Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 115.6 | 118.251118925353 | 7.15098127132412 | 105.797899803323 | 2.65111892535323 |
2 | 111.9 | 110.492945519179 | 7.72013802187104 | 105.586916458950 | -1.40705448082137 |
3 | 107 | 106.274770126339 | 2.34929675908322 | 105.375933114578 | -0.72522987366122 |
4 | 107.1 | 110.949655013092 | -1.95277965494508 | 105.203124641853 | 3.84965501309193 |
5 | 100.6 | 99.1045324759887 | -2.93484864511705 | 105.030316169128 | -1.49546752401126 |
6 | 99.2 | 97.1332182235113 | -3.62819156370390 | 104.894973340193 | -2.06678177648868 |
7 | 108.4 | 106.741903239103 | 5.29846624963986 | 104.759630511257 | -1.65809676089675 |
8 | 103 | 103.289978906677 | -1.94657147815202 | 104.656592571475 | 0.289978906677305 |
9 | 99.8 | 97.1180507316206 | -2.07160536331314 | 104.553554631693 | -2.6819492683794 |
10 | 115 | 118.332313757050 | 6.96989384764446 | 104.697792395306 | 3.33231375704953 |
11 | 90.8 | 85.9865724301123 | -9.22860258903177 | 104.842030158919 | -4.81342756988774 |
12 | 95.9 | 94.1812345256804 | -7.72617379393264 | 105.344939268252 | -1.71876547431962 |
13 | 114.4 | 115.801170351091 | 7.15098127132412 | 105.847848377585 | 1.40117035109087 |
14 | 108.2 | 102.236012069157 | 7.72013802187104 | 106.443849908972 | -5.96398793084268 |
15 | 112.6 | 115.810851800559 | 2.34929675908322 | 107.039851440358 | 3.21085180055852 |
16 | 109.1 | 112.563879462311 | -1.95277965494508 | 107.588900192635 | 3.46387946231056 |
17 | 105 | 104.796899700206 | -2.93484864511705 | 108.137948944911 | -0.203100299793761 |
18 | 105 | 105.046436602757 | -3.62819156370390 | 108.581754960947 | 0.0464366027573959 |
19 | 118.5 | 122.675972773378 | 5.29846624963986 | 109.025560976982 | 4.17597277337792 |
20 | 103.7 | 99.99437653913 | -1.94657147815202 | 109.352194939022 | -3.70562346086997 |
21 | 112.5 | 117.392776462251 | -2.07160536331314 | 109.678828901062 | 4.89277646225136 |
22 | 116.6 | 116.287567447885 | 6.96989384764446 | 109.942538704470 | -0.312432552114686 |
23 | 96.6 | 92.222354081153 | -9.22860258903177 | 110.206248507879 | -4.37764591884692 |
24 | 101.9 | 101.003126078593 | -7.72617379393264 | 110.523047715340 | -0.896873921406979 |
25 | 116.5 | 115.009171805875 | 7.15098127132412 | 110.839846922801 | -1.49082819412467 |
26 | 119.3 | 119.691508490803 | 7.72013802187104 | 111.188353487326 | 0.391508490803091 |
27 | 115.4 | 116.913843189066 | 2.34929675908322 | 111.536860051851 | 1.51384318906561 |
28 | 108.5 | 107.054564975781 | -1.95277965494508 | 111.898214679164 | -1.44543502421936 |
29 | 111.5 | 113.675279338639 | -2.93484864511705 | 112.259569306478 | 2.1752793386393 |
30 | 108.8 | 108.705180083399 | -3.62819156370390 | 112.523011480305 | -0.094819916600784 |
31 | 121.8 | 125.515080096228 | 5.29846624963986 | 112.786453654132 | 3.71508009622849 |
32 | 109.6 | 108.245556740245 | -1.94657147815202 | 112.901014737907 | -1.35444325975536 |
33 | 112.2 | 113.45602954163 | -2.07160536331314 | 113.015575821683 | 1.25602954163004 |
34 | 119.6 | 119.107927863441 | 6.96989384764446 | 113.122178288914 | -0.492072136558832 |
35 | 104.1 | 104.199821832886 | -9.22860258903177 | 113.228780756146 | 0.0998218328861071 |
36 | 105.3 | 104.905960269887 | -7.72617379393264 | 113.420213524046 | -0.394039730113363 |
37 | 115 | 109.237372436730 | 7.15098127132412 | 113.611646291946 | -5.76262756327046 |
38 | 124.1 | 126.628890619996 | 7.72013802187104 | 113.850971358133 | 2.52889061999581 |
39 | 116.8 | 117.160406816597 | 2.34929675908322 | 114.09029642432 | 0.360406816596836 |
40 | 107.5 | 102.673854952032 | -1.95277965494508 | 114.278924702913 | -4.82614504796784 |
41 | 115.6 | 119.667295663611 | -2.93484864511705 | 114.467552981506 | 4.06729566361112 |
42 | 116.2 | 121.531825126215 | -3.62819156370390 | 114.496366437489 | 5.33182512621457 |
43 | 116.3 | 112.776353856887 | 5.29846624963986 | 114.525179893473 | -3.52364614311261 |
44 | 119 | 125.835198832755 | -1.94657147815202 | 114.111372645397 | 6.83519883275538 |
45 | 111.9 | 112.174039965993 | -2.07160536331314 | 113.697565397321 | 0.2740399659926 |
46 | 118.6 | 117.607628071698 | 6.96989384764446 | 112.622478080657 | -0.992371928301807 |
47 | 106.9 | 111.481211825038 | -9.22860258903177 | 111.547390763994 | 4.58121182503764 |
48 | 103.2 | 104.144129769601 | -7.72617379393264 | 109.982044024331 | 0.944129769601176 |
49 | 118.6 | 121.632321444007 | 7.15098127132412 | 108.416697284669 | 3.03232144400707 |
50 | 118.7 | 122.964154585941 | 7.72013802187104 | 106.715707392188 | 4.26415458594079 |
51 | 102.8 | 98.2359857412093 | 2.34929675908322 | 105.014717499708 | -4.56401425879073 |
52 | 100.6 | 99.4712235795372 | -1.95277965494508 | 103.681556075408 | -1.12877642046283 |
53 | 94.9 | 90.3864539940087 | -2.93484864511705 | 102.348394651108 | -4.51354600599127 |
54 | 94.5 | 91.5313425101831 | -3.62819156370390 | 101.096849053521 | -2.96865748981691 |
55 | 102.9 | 100.656230294427 | 5.29846624963986 | 99.8453034559333 | -2.24376970557316 |
56 | 95.3 | 93.9251357726871 | -1.94657147815202 | 98.621435705465 | -1.37486422731286 |
57 | 92.5 | 89.6740374083167 | -2.07160536331314 | 97.3975679549964 | -2.82596259168329 |
58 | 102.7 | 102.188979729212 | 6.96989384764446 | 96.2411264231432 | -0.51102027078764 |
59 | 91.5 | 97.1439176977418 | -9.22860258903177 | 95.08468489129 | 5.64391769774181 |
60 | 89.5 | 92.72637874439 | -7.72617379393264 | 93.9997950495427 | 3.22637874438996 |