Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.423371990682941
beta0.0195569935214878
gamma0.730774983925955


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
135558.9023392751817-3.90233927518170
146062.8634077747937-2.86340777479365
155960.546313553452-1.54631355345199
165858.475457358636-0.47545735863595
175352.64098541744080.359014582559205
185756.12416287586270.875837124137291
195761.2947882409337-4.29478824093374
205355.6947116162030-2.69471161620295
215446.5546054961237.44539450387703
225351.16572132873511.83427867126492
235747.45152837746539.54847162253474
245760.6274256909451-3.62742569094512
255551.24920268211453.7507973178855
264958.6305811592515-9.63058115925155
275054.0261322304602-4.0261322304602
284951.4089408524789-2.40894085247891
295445.72574689048798.27425310951212
305852.55446522796845.44553477203164
315857.43090981050220.569090189497842
325254.6943984799615-2.69439847996153
335649.76456079609456.23543920390546
345251.61945786800720.380542131992812
355950.35663405989458.64336594010547
365357.555527799128-4.55552779912804
375251.08148272007310.91851727992691
385351.37073310957371.62926689042625
395154.0787039994874-3.07870399948737
405052.7136347268283-2.71363472682827
415651.33802822135264.66197177864736
425255.5220162897591-3.5220162897591
434654.5521144379234-8.55211443792344
444847.00633666985340.993663330146553
454647.249880566214-1.24988056621404
464843.84211495343544.15788504656458
474847.11880144585650.88119855414353
484945.61743718220743.38256281779258
495345.01743386227367.98256613772642
504848.5925208556935-0.5925208556935
515148.33590866504292.66409133495714
524849.5868036537874-1.58680365378743
535051.7158859689251-1.71588596892507
545549.80875956933275.19124043066726
555250.27202467485891.72797532514111
565351.33863241668191.66136758331808
575251.05628155923710.943718440762858
585550.98756329332254.01243670667746
595353.1057351936292-0.105735193629229
605352.36217088597260.637829114027426
615652.49674458657583.50325541342418
625450.55989165834233.44010834165772
635253.6694461616626-1.66944616166263
645551.35290957402683.64709042597318
655456.1215125883556-2.12151258835559
665957.25500605584151.74499394415845
675654.7409330054831.25906699451698
685655.7645886202560.235411379743958
695154.6501131039374-3.65011310393743
705353.9979510761349-0.997951076134868
715252.3255943171342-0.325594317134190
725151.8514706285443-0.851470628544305
734652.5242473405578-6.52424734055778
744946.56002514887062.43997485112942
754647.0591717230597-1.05917172305969
765547.05528769349297.9447123065071
775751.10874163722155.89125836277847
785357.2586583767913-4.25865837679129
795252.1779199812679-0.177919981267898
805352.13553677816450.8644632218355
815049.76947734132060.230522658679448
825451.83153301252222.16846698747776
835351.84569968176211.15430031823792
845051.8421779770833-1.84217797708325
855149.61410428967841.38589571032156
865250.93943424403121.06056575596885
874749.3879241678224-2.38792416782242
885152.7086080942778-1.70860809427776
894951.7175238785488-2.71752387854877
905349.88161898638343.11838101361658
915249.71273369840292.28726630159712
924551.1621189657747-6.16211896577473
935345.7525110491427.24748895085803
945151.5505192219968-0.550519221996836
954850.0404845254472-2.04048452544724
964847.50144917991120.498550820088795
974847.61451050295830.385489497041654
984848.3219208580364-0.321920858036364
994044.9262089909116-4.92620899091164
1004346.9442843611873-3.94428436118725
1014044.5513370720774-4.55133707207737
1023944.0083697566031-5.00836975660307
1033940.2145498272243-1.21454982722427
1043637.0151467322396-1.01514673223964
1054138.51536696938932.48463303061067
1063938.92019377461570.0798062253843028
1074037.27939764296232.7206023570377
1083937.78256505320491.21743494679509
1094638.02200273917257.97799726082753
1104041.5297337835317-1.52973378353173
1113736.28688206563460.713117934365442
1123740.5493501836833-3.54935018368331
1134438.05243304668645.94756695331359
1144141.7288759229973-0.728875922997325
1154041.4643457946619-1.46434579466186
1163638.2481997700295-2.24819977002948
1173840.8968713160479-2.89687131604788
1184338.09649231067844.90350768932164
1194239.66634272363642.33365727636360
1204539.43026187041175.56973812958829
1214644.42624795072521.57375204927482


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
12241.249575391141535.035659898981347.4634908833018
12337.587489490319230.727015422353344.4479635582851
12439.813714222428432.068729761142047.5586986837148
12542.968507246999834.217652285926851.7193622080729
12641.371896547315432.155064328052450.5887287665783
12741.159732195254631.323300484278950.9961639062304
12838.216778612230728.221464160553548.212093063908
12941.787938943820830.494473061912553.0814048257292
13043.690123719449331.380288027240755.9999594116578
13142.112869122834029.547261700123954.678476545544
13242.184818659475128.990922503200455.3787148157497
13343.09017516148086.8418621588705679.3384881640911