| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0199 | 0.9193 | 0.9997 | -0.1798 | -0.4764 | -0.0233 |
| (p-val) | (0.8136 ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) | (0.7662 ) | (0.0187 ) | (0.9738 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.0195 | 0.9196 | 0.9999 | -0.1987 | -0.4808 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.8158 ) | (0 ) | (6e-04 ) | (0.2026 ) | (0.0014 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.936 | 1 | -0.2043 | -0.4833 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1861 ) | (0.0012 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.9245 | 1 | 0 | -0.4285 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0047 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 8056.00855189795 |
| 137162.66369428 |
| -111757.617822028 |
| -13739.7675752513 |
| -202663.630188669 |
| 19438.1680567609 |
| 15093.0357821703 |
| 26661.6735015404 |
| -16849.2154424608 |
| -63827.5961782842 |
| 91985.96121438 |
| 75923.4415804766 |
| -4749.51517501155 |
| -57005.9766968015 |
| -37152.5931708459 |
| -72769.0079031834 |
| -264773.611350855 |
| -74943.9566847502 |
| -159054.613764086 |
| 95767.5850848088 |
| -139677.021900766 |
| -119280.905351797 |
| -12554.9948841420 |
| -203011.910836227 |
| -214670.743964414 |
| 83739.1086778937 |
| -69297.3557070206 |
| -343006.413376489 |
| 88310.2433597732 |
| 34912.6043412007 |
| 150639.380406317 |
| -10283.9529461461 |
| -25459.9324915975 |
| -54483.4565595704 |
| 79225.924744817 |
| -134232.628255570 |
| 263712.274878082 |
| -148013.520188363 |
| -82043.8679209882 |
| -13821.3126437501 |
| -32546.266410127 |
| 154773.973066783 |
| 113168.917579789 |
| 187360.659405156 |
| 167546.239290396 |
| 250264.585637900 |
| 63732.1937037507 |
| 2192.59513506376 |
| 58069.3222323027 |
| 65150.0978631335 |
| 108827.625992891 |
| -116461.105074540 |
