| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0.428593928188172 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 10.3 | 10.3771634615385 | -0.077163461538472 |
| 14 | 10.2 | 10.2079399766900 | -0.00793997668997548 |
| 15 | 9.6 | 9.60377331002331 | -0.00377331002331083 |
| 16 | 9.2 | 9.18710664335664 | 0.0128933566433567 |
| 17 | 9.3 | 9.28293997668998 | 0.0170600233100231 |
| 18 | 9.4 | 9.39960664335664 | 0.000393356643355602 |
| 19 | 9.4 | 9.40793997668998 | -0.00793997668997726 |
| 20 | 9.2 | 9.34960664335664 | -0.149606643356645 |
| 21 | 9 | 8.83293997668998 | 0.167060023310022 |
| 22 | 9 | 8.80377331002331 | 0.196226689976690 |
| 23 | 9 | 9.08293997668998 | -0.0829399766899783 |
| 24 | 9.8 | 10.0871066433566 | -0.287106643356640 |
| 25 | 10 | 9.99960664335665 | 0.000393356643353826 |
| 26 | 9.8 | 9.90793997668997 | -0.107939976689973 |
| 27 | 9.3 | 9.20377331002331 | 0.0962266899766906 |
| 28 | 9 | 8.88710664335664 | 0.112893356643356 |
| 29 | 9 | 9.08293997668998 | -0.0829399766899783 |
| 30 | 9.1 | 9.09960664335664 | 0.000393356643357379 |
| 31 | 9.1 | 9.10793997668998 | -0.00793997668997548 |
| 32 | 9.1 | 9.04960664335664 | 0.0503933566433563 |
| 33 | 9.2 | 8.73293997668998 | 0.467060023310021 |
| 34 | 8.8 | 9.00377331002331 | -0.203773310023308 |
| 35 | 8.3 | 8.88293997668998 | -0.582939976689978 |
| 36 | 8.4 | 9.38710664335664 | -0.987106643356642 |
| 37 | 8.1 | 8.59960664335665 | -0.499606643356646 |
| 38 | 7.7 | 8.00793997668997 | -0.307939976689974 |
| 39 | 7.9 | 7.10377331002331 | 0.796226689976692 |
| 40 | 7.9 | 7.48710664335664 | 0.412893356643358 |
| 41 | 8 | 7.98293997668998 | 0.0170600233100213 |
| 42 | 7.9 | 8.09960664335664 | -0.199606643356642 |
| 43 | 7.6 | 7.90793997668997 | -0.307939976689975 |
| 44 | 7.1 | 7.54960664335664 | -0.449606643356643 |
| 45 | 6.8 | 6.73293997668998 | 0.067060023310022 |
| 46 | 6.5 | 6.60377331002331 | -0.103773310023309 |
| 47 | 6.9 | 6.58293997668998 | 0.317060023310023 |
| 48 | 8.2 | 7.98710664335664 | 0.212893356643360 |
| 49 | 8.7 | 8.39960664335664 | 0.300393356643355 |
| 50 | 8.3 | 8.60793997668997 | -0.307939976689973 |
| 51 | 7.9 | 7.70377331002331 | 0.196226689976691 |
| 52 | 7.5 | 7.48710664335664 | 0.0128933566433576 |
| 53 | 7.8 | 7.58293997668998 | 0.217060023310022 |
| 54 | 8.3 | 7.89960664335664 | 0.400393356643360 |
| 55 | 8.4 | 8.30793997668998 | 0.0920600233100242 |
| 56 | 8.2 | 8.34960664335664 | -0.149606643356645 |
| 57 | 7.7 | 7.83293997668998 | -0.132939976689978 |
| 58 | 7.2 | 7.50377331002331 | -0.303773310023311 |
| 59 | 7.3 | 7.28293997668998 | 0.0170600233100222 |
| 60 | 8.1 | 8.38710664335664 | -0.287106643356639 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 8.29960664335665 | 7.72361476753616 | 8.87559851917713 |
| 62 | 8.20754662004662 | 7.39297109744457 | 9.02212214264867 |
| 63 | 7.61131993006993 | 6.61367273640194 | 8.60896712373791 |
| 64 | 7.19842657342657 | 6.0464428217856 | 8.35041032506754 |
| 65 | 7.28136655011655 | 5.99340956129432 | 8.56932353893877 |
| 66 | 7.38097319347319 | 5.97008700172447 | 8.79185938522191 |
| 67 | 7.38891317016316 | 5.86498190954856 | 8.91284443077777 |
| 68 | 7.33851981351981 | 5.7093687683157 | 8.96767085872391 |
| 69 | 6.97145979020979 | 5.24348416274832 | 8.69943541767125 |
| 70 | 6.7752331002331 | 4.95378685888749 | 8.5966793415787 |
| 71 | 6.85817307692307 | 4.94782414253354 | 8.76852201131261 |
| 72 | 7.94527972027971 | 5.94998533294374 | 9.94057410761569 |
