Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 701 | 0 | 71 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 115.47 | 115.865204776329 | 8.77837645620511 | 106.296418767466 | 0.395204776328768 |
2 | 103.34 | 98.9380064906169 | 0.695655618115951 | 107.046337891267 | -4.40199350938315 |
3 | 102.6 | 107.024159366695 | -9.62041638176302 | 107.796257015068 | 4.42415936669472 |
4 | 100.69 | 99.5119544325065 | -6.69645338462163 | 108.564498952115 | -1.17804556749346 |
5 | 105.67 | 106.709755554822 | -4.7024964439838 | 109.332740889162 | 1.03975555482194 |
6 | 123.61 | 127.116143482141 | 9.96121327017837 | 110.142643247680 | 3.50614348214113 |
7 | 113.08 | 115.564206387636 | -0.356751993834973 | 110.952545606199 | 2.48420638763585 |
8 | 106.46 | 101.397150898454 | -0.275219629083338 | 111.798068730630 | -5.06284910154628 |
9 | 123.38 | 122.851774691656 | 11.2646334532842 | 112.643591855060 | -0.528225308344275 |
10 | 109.87 | 106.035289318452 | 0.219200839935199 | 113.485509841613 | -3.83471068154770 |
11 | 95.74 | 94.1065937823406 | -16.9540216105055 | 114.327427828165 | -1.63340621765943 |
12 | 123.06 | 123.188357796186 | 7.68628442490115 | 115.245357778913 | 0.128357796185682 |
13 | 123.39 | 121.838335814134 | 8.77837645620511 | 116.163287729661 | -1.55166418586649 |
14 | 120.28 | 122.885524801568 | 0.695655618115951 | 116.978819580317 | 2.60552480156753 |
15 | 115.33 | 122.486064950791 | -9.62041638176302 | 117.794351430972 | 7.15606495079136 |
16 | 110.4 | 109.143428308907 | -6.69645338462163 | 118.353025075715 | -1.256571691093 |
17 | 114.49 | 114.770797723526 | -4.7024964439838 | 118.911698720458 | 0.280797723526177 |
18 | 132.03 | 134.842758102954 | 9.96121327017837 | 119.256028626868 | 2.81275810295401 |
19 | 123.16 | 127.076393460557 | -0.356751993834973 | 119.600358533278 | 3.91639346055734 |
20 | 118.82 | 117.810505555572 | -0.275219629083338 | 120.104714073511 | -1.00949444442813 |
21 | 128.32 | 124.766296932971 | 11.2646334532842 | 120.609069613745 | -3.55370306702947 |
22 | 112.24 | 102.909340336516 | 0.219200839935199 | 121.351458823549 | -9.33065966348427 |
23 | 104.53 | 103.920173577153 | -16.9540216105055 | 122.093848033353 | -0.609826422847334 |
24 | 132.57 | 134.505657046208 | 7.68628442490115 | 122.948058528891 | 1.93565704620785 |
25 | 122.52 | 112.459354519366 | 8.77837645620511 | 123.802269024429 | -10.0606454806342 |
26 | 131.8 | 138.248625951944 | 0.695655618115951 | 124.655718429940 | 6.4486259519444 |
27 | 124.55 | 133.211248546313 | -9.62041638176302 | 125.509167835450 | 8.66124854631278 |
28 | 120.96 | 122.392468372239 | -6.69645338462163 | 126.223985012382 | 1.43246837223940 |
29 | 122.6 | 122.963694254670 | -4.7024964439838 | 126.938802189314 | 0.363694254669554 |
30 | 145.52 | 153.722474309178 | 9.96121327017837 | 127.356312420643 | 8.20247430917834 |
31 | 118.57 | 109.722929341863 | -0.356751993834973 | 127.773822651972 | -8.84707065813735 |
32 | 134.25 | 140.700486794112 | -0.275219629083338 | 128.074732834972 | 6.45048679411181 |
33 | 136.7 | 133.759723528745 | 11.2646334532842 | 128.375643017971 | -2.94027647125489 |
34 | 121.37 | 113.770603596585 | 0.219200839935199 | 128.75019556348 | -7.59939640341516 |
35 | 111.63 | 111.089273501516 | -16.9540216105055 | 129.124748108989 | -0.540726498483764 |
36 | 134.42 | 131.460515449634 | 7.68628442490115 | 129.693200125465 | -2.95948455036601 |
37 | 137.65 | 136.259971401855 | 8.77837645620511 | 130.261652141940 | -1.39002859814551 |
38 | 137.86 | 144.064478992512 | 0.695655618115951 | 130.959865389372 | 6.20447899251224 |
39 | 119.77 | 117.502337744960 | -9.62041638176302 | 131.658078636803 | -2.26766225504022 |
40 | 130.69 | 135.670606075667 | -6.69645338462163 | 132.405847308955 | 4.98060607566663 |
41 | 128.28 | 128.108880462877 | -4.7024964439838 | 133.153615981107 | -0.171119537122991 |
42 | 147.45 | 151.129325993522 | 9.96121327017837 | 133.809460736299 | 3.67932599352216 |
43 | 128.42 | 122.731446502343 | -0.356751993834973 | 134.465305491492 | -5.68855349765718 |
44 | 136.9 | 139.020072639487 | -0.275219629083338 | 135.055146989596 | 2.12007263948735 |
45 | 143.95 | 140.990378059016 | 11.2646334532842 | 135.644988487700 | -2.95962194098402 |
46 | 135.64 | 134.568331445639 | 0.219200839935199 | 136.492467714426 | -1.07166855436088 |
47 | 122.48 | 124.574074669354 | -16.9540216105055 | 137.339946941151 | 2.09407466935403 |
48 | 136.83 | 127.430615324345 | 7.68628442490115 | 138.543100250754 | -9.3993846756554 |
49 | 153.04 | 157.555369983438 | 8.77837645620511 | 139.746253560357 | 4.51536998343784 |
50 | 142.71 | 143.490094014033 | 0.695655618115951 | 141.234250367851 | 0.78009401403321 |
51 | 123.46 | 113.818169206418 | -9.62041638176302 | 142.722247175345 | -9.64183079358168 |
52 | 144.37 | 151.335215545063 | -6.69645338462163 | 144.101237839559 | 6.96521554506273 |
53 | 146.15 | 151.522267940211 | -4.7024964439838 | 145.480228503773 | 5.37226794021069 |
54 | 147.61 | 139.002967043936 | 9.96121327017837 | 146.255819685886 | -8.60703295606422 |
55 | 158.51 | 170.345341125836 | -0.356751993834973 | 147.031410867999 | 11.8353411258364 |
56 | 147.4 | 148.664611236464 | -0.275219629083338 | 146.410608392620 | 1.26461123646365 |
57 | 165.05 | 173.045560629475 | 11.2646334532842 | 145.789805917241 | 7.99556062947508 |
58 | 154.64 | 165.364041250033 | 0.219200839935199 | 143.696757910032 | 10.7240412500329 |
59 | 126.2 | 127.750311707683 | -16.9540216105055 | 141.603709902823 | 1.55031170768251 |
60 | 157.36 | 168.52919140645 | 7.68628442490115 | 138.504524168649 | 11.1691914064501 |
61 | 154.15 | 164.116285109320 | 8.77837645620511 | 135.405338434474 | 9.9662851093204 |
62 | 123.21 | 113.511079906204 | 0.695655618115951 | 132.213264475680 | -9.69892009379636 |
63 | 113.07 | 106.739225864877 | -9.62041638176302 | 129.021190516886 | -6.3307741351233 |
64 | 110.45 | 101.596308940922 | -6.69645338462163 | 126.0001444437 | -8.85369105907829 |
65 | 113.57 | 108.863398073470 | -4.7024964439838 | 122.979098370514 | -4.70660192652971 |
66 | 122.44 | 114.973011153358 | 9.96121327017837 | 119.945775576464 | -7.46698884664235 |
67 | 114.93 | 113.304299211421 | -0.356751993834973 | 116.912452782414 | -1.62570078857946 |
68 | 111.85 | 110.011077567541 | -0.275219629083338 | 113.964142061543 | -1.83892243245919 |
69 | 126.04 | 129.799535206045 | 11.2646334532842 | 111.015831340671 | 3.75953520604524 |
70 | 121.34 | 134.271128309154 | 0.219200839935199 | 108.189670850911 | 12.9311283091541 |