| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 4716.99 | NA | NA | 1.01621417709746 | NA |
| 2 | 4926.65 | NA | NA | 1.02316103477131 | NA |
| 3 | 4920.1 | NA | NA | 1.02124609026921 | NA |
| 4 | 5170.09 | NA | NA | 1.00268517095746 | NA |
| 5 | 5246.24 | NA | NA | 1.00029270143372 | NA |
| 6 | 5283.61 | NA | NA | 0.986143298146215 | NA |
| 7 | 4979.05 | 4697.6208070479 | 4868.1375 | 0.96497290946443 | 1.05990887824106 |
| 8 | 4825.2 | 4712.67850282078 | 4835.13916666667 | 0.974672773704192 | 1.02387633637896 |
| 9 | 4695.12 | 4806.53208319738 | 4801.39958333333 | 1.00106895911806 | 0.976820692909373 |
| 10 | 4711.54 | 4784.89123581612 | 4750.75041666667 | 1.00718640554757 | 0.984670239677118 |
| 11 | 4727.22 | 4708.4768868923 | 4670.15 | 1.00820677856007 | 1.00398071681309 |
| 12 | 4384.96 | 4547.17901192797 | 4573.93791666667 | 0.99414970093031 | 0.964325351717528 |
| 13 | 4378.75 | 4537.08296803556 | 4464.69166666667 | 1.01621417709746 | 0.965102474618376 |
| 14 | 4472.93 | 4461.84241950632 | 4360.84083333333 | 1.02316103477131 | 1.00248497805418 |
| 15 | 4564.07 | 4381.46699425412 | 4290.31458333333 | 1.02124609026921 | 1.04167622533397 |
| 16 | 4310.54 | 4251.79580799426 | 4240.40958333333 | 1.00268517095746 | 1.01381632483274 |
| 17 | 4171.38 | 4192.69018066036 | 4191.46333333333 | 1.00029270143372 | 0.994917301364489 |
| 18 | 4049.38 | 4099.95239599902 | 4157.5625 | 0.986143298146215 | 0.987665126051616 |
| 19 | 3591.37 | 3991.76684602536 | 4136.66208333333 | 0.96497290946443 | 0.899694330488256 |
| 20 | 3720.46 | 4003.6946232962 | 4107.73208333333 | 0.974672773704192 | 0.929256686649339 |
| 21 | 4107.23 | 4060.22766615767 | 4055.89208333333 | 1.00106895911806 | 1.01157628037317 |
| 22 | 4101.71 | 4013.50017729831 | 3984.86333333333 | 1.00718640554757 | 1.02197827801295 |
| 23 | 4162.34 | 3940.06494914807 | 3907.99291666667 | 1.00820677856007 | 1.05641405756522 |
| 24 | 4136.22 | 3806.35025320788 | 3828.74958333333 | 0.99414970093031 | 1.08666300388781 |
| 25 | 4125.88 | 3814.22568877943 | 3753.36791666667 | 1.01621417709746 | 1.08170840863911 |
| 26 | 4031.48 | 3772.50472501306 | 3687.1075 | 1.02316103477131 | 1.06864809824355 |
| 27 | 3761.36 | 3691.2795256251 | 3614.48583333333 | 1.02124609026921 | 1.01898541518961 |
| 28 | 3408.56 | 3543.84952525425 | 3534.35916666667 | 1.00268517095746 | 0.96182413381546 |
| 29 | 3228.47 | 3442.92412060973 | 3441.91666666667 | 1.00029270143372 | 0.937711633164965 |
| 30 | 3090.45 | 3289.99222682049 | 3336.22125 | 0.986143298146215 | 0.939348723928953 |
| 31 | 2741.14 | 3128.82615128724 | 3242.39791666667 | 0.96497290946443 | 0.876092140457296 |
| 32 | 2980.44 | 3087.55419856219 | 3167.78541666667 | 0.974672773704192 | 0.965307751160426 |
| 33 | 3104.33 | 3128.41599452793 | 3125.07541666667 | 1.00106895911806 | 0.992300897780198 |
| 34 | 3181.57 | 3144.64452963766 | 3122.20708333333 | 1.00718640554757 | 1.01174233526693 |
| 35 | 2863.86 | 3176.31344723772 | 3150.45833333333 | 1.00820677856007 | 0.901630159482702 |
| 36 | 2898.01 | 3181.81215575411 | 3200.53625 | 0.99414970093031 | 0.91080486783581 |
| 37 | 3112.33 | 3327.77116038663 | 3274.675 | 1.01621417709746 | 0.935259622731511 |
| 38 | 3254.33 | 3433.27355234914 | 3355.55541666667 | 1.02316103477131 | 0.947879611216327 |
| 39 | 3513.47 | 3498.85506073896 | 3426.06458333333 | 1.02124609026921 | 1.00417706335568 |
| 40 | 3587.61 | 3512.28207157409 | 3502.87625 | 1.00268517095746 | 1.02144700422428 |
| 41 | 3727.45 | 3606.39903928466 | 3605.34375 | 1.00029270143372 | 1.03356560363862 |
| 42 | 3793.34 | 3669.39565773973 | 3720.95583333333 | 0.986143298146215 | 1.03377786257496 |
| 43 | 3817.58 | 3694.41124811798 | 3828.51291666667 | 0.96497290946443 | 1.03333920985238 |
| 44 | 3845.13 | 3821.41863120384 | 3920.71958333333 | 0.974672773704192 | 1.00620486031092 |
| 45 | 3931.86 | 4000.44215947088 | 3996.17041666667 | 1.00106895911806 | 0.98285635518851 |
| 46 | 4197.52 | 4091.52816711909 | 4062.33458333333 | 1.00718640554757 | 1.02590519447787 |
| 47 | 4307.13 | 4155.75944709474 | 4121.93166666667 | 1.00820677856007 | 1.03642428173052 |
| 48 | 4229.43 | 4158.06840475480 | 4182.5375 | 0.99414970093031 | 1.01716219847745 |
| 49 | 4362.28 | 4317.97914642444 | 4249.08375 | 1.01621417709746 | 1.01025962656912 |
| 50 | 4217.34 | 4430.83424539628 | 4330.53458333333 | 1.02316103477131 | 0.95181624191469 |
| 51 | 4361.28 | 4520.99006062591 | 4426.935 | 1.02124609026921 | 0.964673653672267 |
| 52 | 4327.74 | 4534.28146563713 | 4522.13875 | 1.00268517095746 | 0.954448909446316 |
| 53 | 4417.65 | 4620.23487031854 | 4618.88291666667 | 1.00029270143372 | 0.956152690067773 |
| 54 | 4557.68 | 4658.14442865826 | 4723.59791666667 | 0.986143298146215 | 0.978432521748323 |
| 55 | 4650.35 | 4655.29387866242 | 4824.27416666667 | 0.96497290946443 | 0.998938009330607 |
| 56 | 4967.18 | 4808.04739093214 | 4932.98625 | 0.974672773704192 | 1.03309713822039 |
| 57 | 5123.42 | 5062.00071044365 | 5056.59541666667 | 1.00106895911806 | 1.01213340200242 |
| 58 | 5290.85 | 5230.50029756153 | 5193.18 | 1.00718640554757 | 1.01153803632639 |
| 59 | 5535.66 | 5384.77233196877 | 5340.94041666667 | 1.00820677856007 | 1.02802117874797 |
| 60 | 5514.06 | 5463.50791695658 | 5495.65916666667 | 0.99414970093031 | 1.00925267864745 |
| 61 | 5493.88 | 5740.98131807857 | 5649.38125 | 1.01621417709746 | 0.956958348340128 |
| 62 | 5694.83 | 5926.87601036431 | 5792.71083333333 | 1.02316103477131 | 0.960848512781686 |
| 63 | 5850.41 | 6065.55200837415 | 5939.36375 | 1.02124609026921 | 0.964530514604916 |
| 64 | 6116.64 | 6115.03218464206 | 6098.65625 | 1.00268517095746 | 1.00026292835579 |
| 65 | 6175 | 6261.61766483287 | 6259.78541666667 | 1.00029270143372 | 0.986166886982042 |
| 66 | 6513.58 | 6330.84973062076 | 6419.80708333333 | 0.986143298146215 | 1.02886346654153 |
| 67 | 6383.78 | 6358.74728736247 | 6589.56041666667 | 0.96497290946443 | 1.00393673651527 |
| 68 | 6673.66 | 6567.11122775316 | 6737.76 | 0.974672773704192 | 1.01622460295732 |
| 69 | 6936.61 | 6862.2434581169 | 6854.91583333333 | 1.00106895911806 | 1.01083705967837 |
| 70 | 7300.68 | 7008.03448437516 | 6958.03125 | 1.00718640554757 | 1.04175857243244 |
| 71 | 7392.93 | 7111.81710088513 | 7053.92708333333 | 1.00820677856007 | 1.03952757714760 |
| 72 | 7497.31 | 7099.01300021902 | 7140.78875 | 0.99414970093031 | 1.05610596850135 |
| 73 | 7584.71 | 7354.25011695581 | 7236.90958333333 | 1.01621417709746 | 1.03133696561568 |
| 74 | 7160.79 | 7512.95338848963 | 7342.88458333333 | 1.02316103477131 | 0.953125838764131 |
| 75 | 7196.19 | 7600.73083214884 | 7442.60458333333 | 1.02124609026921 | 0.946776061265352 |
| 76 | 7245.63 | 7559.32330087651 | 7539.07958333333 | 1.00268517095746 | 0.958502462668829 |
| 77 | 7347.51 | 7625.7097363714 | 7623.47833333333 | 1.00029270143372 | 0.96351818440656 |
| 78 | 7425.75 | 7605.3450271823 | 7712.21083333333 | 0.986143298146215 | 0.976385683155674 |
| 79 | 7778.51 | 7538.28554189473 | 7811.91416666667 | 0.96497290946443 | 1.03186725373697 |
| 80 | 7822.33 | 7743.84382028762 | 7945.07041666667 | 0.974672773704192 | 1.01013529992776 |
| 81 | 8181.22 | 8116.43604044449 | 8107.76916666667 | 1.00106895911806 | 1.00798182345462 |
| 82 | 8371.47 | 8321.50585618875 | 8262.13083333333 | 1.00718640554757 | 1.00600421902895 |
| 83 | 8347.71 | 8467.74473538893 | 8398.8175 | 1.00820677856007 | 0.98582447403176 |
| 84 | 8672.11 | 8471.53690578149 | 8521.38958333333 | 0.99414970093031 | 1.02367611644135 |
| 85 | 8802.79 | 8779.13397852787 | 8639.05875 | 1.01621417709746 | 1.00269457346590 |
| 86 | 9138.46 | 8927.80348849468 | 8725.70708333333 | 1.02316103477131 | 1.02359555872582 |
| 87 | 9123.29 | 8956.47799442084 | 8770.14666666667 | 1.02124609026921 | 1.01862473236501 |
| 88 | 9023.21 | 8775.14424519855 | 8751.64458333333 | 1.00268517095746 | 1.02826913699307 |
| 89 | 8850.41 | 8699.49185863632 | 8696.94625 | 1.00029270143372 | 1.01734792604166 |
| 90 | 8864.58 | 8505.49046633455 | 8625.00458333333 | 0.986143298146215 | 1.04221855695292 |
| 91 | 9163.74 | 8240.85819295304 | 8539.98916666667 | 0.96497290946443 | 1.11198855573515 |
| 92 | 8516.66 | 8255.27777312859 | 8469.79416666667 | 0.974672773704192 | 1.03166243875188 |
| 93 | 8553.44 | 8375.39089034089 | 8366.4475 | 1.00106895911806 | 1.02125860297033 |
| 94 | 7555.2 | 8282.6825972039 | 8223.58458333333 | 1.00718640554757 | 0.912168239134324 |
| 95 | 7851.22 | 8144.90348213695 | 8078.60416666667 | 1.00820677856007 | 0.96394266883812 |
| 96 | 7442 | 7852.0751852381 | 7898.2825 | 0.99414970093031 | 0.947774928848231 |
| 97 | 7992.53 | 7741.36081766328 | 7617.84375 | 1.01621417709746 | 1.03244509437716 |
| 98 | 8264.04 | 7462.7882292719 | 7293.855 | 1.02316103477131 | 1.10736627465661 |
| 99 | 7517.39 | 7116.57423048197 | 6968.52041666667 | 1.02124609026921 | 1.05632144857019 |
| 100 | 7200.4 | 6684.40278111538 | 6666.50208333333 | 1.00268517095746 | 1.07719421402050 |
| 101 | 7193.69 | 6386.52921592441 | 6384.66041666667 | 1.00029270143372 | 1.12638488869087 |
| 102 | 6193.58 | 6018.60019294703 | 6103.17 | 0.986143298146215 | 1.02907317340301 |
| 103 | 5104.21 | NA | NA | 0.96497290946443 | NA |
| 104 | 4800.46 | NA | NA | 0.974672773704192 | NA |
| 105 | 4461.61 | NA | NA | 1.00106895911806 | NA |
| 106 | 4398.59 | NA | NA | 1.00718640554757 | NA |
| 107 | 4243.63 | NA | NA | 1.00820677856007 | NA |
| 108 | 4293.82 | NA | NA | 0.99414970093031 | NA |
