Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1.59 | 1.74790183426246 | -0.0260565060753351 | 1.45815467181287 | 0.157901834262461 |
2 | 1.26 | 1.04135619993061 | -0.0914413207106042 | 1.57008512077999 | -0.218643800069386 |
3 | 1.13 | 0.642810864905706 | -0.0648264346528119 | 1.68201556974711 | -0.487189135094294 |
4 | 1.92 | 2.04390931656159 | 0.00569377243741625 | 1.79039691100100 | 0.123909316561587 |
5 | 2.61 | 3.09300814463832 | 0.228213603106789 | 1.89877825225489 | 0.483008144638324 |
6 | 2.26 | 2.25744194428967 | 0.257551632673059 | 2.00500642303727 | -0.00255805571032708 |
7 | 2.41 | 2.41187573871295 | 0.296889667467404 | 2.11123459381965 | 0.00187573871294688 |
8 | 2.26 | 2.23757535818981 | 0.0656744121121701 | 2.21675022969802 | -0.0224246418101863 |
9 | 2.03 | 1.74527513189478 | -0.00754099747115926 | 2.32226586557638 | -0.284724868105223 |
10 | 2.86 | 3.35682392545861 | -0.0429543449566833 | 2.40613041949807 | 0.496823925458609 |
11 | 2.55 | 2.87437202630348 | -0.264366999723248 | 2.48999497341977 | 0.324372026303482 |
12 | 2.27 | 2.35585056723804 | -0.356837164963891 | 2.54098659772586 | 0.0858505672380359 |
13 | 2.26 | 1.95407828404339 | -0.0260565060753351 | 2.59197822203195 | -0.305921715956611 |
14 | 2.57 | 2.59380770808559 | -0.0914413207106042 | 2.63763361262502 | 0.0238077080855863 |
15 | 3.07 | 3.52153743143472 | -0.0648264346528119 | 2.68328900321809 | 0.451537431434722 |
16 | 2.76 | 2.80092005111002 | 0.00569377243741625 | 2.71338617645256 | 0.0409200511100245 |
17 | 2.51 | 2.04830304720618 | 0.228213603106789 | 2.74348334968703 | -0.461696952793818 |
18 | 2.87 | 2.7212004095396 | 0.257551632673059 | 2.76124795778734 | -0.148799590460401 |
19 | 3.14 | 3.20409776664494 | 0.296889667467404 | 2.77901256588766 | 0.064097766644939 |
20 | 3.11 | 3.3894628184367 | 0.0656744121121701 | 2.76486276945113 | 0.279462818436696 |
21 | 3.16 | 3.57682802445655 | -0.00754099747115926 | 2.75071297301461 | 0.416828024456549 |
22 | 2.47 | 2.28921742507168 | -0.0429543449566833 | 2.69373691988500 | -0.180782574928321 |
23 | 2.57 | 2.76760613296785 | -0.264366999723248 | 2.6367608667554 | 0.197606132967848 |
24 | 2.89 | 3.59523814563133 | -0.356837164963891 | 2.54159901933256 | 0.705238145631335 |
25 | 2.63 | 2.83961933416562 | -0.0260565060753351 | 2.44643717190971 | 0.209619334165621 |
26 | 2.38 | 2.53749990213549 | -0.0914413207106042 | 2.31394141857512 | 0.157499902135485 |
27 | 1.69 | 1.26338076941229 | -0.0648264346528119 | 2.18144566524052 | -0.426619230587710 |
28 | 1.96 | 1.86438465045083 | 0.00569377243741625 | 2.04992157711176 | -0.0956153495491732 |
29 | 2.19 | 2.23338890791022 | 0.228213603106789 | 1.91839748898299 | 0.0433889079102185 |
30 | 1.87 | 1.65826863340719 | 0.257551632673059 | 1.82417973391975 | -0.21173136659281 |
31 | 1.6 | 1.17314835367609 | 0.296889667467404 | 1.72996197885651 | -0.426851646323914 |
32 | 1.63 | 1.50601324802883 | 0.0656744121121701 | 1.688312339859 | -0.123986751971172 |
33 | 1.22 | 0.800878296609666 | -0.00754099747115926 | 1.64666270086149 | -0.419121703390334 |
34 | 1.21 | 0.833905028535982 | -0.0429543449566833 | 1.6290493164207 | -0.376094971464018 |
35 | 1.49 | 1.63293106774334 | -0.264366999723248 | 1.61143593197991 | 0.142931067743338 |
36 | 1.64 | 2.04977183864735 | -0.356837164963891 | 1.58706532631654 | 0.409771838647354 |
37 | 1.66 | 1.78336178542217 | -0.0260565060753351 | 1.56269472065316 | 0.123361785422172 |
38 | 1.77 | 2.08366310068207 | -0.0914413207106042 | 1.54777822002854 | 0.313663100682066 |
39 | 1.82 | 2.17196471524890 | -0.0648264346528119 | 1.53286171940391 | 0.351964715248898 |
40 | 1.78 | 1.98477993013341 | 0.00569377243741625 | 1.56952629742917 | 0.204779930133414 |
41 | 1.28 | 0.725595521438785 | 0.228213603106789 | 1.60619087545443 | -0.554404478561215 |
42 | 1.29 | 0.60917969310709 | 0.257551632673059 | 1.71326867421985 | -0.68082030689291 |
43 | 1.37 | 0.62276385954732 | 0.296889667467404 | 1.82034647298528 | -0.74723614045268 |
44 | 1.12 | 0.168036503613658 | 0.0656744121121701 | 2.00628908427417 | -0.951963496386342 |
45 | 1.51 | 0.835309301908092 | -0.00754099747115926 | 2.19223169556307 | -0.674690698091908 |
46 | 2.24 | 2.05611680604887 | -0.0429543449566833 | 2.46683753890782 | -0.183883193951132 |
47 | 2.94 | 3.40292361747068 | -0.264366999723248 | 2.74144338225256 | 0.462923617470683 |
48 | 3.09 | 3.4418956377759 | -0.356837164963891 | 3.09494152718799 | 0.351895637775901 |
49 | 3.46 | 3.49761683395192 | -0.0260565060753351 | 3.44843967212341 | 0.0376168339519203 |
50 | 3.64 | 3.58511597870935 | -0.0914413207106042 | 3.78632534200126 | -0.0548840212906532 |
51 | 4.39 | 4.72061542277371 | -0.0648264346528119 | 4.1242110118791 | 0.330615422773712 |
52 | 4.15 | 4.05925685815732 | 0.00569377243741625 | 4.23504936940526 | -0.0907431418426805 |
53 | 5.21 | 5.84589866996178 | 0.228213603106789 | 4.34588772693143 | 0.63589866996178 |
54 | 5.8 | 6.93261137475736 | 0.257551632673059 | 4.40983699256958 | 1.13261137475736 |
55 | 5.91 | 7.04932407432487 | 0.296889667467404 | 4.47378625820773 | 1.13932407432487 |
56 | 5.39 | 6.18659194893183 | 0.0656744121121701 | 4.52773363895600 | 0.796591948931826 |
57 | 5.46 | 6.34585997776688 | -0.00754099747115926 | 4.58168101970428 | 0.885859977766878 |
58 | 4.72 | 4.86728947278879 | -0.0429543449566833 | 4.6156648721679 | 0.147289472788787 |
59 | 3.14 | 1.89471827509174 | -0.264366999723248 | 4.64964872463151 | -1.24528172490826 |
60 | 2.63 | 0.95560274889564 | -0.356837164963891 | 4.66123441606825 | -1.67439725110436 |