| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1312 | 0.2604 | 0.2293 | -0.0937 | 0.2836 | -0.1588 | -0.9993 |
| (p-val) | (0.743 ) | (0.056 ) | (0.1969 ) | (0.8153 ) | (0.1485 ) | (0.4056 ) | (0.1874 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.0434 | 0.2714 | 0.2541 | 0 | 0.2738 | -0.1657 | -0.9992 |
| (p-val) | (0.736 ) | (0.0309 ) | (0.0531 ) | (NA ) | (0.1508 ) | (0.3778 ) | (0.1893 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2786 | 0.2646 | 0 | 0.2771 | -0.1784 | -0.9988 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0245 ) | (0.0379 ) | (NA ) | (0.1473 ) | (0.33 ) | (0.2093 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2651 | 0.2908 | 0 | 0.3481 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0305 ) | (0.0198 ) | (NA ) | (0.0652 ) | (NA ) | (0.0081 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.2566 | 0.322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5355 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0351 ) | (0.0102 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0249 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -871.816426995542 |
| -714.264404771364 |
| 2020.73740078416 |
| -2674.40865147688 |
| -4762.09652926476 |
| 153.500631589065 |
| 2434.44411067652 |
| 2099.60706630736 |
| 722.906707942123 |
| -2117.52307629520 |
| -671.167804909363 |
| -3085.22011834704 |
| 342.193899088129 |
| 146.401808661614 |
| 1380.01174100011 |
| -770.16049114385 |
| -2883.3946590651 |
| 359.881884360215 |
| -70.2144774696498 |
| 3914.32061592719 |
| 2399.99971459741 |
| -1873.27164184833 |
| -4884.85624890904 |
| -3985.78756462863 |
| 1571.980601588 |
| -7127.72779556322 |
| -318.068179237627 |
| -3057.95756436679 |
| 6222.40571915853 |
| -2674.00388926754 |
| -4599.18909915706 |
| 1381.83894370054 |
| -2129.84948467905 |
| -6482.6113266149 |
| 3515.87795724437 |
| 2717.80797458304 |
| -5570.93864121143 |
| 4008.31628146777 |
| 2904.26869711285 |
| 5007.66516885515 |
| -2290.3793941841 |
| -2180.59786472421 |
| -2714.87718651849 |
| 3139.45942105278 |
| -5077.05013403046 |
| 6849.81037094782 |
| -500.621313324212 |
| -3095.92322706034 |
| -446.436290250982 |
| 3814.37690051270 |
| 8504.37529958518 |
| 5381.33430671774 |
| 3628.8719510744 |
| 1808.13253531804 |
| 6372.56469173152 |
| -886.102061659321 |
| -3197.63100744742 |
| 1634.65474029846 |
| -1728.85511843406 |
| -861.82581485875 |
