| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 10.2 | 10.2703960340935 | -0.0703960340935126 |
| 14 | 9.6 | 9.60658797162383 | -0.00658797162382996 |
| 15 | 9.2 | 9.19012341561304 | 0.00987658438696393 |
| 16 | 9.3 | 9.28593074214669 | 0.0140692578533113 |
| 17 | 9.4 | 9.4023172574173 | -0.00231725741730493 |
| 18 | 9.4 | 9.41477372697338 | -0.0147737269733774 |
| 19 | 9.2 | 9.34942082450971 | -0.149420824509715 |
| 20 | 9 | 8.84529481631787 | 0.154705183682125 |
| 21 | 9 | 8.80810470370298 | 0.191895296297023 |
| 22 | 9 | 9.08752947392429 | -0.0875294739242864 |
| 23 | 9.8 | 10.0892141703574 | -0.289214170357392 |
| 24 | 10 | 9.99618408840806 | 0.0038159115919445 |
| 25 | 9.8 | 9.9137272574271 | -0.113727257427110 |
| 26 | 9.3 | 9.2294548746543 | 0.0705451253457081 |
| 27 | 9 | 8.90262341561304 | 0.0973765843869625 |
| 28 | 9 | 9.08384573583718 | -0.0838457358371798 |
| 29 | 9.1 | 9.09869088847368 | 0.00130911152631796 |
| 30 | 9.1 | 9.11397902498662 | -0.0139790249866234 |
| 31 | 9.1 | 9.05071324582148 | 0.0492867541785227 |
| 32 | 9.2 | 8.74904481631788 | 0.450955183682124 |
| 33 | 8.8 | 9.00405166392314 | -0.20405166392314 |
| 34 | 8.3 | 8.88537079371875 | -0.585370793718745 |
| 35 | 8.4 | 9.30365861480184 | -0.903658614801836 |
| 36 | 8.1 | 8.56658437997095 | -0.466584379970953 |
| 37 | 7.7 | 8.02804220939508 | -0.32804220939508 |
| 38 | 7.9 | 7.2495061155642 | 0.650493884435795 |
| 39 | 7.9 | 7.56095674894637 | 0.339043251053631 |
| 40 | 8 | 7.97237820113487 | 0.0276217988651268 |
| 41 | 7.9 | 8.08660299199494 | -0.186602991994938 |
| 42 | 7.6 | 7.9108002170396 | -0.310800217039604 |
| 43 | 7.1 | 7.5571753523803 | -0.457175352380296 |
| 44 | 6.8 | 6.82404481631788 | -0.0240448163178755 |
| 45 | 6.5 | 6.65268814128116 | -0.152688141281161 |
| 46 | 6.9 | 6.56054597135501 | 0.339454028644987 |
| 47 | 8.2 | 7.73254750369073 | 0.467452496309273 |
| 48 | 8.7 | 8.36235585019422 | 0.337644149805776 |
| 49 | 8.3 | 8.6235216982473 | -0.323521698247298 |
| 50 | 7.9 | 7.81520576101852 | 0.084794238981484 |
| 51 | 7.5 | 7.56095674894637 | -0.0609567489463698 |
| 52 | 7.8 | 7.56820818851585 | 0.231791811484147 |
| 53 | 8.3 | 7.88418541269919 | 0.41581458730081 |
| 54 | 8.4 | 8.31185981968861 | 0.0881401803113881 |
| 55 | 8.2 | 8.35372889554893 | -0.153728895548927 |
| 56 | 7.7 | 7.88279481631788 | -0.182794816317875 |
| 57 | 7.2 | 7.5344494622719 | -0.334449462271904 |
| 58 | 7.3 | 7.26810135207441 | 0.0318986479255887 |
| 59 | 8.1 | 8.18143639257961 | -0.0814363925796151 |
| 60 | 8.5 | 8.26024158530586 | 0.239758414694140 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 8.42502853529656 | 7.86430484045513 | 8.98575223013799 |
| 62 | 7.9330867578334 | 7.16243663429358 | 8.70373688137324 |
| 63 | 7.59266489187005 | 6.66538286735881 | 8.5199469163813 |
| 64 | 7.661839114807 | 6.56992133758033 | 8.75375689203368 |
| 65 | 7.74435445302857 | 6.5051231876579 | 8.98358571839924 |
| 66 | 7.75474236398348 | 6.39156515789719 | 9.11791957006977 |
| 67 | 7.71125107526696 | 6.24268487612392 | 9.17981727441 |
| 68 | 7.41237397626232 | 5.89172310154693 | 8.93302485097772 |
| 69 | 7.25265223711385 | 5.66079227325923 | 8.84451220096847 |
| 70 | 7.32132188589844 | 5.61737770800884 | 9.02526606378803 |
| 71 | 8.20536428675453 | 6.2126437134802 | 10.1980848600289 |
| 72 | 8.36783355218012 | -51.3885805556034 | 68.1242476599636 |
