Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1201 | 0 | 121 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 423.4 | 463.322686523912 | -66.0208557168566 | 449.498169192945 | 39.9226865239119 |
2 | 404.1 | 501.154507793702 | -153.035594154971 | 460.081086361269 | 97.0545077937021 |
3 | 500 | 387.976487009375 | 141.359509461032 | 470.664003529593 | -112.023512990625 |
4 | 472.6 | 418.664232967553 | 45.2854523382474 | 481.2503146942 | -53.9357670324474 |
5 | 496.1 | 383.242109779647 | 117.121264361546 | 491.836625858807 | -112.857890220353 |
6 | 562 | 757.259334313481 | -135.468075298591 | 502.20874098511 | 195.259334313481 |
7 | 434.8 | 442.456596092553 | -85.4374522039657 | 512.580856111413 | 7.65659609255317 |
8 | 538.2 | 504.528736727737 | 48.6483392588324 | 523.222924013431 | -33.6712632722632 |
9 | 577.6 | 401.570865195521 | 219.764142889030 | 533.864991915449 | -176.029134804479 |
10 | 518.1 | 532.324534471057 | -41.2407767260136 | 545.116242254957 | 14.2245344710568 |
11 | 625.2 | 869.108052318109 | -175.075544912573 | 556.367492594465 | 243.908052318109 |
12 | 561.2 | 471.128896695863 | 84.0995508852252 | 567.171552418912 | -90.0711033041373 |
13 | 523.3 | 534.645243473497 | -66.0208557168566 | 577.97561224336 | 11.3452434734971 |
14 | 536.1 | 636.327906995482 | -153.035594154971 | 588.907687159489 | 100.227906995482 |
15 | 607.3 | 473.40072846335 | 141.359509461032 | 599.839762075618 | -133.899271536651 |
16 | 637.3 | 617.617045456213 | 45.2854523382474 | 611.69750220554 | -19.6829545437873 |
17 | 606.9 | 473.123493302993 | 117.121264361546 | 623.555242335461 | -133.776506697007 |
18 | 652.9 | 802.504014186664 | -135.468075298591 | 638.764061111927 | 149.604014186664 |
19 | 617.2 | 665.864572315574 | -85.4374522039657 | 653.972879888392 | 48.6645723155735 |
20 | 670.4 | 620.59983620884 | 48.6483392588324 | 671.551824532328 | -49.80016379116 |
21 | 729.9 | 550.905087934707 | 219.764142889030 | 689.130769176263 | -178.994912065293 |
22 | 677.2 | 682.944263410715 | -41.2407767260136 | 712.696513315299 | 5.74426341071489 |
23 | 710 | 858.813287458239 | -175.075544912573 | 736.262257454335 | 148.813287458239 |
24 | 844.3 | 805.873013353573 | 84.0995508852252 | 798.627435761202 | -38.4269866464274 |
25 | 748.2 | 701.428241648787 | -66.0208557168566 | 860.99261406807 | -46.7717583512131 |
26 | 653.9 | 500.984325645147 | -153.035594154971 | 959.851268509824 | -152.915674354853 |
27 | 742.6 | 285.13056758739 | 141.359509461032 | 1058.70992295158 | -457.46943241261 |
28 | 854.2 | 502.65962067085 | 45.2854523382474 | 1160.45492699090 | -351.540379329149 |
29 | 808.4 | 237.478804608228 | 117.121264361546 | 1262.19993103023 | -570.921195391772 |
30 | 1819 | 2416.61379615754 | -135.468075298591 | 1356.85427914105 | 597.613796157541 |
31 | 1936.5 | 2506.92882495209 | -85.4374522039657 | 1451.50862725187 | 570.428824952093 |
32 | 1966.1 | 2334.75211703859 | 48.6483392588324 | 1548.79954370258 | 368.652117038587 |
33 | 2083.1 | 2300.34539695768 | 219.764142889030 | 1646.09046015329 | 217.245396957681 |
34 | 1620.1 | 1562.15069101655 | -41.2407767260136 | 1719.29008570946 | -57.9493089834493 |
35 | 1527.6 | 1437.78583364694 | -175.075544912573 | 1792.48971126564 | -89.814166353063 |
36 | 1795 | 1686.38845749023 | 84.0995508852252 | 1819.51199162455 | -108.611542509774 |
37 | 1685.1 | 1589.68658373340 | -66.0208557168566 | 1846.53427198346 | -95.4134162666041 |
38 | 1851.8 | 2013.50547877509 | -153.035594154971 | 1843.13011537988 | 161.705478775091 |
39 | 2164.4 | 2347.71453176267 | 141.359509461032 | 1839.7259587763 | 183.314531762670 |
40 | 1981.8 | 2084.93174618030 | 45.2854523382474 | 1833.38280148145 | 103.131746180305 |
41 | 1726.5 | 1508.83909145186 | 117.121264361546 | 1827.03964418660 | -217.660908548142 |
42 | 2144.6 | 2601.91323288714 | -135.468075298591 | 1822.75484241145 | 457.313232887144 |
43 | 1758.2 | 1783.36741156767 | -85.4374522039657 | 1818.47004063630 | 25.1674115676683 |
44 | 1672.9 | 1478.91315801974 | 48.6483392588324 | 1818.23850272143 | -193.986841980260 |
45 | 1837.3 | 1636.82889230441 | 219.764142889030 | 1818.00696480656 | -200.471107695588 |
46 | 1596.1 | 1412.49916462104 | -41.2407767260136 | 1820.94161210498 | -183.600835378965 |
47 | 1446 | 1243.19928550918 | -175.075544912573 | 1823.87625940340 | -202.800714490824 |
48 | 1898.4 | 1884.35032923647 | 84.0995508852252 | 1828.35011987830 | -14.0496707635284 |
49 | 1964.1 | 2161.39687536365 | -66.0208557168566 | 1832.82398035321 | 197.296875363648 |
50 | 1755.9 | 1817.15299409908 | -153.035594154971 | 1847.68260005590 | 61.2529940990755 |
51 | 2255.3 | 2506.69927078039 | 141.359509461032 | 1862.54121975858 | 251.399270780386 |
52 | 1881.2 | 1832.05328917656 | 45.2854523382474 | 1885.06125848520 | -49.1467108234444 |
53 | 2117.9 | 2211.09743842664 | 117.121264361546 | 1907.58129721181 | 93.1974384266423 |
54 | 1656.5 | 1525.07041290989 | -135.468075298591 | 1923.39766238870 | -131.429587090105 |
55 | 1544.1 | 1234.42342463839 | -85.4374522039657 | 1939.21402756558 | -309.676575361614 |
56 | 2098.9 | 2206.32267341156 | 48.6483392588324 | 1942.82898732961 | 107.422673411555 |
57 | 2133.3 | 2100.39191001733 | 219.764142889030 | 1946.44394709364 | -32.9080899826738 |
58 | 1963.5 | 2012.36898478299 | -41.2407767260136 | 1955.87179194303 | 48.8689847829858 |
59 | 1801.2 | 1812.17590812016 | -175.075544912573 | 1965.29963679241 | 10.9759081201619 |
60 | 2365.4 | 2668.15941835215 | 84.0995508852252 | 1978.54103076262 | 302.759418352154 |
61 | 1936.5 | 1947.23843098403 | -66.0208557168566 | 1991.78242473283 | 10.7384309840265 |
62 | 1667.6 | 1483.95517168938 | -153.035594154971 | 2004.28042246559 | -183.644828310617 |
63 | 1983.5 | 1808.86207034062 | 141.359509461032 | 2016.77842019835 | -174.637929659377 |
64 | 2058.6 | 2041.06979821069 | 45.2854523382474 | 2030.84474945106 | -17.5302017893114 |
65 | 2448.3 | 2734.56765693467 | 117.121264361546 | 2044.91107870378 | 286.267656934672 |
66 | 1858.1 | 1786.74668809703 | -135.468075298591 | 2064.92138720156 | -71.3533119029689 |
67 | 1625.4 | 1251.30575650463 | -85.4374522039657 | 2084.93169569934 | -374.094243495371 |
68 | 2130.6 | 2097.28017925516 | 48.6483392588324 | 2115.27148148601 | -33.3198207448409 |
69 | 2515.7 | 2666.02458983829 | 219.764142889030 | 2145.61126727268 | 150.324589838291 |
70 | 2230.2 | 2321.55954626065 | -41.2407767260136 | 2180.08123046536 | 91.3595462606495 |
71 | 2086.9 | 2134.32435125453 | -175.075544912573 | 2214.55119365805 | 47.424351254525 |
72 | 2235 | 2141.07303791425 | 84.0995508852252 | 2244.82741120053 | -93.926962085754 |
73 | 2100.2 | 1991.31722697385 | -66.0208557168566 | 2275.10362874301 | -108.882773026152 |
74 | 2288.6 | 2430.65341074924 | -153.035594154971 | 2299.58218340574 | 142.053410749235 |
75 | 2490 | 2514.57975247051 | 141.359509461032 | 2324.06073806846 | 24.5797524705058 |
76 | 2573.7 | 2760.92592263109 | 45.2854523382474 | 2341.18862503067 | 187.225922631086 |
77 | 2543.8 | 2612.16222364559 | 117.121264361546 | 2358.31651199287 | 68.3622236455849 |
78 | 2004.7 | 1769.28175920011 | -135.468075298591 | 2375.58631609849 | -235.418240799894 |
79 | 2390 | 2472.58133199986 | -85.4374522039657 | 2392.8561202041 | 82.5813319998642 |
80 | 2338.4 | 2219.0508147211 | 48.6483392588324 | 2409.10084602007 | -119.349185278898 |
81 | 2724.5 | 2803.89028527494 | 219.764142889030 | 2425.34557183603 | 79.3902852749397 |
82 | 2292.5 | 2187.8337624522 | -41.2407767260136 | 2438.40701427381 | -104.666237547799 |
83 | 2386 | 2495.60708820098 | -175.075544912573 | 2451.46845671160 | 109.607088200979 |
84 | 2477.9 | 2405.12450172899 | 84.0995508852252 | 2466.57594738579 | -72.7754982710103 |
85 | 2337 | 2258.33741765688 | -66.0208557168566 | 2481.68343805998 | -78.6625823431186 |
86 | 2605.1 | 2860.50015633824 | -153.035594154971 | 2502.73543781673 | 255.400156338237 |
87 | 2560.8 | 2456.45305296548 | 141.359509461032 | 2523.78743757349 | -104.346947034524 |
88 | 2839.3 | 3089.8189311377 | 45.2854523382474 | 2543.49561652405 | 250.518931137703 |
89 | 2407.2 | 2134.07494016385 | 117.121264361546 | 2563.20379547461 | -273.125059836153 |
90 | 2085.2 | 1726.18288051748 | -135.468075298591 | 2579.68519478112 | -359.017119482525 |
91 | 2735.6 | 2960.47085811634 | -85.4374522039657 | 2596.16659408762 | 224.870858116341 |
92 | 2798.7 | 2932.83798648281 | 48.6483392588324 | 2615.91367425836 | 134.137986482811 |
93 | 3053.2 | 3250.97510268188 | 219.764142889030 | 2635.66075442909 | 197.775102681882 |
94 | 2405 | 2187.75331212636 | -41.2407767260136 | 2663.48746459965 | -217.24668787364 |
95 | 2471.9 | 2427.56137014235 | -175.075544912573 | 2691.31417477022 | -44.3386298576456 |
96 | 2727.3 | 2664.92905578375 | 84.0995508852252 | 2705.57139333103 | -62.3709442162512 |
97 | 2790.7 | 2927.59224382502 | -66.0208557168566 | 2719.82861189183 | 136.892243825023 |
98 | 2385.4 | 2210.56236611158 | -153.035594154971 | 2713.27322804339 | -174.83763388842 |
99 | 3206.6 | 3565.12264634402 | 141.359509461032 | 2706.71784419495 | 358.522646344019 |
100 | 2705.6 | 2665.36066590353 | 45.2854523382474 | 2700.55388175822 | -40.2393340964713 |
101 | 3518.4 | 4225.28881631696 | 117.121264361546 | 2694.3899193215 | 706.888816316956 |
102 | 1954.9 | 1355.56107817446 | -135.468075298591 | 2689.70699712413 | -599.338921825538 |
103 | 2584.3 | 2569.01337727721 | -85.4374522039657 | 2685.02407492676 | -15.2866227227937 |
104 | 2535.8 | 2343.49536244969 | 48.6483392588324 | 2679.45629829148 | -192.304637550308 |
105 | 2685.9 | 2478.14733545478 | 219.764142889030 | 2673.88852165619 | -207.752664545222 |
106 | 2866 | 3093.60256400708 | -41.2407767260136 | 2679.63821271894 | 227.602564007076 |
107 | 2236.6 | 1962.88764113089 | -175.075544912573 | 2685.38790378168 | -273.71235886911 |
108 | 2934.9 | 3082.88716148172 | 84.0995508852252 | 2702.81328763306 | 147.987161481719 |
109 | 2668.6 | 2682.98218423243 | -66.0208557168566 | 2720.23867148443 | 14.3821842324282 |
110 | 2371.2 | 2155.71000192470 | -153.035594154971 | 2739.72559223027 | -215.489998075303 |
111 | 3165.9 | 3431.22797756285 | 141.359509461032 | 2759.21251297612 | 265.327977562848 |
112 | 2887.2 | 2960.16035982984 | 45.2854523382474 | 2768.95418783191 | 72.9603598298381 |
113 | 3112.2 | 3328.58287295075 | 117.121264361546 | 2778.69586268771 | 216.382872950746 |
114 | 2671.2 | 2690.54770980086 | -135.468075298591 | 2787.32036549773 | 19.3477098008630 |
115 | 2432.6 | 2154.69258389622 | -85.4374522039657 | 2795.94486830775 | -277.907416103782 |
116 | 2812.3 | 2773.35706380058 | 48.6483392588324 | 2802.59459694059 | -38.9429361994189 |
117 | 3095.7 | 3162.39153153754 | 219.764142889030 | 2809.24432557343 | 66.6915315375445 |
118 | 2862.9 | 2952.40032950512 | -41.2407767260136 | 2814.6404472209 | 89.500329505116 |
119 | 2607.3 | 2569.63897604420 | -175.075544912573 | 2820.03656886837 | -37.6610239557963 |
120 | 2862.5 | 2816.14878945376 | 84.0995508852252 | 2824.75165966101 | -46.3512105462355 |