0.410087234379275 |
| 39 | 275037 | 270967.602949350 | -1987.37327935046 | 4069.39705064973 | 0.409571799619892 |
| 40 | 270150 | 270146.799993162 | -1267.41195688991 | 3.20000683824838 | 0.238446656662148 |
| 41 | 267140 | 271477.918684309 | 339.845263588217 | -4337.91868430927 | 0.53310467720651 |
| 42 | 264993 | 274189.763076174 | 1808.96867566131 | -9196.76307617405 | 0.486008904553596 |
| 43 | 287259 | 280282.373759483 | 4457.47027069849 | 6976.62624051714 | 0.874882867546938 |
| 44 | 291186 | 285196.974844635 | 4739.74820741193 | 5989.02515536527 | 0.0933112628916727 |
| 45 | 292300 | 289682.099837851 | 4582.48068372311 | 2617.90016214859 | -0.0520160290744053 |
| 46 | 288186 | 291018.132138596 | 2576.57305337064 | -2832.13213859644 | -0.663516900184109 |
| 47 | 281477 | 289001.116672355 | -261.713807785126 | -7524.11667235522 | -0.93904242071879 |
| 48 | 282656 | 284947.388112201 | -2605.23589926443 | -2291.38811220076 | -0.775685943000199 |
| 49 | 280190 | 279282.544137391 | -4497.20050282367 | 907.45586260913 | -0.626181624029428 |
| 50 | 280408 | 275442.358122193 | -4091.17857353071 | 4965.64187780673 | 0.134220052351034 |
| 51 | 276836 | 272488.48132049 | -3390.09459460652 | 4347.51867951020 | 0.231660115571597 |
| 52 | 275216 | 274046.018825338 | -344.604524095429 | 1169.98117466171 | 1.00804906563687 |
| 53 | 274352 | 278283.79037747 | 2479.59117482337 | -3931.79037746988 | 0.935797187822265 |
| 54 | 271311 | 282128.862140493 | 3322.15763959838 | -10817.8621404931 | 0.278826417869663 |
| 55 | 289802 | 284067.260795632 | 2468.99537078949 | 5734.73920436849 | -0.281959040822644 |
| 56 | 290726 | 285400.425975654 | 1769.57790937026 | 5325.57402434617 | -0.231164278915934 |
| 57 | 292300 | 288233.123611895 | 2423.96290862889 | 4066.87638810483 | 0.216402825998896 |
| 58 | 278506 | 282792.322991091 | -2417.77686281426 | -4286.3229910909 | -1.60175727125959 |
| 59 | 269826 | 276479.159996527 | -4816.5113818281 | -6653.15999652672 | -0.79377699727771 |
| 60 | 265861 | 267887.661453307 | -7142.15368993512 | -2026.66145330681 | -0.769699633530674 |
| 61 | 269034 | 265705.385787276 | -4085.54161084321 | 3328.61421272369 | 1.01121325919332 |
| 62 | 264176 | 260408.221499890 | -4831.66883045008 | 3767.77850010972 | -0.246629111376303 |
| 63 | 255198 | 253481.744716514 | -6119.42339965102 | 1716.25528348597 | -0.425634405871612 |
| 64 | 253353 | 252071.997462188 | -3226.82930077746 | 1281.00253781236 | 0.957208783067707 |
| 65 | 246057 | 250421.130360352 | -2258.0893904175 | -4364.13036035204 | 0.320827585888107 |
| 66 | 235372 | 246662.910193551 | -3181.1115861402 | -11290.9101935510 | -0.305468682572277 |
| 67 | 258556 | 250312.126552545 | 1019.97664312930 | 8243.87344745534 | 1.38881791005744 |
| 68 | 260993 | 255167.591180550 | 3376.41626196456 | 5825.40881945026 | 0.778828074810524 |
| 69 | 254663 | 250705.812578547 | -1435.79846382531 | 3957.18742145281 | -1.59121978123962 |
| 70 | 250643 | 251538.340040763 | -43.2226585710357 | -895.340040762983 | 0.460719772320593 |
| 71 | 243422 | 249883.725968071 | -1032.87649947438 | -6461.72596807086 | -0.327525653689344 |
| 72 | 247105 | 250235.144316805 | -182.240937093511 | -3130.14431680489 | 0.281506885416021 |
| 73 | 248541 | 246019.043699973 | -2661.42790024907 | 2521.95630002731 | -0.820018267294366 |
| 74 | 245039 | 241029.604878746 | -4091.12437736475 | 4009.39512125386 | -0.472581702373198 |
| 75 | 237080 | 236849.355489554 | -4145.78554897385 | 230.644510445671 | -0.0180695605610081 |
| 76 | 237085 | 235047.703499156 | -2708.99656879391 | 2037.29650084392 | 0.475399087899224 |
| 77 | 225554 | 230583.823851440 | -3785.29650494648 | -5029.82385143955 | -0.35634510597235 |
| 78 | 226839 | 237077.358557541 | 2523.95829881631 | -10238.3585575406 | 2.08795128167729 |
| 79 | 247934 | 241031.911583277 | 3401.91576245242 | 6902.08841672315 | 0.290288509152947 |
| 80 | 248333 | 240984.169001294 | 1286.89224192128 | 7348.83099870631 | -0.699075647119443 |
| 81 | 246969 | 243287.301413909 | 1909.45377150278 | 3681.69858609122 | 0.205848112758371 |
| 82 | 245098 | 245746.145697483 | 2245.96768923106 | -648.145697483318 | 0.111332515081609 |
| 83 | 246263 | 251809.795164201 | 4585.36704998856 | -5546.79516420071 | 0.77424331249251 |
| 84 | 255765 | 257149.46187222 | 5047.84083996436 | -1384.46187222021 | 0.153040188435924 |
| 85 | 264319 | 261069.258279305 | 4356.16008026155 | 3249.74172069465 | -0.228759466745436 |
| 86 | 268347 | 264329.984513265 | 3684.96314141705 | 4017.01548673516 | -0.221869429510257 |
| 87 | 273046 | 271645.457236562 | 5907.04618810927 | 1400.54276343817 | 0.734628693754829 |
| 88 | 273963 | 273610.286032283 | 3495.28633470969 | 352.713967717219 | -0.797932356444467 |
| 89 | 267430 | 276480.296127308 | 3112.5612259563 | -9050.29612730787 | -0.126689952964128 |
| 90 | 271993 | 281671.656136184 | 4385.83631050951 | -9678.65613618361 | 0.421347929455546 |
| 91 | 292710 | 284933.844870195 | 3697.65435529559 | 7776.15512980473 | -0.227562193110791 |
| 92 | 295881 | 288619.79881185 | 3690.49431605292 | 7261.20118815018 | -0.00236675304644896 |
| 93 | 293299 | 290654.719821155 | 2678.19392873028 | 2644.28017884468 | -0.334710134743844 |
| 94 | 288576 | 291400.839718485 | 1497.06521423281 | -2824.83971848502 | -0.390756492252324 |
