Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 111.4 | 109.963346045378 | 9.16838097747883 | 103.668272977143 | -1.43665395462226 |
2 | 87.4 | 88.6036736845629 | -17.1719323623381 | 103.368258677775 | 1.20367368456289 |
3 | 96.8 | 96.5973291255034 | -6.06557350391051 | 103.068244378407 | -0.202670874496548 |
4 | 114.1 | 116.457517548846 | 8.9572235623914 | 102.785258888763 | 2.35751754884552 |
5 | 110.3 | 109.117702239616 | 8.98002436126518 | 102.502273399119 | -1.18229776038429 |
6 | 103.9 | 102.953194741660 | 2.60386789529949 | 102.242937363040 | -0.94680525833968 |
7 | 101.6 | 106.108694559546 | -4.89229588650733 | 101.983601326961 | 4.50869455954602 |
8 | 94.6 | 91.9733611951045 | -4.50979903122016 | 101.736437836116 | -2.62663880489546 |
9 | 95.9 | 93.3380328820775 | -3.0273072273474 | 101.48927434527 | -2.56196711792253 |
10 | 104.7 | 102.08940220981 | 6.01711529445967 | 101.293482495730 | -2.61059779019 |
11 | 102.8 | 104.420773067899 | 0.0815362859103597 | 101.097690646191 | 1.62077306789890 |
12 | 98.1 | 95.1446975631707 | -0.141240972135107 | 101.196543408964 | -2.9553024368293 |
13 | 113.9 | 117.336222850783 | 9.16838097747883 | 101.295396171738 | 3.43622285078314 |
14 | 80.9 | 77.3261746459533 | -17.1719323623381 | 101.645757716385 | -3.57382535404668 |
15 | 95.7 | 95.469454242879 | -6.06557350391051 | 101.996119261032 | -0.230545757121092 |
16 | 113.2 | 114.966939786945 | 8.9572235623914 | 102.475836650664 | 1.76693978694486 |
17 | 105.9 | 99.864421598439 | 8.98002436126518 | 102.955554040296 | -6.03557840156105 |
18 | 108.8 | 111.594547759381 | 2.60386789529949 | 103.401584345320 | 2.79454775938096 |
19 | 102.3 | 105.644681236164 | -4.89229588650733 | 103.847614650343 | 3.34468123616413 |
20 | 99 | 98.2724303495114 | -4.50979903122016 | 104.237368681709 | -0.727569650488562 |
21 | 100.7 | 99.8001845142732 | -3.0273072273474 | 104.627122713074 | -0.899815485726847 |
22 | 115.5 | 120.001104451738 | 6.01711529445967 | 104.981780253802 | 4.50110445173834 |
23 | 100.7 | 95.98202591956 | 0.0815362859103597 | 105.336437794530 | -4.71797408044007 |
24 | 109.9 | 114.270358847045 | -0.141240972135107 | 105.670882125091 | 4.3703588470446 |
25 | 114.6 | 114.026292566870 | 9.16838097747883 | 106.005326455651 | -0.573707433130139 |
26 | 85.4 | 81.6242328066046 | -17.1719323623381 | 106.347699555734 | -3.77576719339542 |
27 | 100.5 | 100.375500848095 | -6.06557350391051 | 106.690072655816 | -0.124499151905312 |
28 | 114.8 | 113.593824176599 | 8.9572235623914 | 107.04895226101 | -1.20617582340141 |
29 | 116.5 | 116.612143772531 | 8.98002436126518 | 107.407831866204 | 0.112143772530601 |
30 | 112.9 | 115.465950029336 | 2.60386789529949 | 107.730182075364 | 2.56595002933602 |
31 | 102 | 100.839763601983 | -4.89229588650733 | 108.052532284525 | -1.16023639801746 |
32 | 106 | 108.184936219764 | -4.50979903122016 | 108.324862811456 | 2.18493621976414 |
33 | 105.3 | 105.030113888960 | -3.0273072273474 | 108.597193338387 | -0.269886111039852 |
34 | 118.8 | 122.82197826745 | 6.01711529445967 | 108.760906438091 | 4.02197826744982 |
35 | 106.1 | 103.193844176296 | 0.0815362859103597 | 108.924619537794 | -2.90615582370411 |
36 | 109.3 | 109.743296250230 | -0.141240972135107 | 108.997944721905 | 0.443296250230148 |
37 | 117.2 | 116.160349116505 | 9.16838097747883 | 109.071269906016 | -1.03965088349501 |
38 | 92.5 | 92.9536029288053 | -17.1719323623381 | 109.218329433533 | 0.453602928805338 |
39 | 104.2 | 105.100184542861 | -6.06557350391051 | 109.365388961049 | 0.900184542861098 |
40 | 112.5 | 106.469024896160 | 8.9572235623914 | 109.573751541448 | -6.03097510383954 |
41 | 122.4 | 126.037861516888 | 8.98002436126518 | 109.782114121847 | 3.63786151688795 |
42 | 113.3 | 114.017973067506 | 2.60386789529949 | 109.978159037195 | 0.717973067505511 |
43 | 100 | 94.7180919339642 | -4.89229588650733 | 110.174203952543 | -5.28190806603577 |
44 | 110.7 | 115.669011815345 | -4.50979903122016 | 110.240787215875 | 4.96901181534471 |
45 | 112.8 | 118.319936748140 | -3.0273072273474 | 110.307370479208 | 5.5199367481396 |
46 | 109.8 | 103.465832535862 | 6.01711529445967 | 110.117052169678 | -6.33416746413765 |
47 | 117.3 | 124.591729853941 | 0.0815362859103597 | 109.926733860148 | 7.29172985394149 |
48 | 109.1 | 109.138300545420 | -0.141240972135107 | 109.202940426715 | 0.038300545420384 |
49 | 115.9 | 114.152472029240 | 9.16838097747883 | 108.479146993281 | -1.74752797076010 |
50 | 96 | 101.895817470474 | -17.1719323623381 | 107.276114891864 | 5.89581747047399 |
51 | 99.8 | 99.5924907134635 | -6.06557350391051 | 106.073082790447 | -0.207509286536492 |
52 | 116.8 | 120.037153163822 | 8.9572235623914 | 104.605623273787 | 3.23715316382173 |
53 | 115.7 | 119.281811881608 | 8.98002436126518 | 103.138163757127 | 3.58181188160809 |
54 | 99.4 | 94.5397019732192 | 2.60386789529949 | 101.656430131481 | -4.86029802678078 |
55 | 94.3 | 93.3175993806715 | -4.89229588650733 | 100.174696505836 | -0.982400619328544 |
56 | 91 | 87.8460931492642 | -4.50979903122016 | 98.663705881956 | -3.15390685073575 |
57 | 93.2 | 92.2745919692715 | -3.0273072273474 | 97.152715258076 | -0.925408030728548 |
58 | 103.1 | 104.550830325112 | 6.01711529445967 | 95.6320543804288 | 1.45083032511151 |
59 | 94.1 | 94.007070211308 | 0.0815362859103597 | 94.1113935027817 | -0.0929297886920466 |
60 | 91.8 | 91.1365193366132 | -0.141240972135107 | 92.6047216355219 | -0.663480663386778 |
61 | 102.7 | 105.133569254259 | 9.16838097747883 | 91.0980497682621 | 2.43356925425908 |