| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1081 | 0 | 109 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 4716.99 | 4338.42057841314 | 55.4288651778108 | 5040.13055640905 | -378.569421586862 |
| 2 | 4926.65 | 4713.49299084938 | 125.204254565742 | 5014.60275458488 | -213.157009150625 |
| 3 | 4920.1 | 4761.03390866272 | 90.091138576565 | 4989.07495276072 | -159.066091337280 |
| 4 | 5170.09 | 5329.28653134827 | 53.8260939005422 | 4957.06737475119 | 159.196531348271 |
| 5 | 5246.24 | 5507.13472829504 | 60.285474963302 | 4925.05979674166 | 260.894728295041 |
| 6 | 5283.61 | 5675.57562359494 | 1.37605228989992 | 4890.26832411516 | 391.965623594941 |
| 7 | 4979.05 | 5268.64204696551 | -166.01889845417 | 4855.47685148866 | 289.59204696551 |
| 8 | 4825.2 | 4995.98984245107 | -165.566275684191 | 4819.97643323312 | 170.789842451069 |
| 9 | 4695.12 | 4659.59658761483 | -53.8326025924161 | 4784.47601497758 | -35.5234123851687 |
| 10 | 4711.54 | 4738.37007576279 | -33.8451719361991 | 4718.55509617341 | 26.8300757627912 |
| 11 | 4727.22 | 4781.41037572748 | 20.3954469032896 | 4652.63417736923 | 54.1903757274804 |
| 12 | 4384.96 | 4198.36259386931 | 12.6554468129424 | 4558.90195931774 | -186.597406130687 |
| 13 | 4378.75 | 4236.90139355593 | 55.4288651778108 | 4465.16974126626 | -141.848606444069 |
| 14 | 4472.93 | 4439.18323198675 | 125.204254565742 | 4381.47251344751 | -33.7467680132495 |
| 15 | 4564.07 | 4740.27357579468 | 90.091138576565 | 4297.77528562876 | 176.203575794676 |
| 16 | 4310.54 | 4324.74794507955 | 53.8260939005422 | 4242.50596101991 | 14.2079450795454 |
| 17 | 4171.38 | 4095.23788862563 | 60.285474963302 | 4187.23663641107 | -76.1421113743672 |
| 18 | 4049.38 | 3944.74445042916 | 1.37605228989992 | 4152.63949728094 | -104.635549570839 |
| 19 | 3591.37 | 3230.71654030336 | -166.01889845417 | 4118.04235815081 | -360.653459696643 |
| 20 | 3720.46 | 3525.28946838467 | -165.566275684191 | 4081.19680729952 | -195.170531615332 |
| 21 | 4107.23 | 4223.94134614418 | -53.8326025924161 | 4044.35125644823 | 116.711346144183 |
| 22 | 4101.71 | 4248.67005716257 | -33.8451719361991 | 3988.59511477363 | 146.960057162572 |
| 23 | 4162.34 | 4371.44557999769 | 20.3954469032896 | 3932.83897309902 | 209.105579997688 |
| 24 | 4136.22 | 4400.52225677638 | 12.6554468129424 | 3859.26229641067 | 264.302256776384 |
| 25 | 4125.88 | 4410.64551509986 | 55.4288651778108 | 3785.68561972233 | 284.765515099863 |
| 26 | 4031.48 | 4238.97659647825 | 125.204254565742 | 3698.77914895601 | 207.496596478247 |
| 27 | 3761.36 | 3820.75618323374 | 90.091138576565 | 3611.8726781897 | 59.3961832337382 |
| 28 | 3408.56 | 3249.45053657998 | 53.8260939005422 | 3513.84336951948 | -159.109463420021 |
| 29 | 3228.47 | 2980.84046418744 | 60.285474963302 | 3415.81406084926 | -247.629535812563 |
| 30 | 3090.45 | 2855.09183539569 | 1.37605228989992 | 3324.43211231441 | -235.358164604309 |
| 31 | 2741.14 | 2415.24873467461 | -166.01889845417 | 3233.05016377956 | -325.891265325388 |
| 32 | 2980.44 | 2945.535761135 | -165.566275684191 | 3180.91051454919 | -34.9042388650009 |
| 33 | 3104.33 | 3133.72173727359 | -53.8326025924161 | 3128.77086531883 | 29.3917372735891 |
| 34 | 3181.57 | 3260.21780175005 | -33.8451719361991 | 3136.76737018615 | 78.6478017500535 |
| 35 | 2863.86 | 2562.56067804325 | 20.3954469032896 | 3144.76387505346 | -301.299321956754 |
| 36 | 2898.01 | 2583.15820426976 | 12.6554468129424 | 3200.20634891729 | -314.851795730237 |
| 37 | 3112.33 | 2913.58231204107 | 55.4288651778108 | 3255.64882278112 | -198.747687958934 |
| 38 | 3254.33 | 3046.86195523638 | 125.204254565742 | 3336.59379019788 | -207.46804476362 |
| 39 | 3513.47 | 3519.3101038088 | 90.091138576565 | 3417.53875761463 | 5.84010380880181 |
| 40 | 3587.61 | 3603.54211901509 | 53.8260939005422 | 3517.85178708437 | 15.9321190150881 |
| 41 | 3727.45 | 3776.44970848259 | 60.285474963302 | 3618.16481655411 | 48.9997084825918 |
| 42 | 3793.34 | 3860.11197333555 | 1.37605228989992 | 3725.19197437455 | 66.7719733355507 |
| 43 | 3817.58 | 3968.95976625918 | -166.01889845417 | 3832.21913219499 | 151.379766259177 |
| 44 | 3845.13 | 3937.16721505402 | -165.566275684191 | 3918.65906063017 | 92.0372150540247 |
| 45 | 3931.86 | 3912.45361352708 | -53.8326025924161 | 4005.09898906534 | -19.4063864729246 |
| 46 | 4197.52 | 4360.70853490986 | -33.8451719361991 | 4068.17663702634 | 163.188534909864 |
| 47 | 4307.13 | 4462.61026810938 | 20.3954469032896 | 4131.25428498733 | 155.480268109380 |
| 48 | 4229.43 | 4254.47624125442 | 12.6554468129424 | 4191.72831193264 | 25.0462412544202 |
| 49 | 4362.28 | 4416.92879594424 | 55.4288651778108 | 4252.20233887794 | 54.6487959442447 |
| 50 | 4217.34 | 3980.54554489313 | 125.204254565742 | 4328.93020054113 | -236.794455106868 |
| 51 | 4361.28 | 4226.81079921913 | 90.091138576565 | 4405.65806220431 | -134.469200780874 |
| 52 | 4327.74 | 4098.47967587008 | 53.8260939005422 | 4503.17423022938 | -229.260324129918 |
| 53 | 4417.65 | 4174.32412678226 | 60.285474963302 | 4600.69039825444 | -243.325873217742 |
| 54 | 4557.68 | 4400.74794850388 | 1.37605228989992 | 4713.23599920622 | -156.932051496117 |
| 55 | 4650.35 | 4640.93729829617 | -166.01889845417 | 4825.781600158 | -9.4127017038254 |
| 56 | 4967.18 | 5148.32611854529 | -165.566275684191 | 4951.6001571389 | 181.146118545291 |
| 57 | 5123.42 | 5223.25388847261 | -53.8326025924161 | 5077.41871411980 | 99.8338884726118 |
| 58 | 5290.85 | 5401.43454954525 | -33.8451719361991 | 5214.11062239095 | 110.584549545245 |
| 59 | 5535.66 | 5700.1220224346 | 20.3954469032896 | 5350.80253066210 | 164.462022434605 |
| 60 | 5514.06 | 5522.57478632909 | 12.6554468129424 | 5492.88976685797 | 8.5147863290913 |
| 61 | 5493.88 | 5297.35413176836 | 55.4288651778108 | 5634.97700305383 | -196.52586823164 |
| 62 | 5694.83 | 5482.9956371608 | 125.204254565742 | 5781.46010827346 | -211.834362839200 |
| 63 | 5850.41 | 5682.78564793035 | 90.091138576565 | 5927.94321349309 | -167.624352069654 |
| 64 | 6116.64 | 6090.58167557525 | 53.8260939005422 | 6088.87223052421 | -26.0583244247518 |
| 65 | 6175 | 6039.91327748137 | 60.285474963302 | 6249.80124755533 | -135.086722518632 |
| 66 | 6513.58 | 6607.76803308135 | 1.37605228989992 | 6418.01591462875 | 94.1880330813465 |
| 67 | 6383.78 | 6347.348316752 | -166.01889845417 | 6586.23058170218 | -36.4316832480063 |
| 68 | 6673.66 | 6782.66155087675 | -165.566275684191 | 6730.22472480744 | 109.001550876751 |
| 69 | 6936.61 | 7052.83373467971 | -53.8326025924161 | 6874.2188679127 | 116.223734679712 |
| 70 | 7300.68 | 7656.92867258841 | -33.8451719361991 | 6978.27649934779 | 356.248672588407 |
| 71 | 7392.93 | 7683.13042231383 | 20.3954469032896 | 7082.33413078288 | 290.200422313831 |
| 72 | 7497.31 | 7816.12717792523 | 12.6554468129424 | 7165.83737526183 | 318.81717792523 |
| 73 | 7584.71 | 7864.65051508141 | 55.4288651778108 | 7249.34061974078 | 279.940515081414 |
| 74 | 7160.79 | 6864.25997175526 | 125.204254565742 | 7332.115773679 | -296.530028244738 |
| 75 | 7196.19 | 6887.39793380622 | 90.091138576565 | 7414.89092761722 | -308.792066193782 |
| 76 | 7245.63 | 6933.31536361391 | 53.8260939005422 | 7504.11854248554 | -312.314636386085 |
| 77 | 7347.51 | 7041.38836768283 | 60.285474963302 | 7593.34615735387 | -306.12163231717 |
| 78 | 7425.75 | 7143.95729427198 | 1.37605228989992 | 7706.16665343812 | -281.792705728024 |
| 79 | 7778.51 | 7904.0517489318 | -166.01889845417 | 7818.98714952238 | 125.541748931792 |
| 80 | 7822.33 | 7844.79889990724 | -165.566275684191 | 7965.42737577695 | 22.4688999072423 |
| 81 | 8181.22 | 8304.4050005609 | -53.8326025924161 | 8111.86760203152 | 123.185000560897 |
| 82 | 8371.47 | 8517.06250446234 | -33.8451719361991 | 8259.72266747386 | 145.592504462338 |
| 83 | 8347.71 | 8267.44682018051 | 20.3954469032896 | 8407.5777329162 | -80.2631798194907 |
| 84 | 8672.11 | 8807.25636780334 | 12.6554468129424 | 8524.30818538372 | 135.146367803338 |
| 85 | 8802.79 | 8909.11249697095 | 55.4288651778108 | 8641.03863785124 | 106.322496970946 |
| 86 | 9138.46 | 9449.24260553694 | 125.204254565742 | 8702.47313989732 | 310.782605536941 |
| 87 | 9123.29 | 9392.58121948005 | 90.091138576565 | 8763.9076419434 | 269.291219480045 |
| 88 | 9023.21 | 9244.82072794575 | 53.8260939005422 | 8747.77317815371 | 221.610727945746 |
| 89 | 8850.41 | 8908.89581067267 | 60.285474963302 | 8731.63871436403 | 58.4858106726679 |
| 90 | 8864.58 | 9074.99260674841 | 1.37605228989992 | 8652.79134096169 | 210.412606748410 |
| 91 | 9163.74 | 9919.55493089482 | -166.01889845417 | 8573.94396755935 | 755.814930894818 |
| 92 | 8516.66 | 8737.89146462115 | -165.566275684191 | 8460.99481106305 | 221.231464621145 |
| 93 | 8553.44 | 8812.66694802568 | -53.8326025924161 | 8348.04565456674 | 259.226948025675 |
| 94 | 7555.2 | 6946.3414598409 | -33.8451719361991 | 8197.9037120953 | -608.858540159095 |
| 95 | 7851.22 | 7634.28278347287 | 20.3954469032896 | 8047.76176962385 | -216.937216527135 |
| 96 | 7442 | 7042.27754202814 | 12.6554468129424 | 7829.06701115892 | -399.722457971861 |
| 97 | 7992.53 | 8319.2588821282 | 55.4288651778108 | 7610.372252694 | 326.728882128196 |
| 98 | 8264.04 | 9075.98855241598 | 125.204254565742 | 7326.88719301828 | 811.948552415976 |
| 99 | 7517.39 | 7901.28672808086 | 90.091138576565 | 7043.40213334257 | 383.896728080863 |
| 100 | 7200.4 | 7646.97358391077 | 53.8260939005422 | 6700.00032218869 | 446.573583910772 |
| 101 | 7193.69 | 7970.4960140019 | 60.285474963302 | 6356.5985110348 | 776.8060140019 |
| 102 | 6193.58 | 6365.03708373216 | 1.37605228989992 | 6020.74686397794 | 171.457083732164 |
| 103 | 5104.21 | 4689.5436815331 | -166.01889845417 | 5684.89521692107 | -414.666318466902 |
| 104 | 4800.46 | 4428.98922579075 | -165.566275684191 | 5337.49704989344 | -371.470774209246 |
| 105 | 4461.61 | 3986.95371972661 | -53.8326025924161 | 4990.0988828658 | -474.656280273386 |
| 106 | 4398.59 | 4199.34538734006 | -33.8451719361991 | 4631.67978459614 | -199.24461265994 |
| 107 | 4243.63 | 4193.60386677023 | 20.3954469032896 | 4273.26068632648 | -50.0261332297659 |
| 108 | 4293.82 | 4664.77505176349 | 12.6554468129424 | 3910.20950142356 | 370.955051763493 |
