| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.196498523917098 |
| beta | 0.0899638888814172 |
| gamma | 0.583891170761644 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 120.2 | 110.836266892128 | 9.36373310787225 |
| 14 | 100.2 | 93.7737425390607 | 6.42625746093925 |
| 15 | 143.2 | 137.733968961221 | 5.46603103877948 |
| 16 | 70.9 | 69.2677650721188 | 1.63223492788116 |
| 17 | 85.2 | 83.563859402248 | 1.63614059775202 |
| 18 | 133 | 131.471213139645 | 1.52878686035532 |
| 19 | 136.6 | 112.802431551073 | 23.7975684489271 |
| 20 | 117.9 | 136.202701952687 | -18.3027019526874 |
| 21 | 106.3 | 127.870142486416 | -21.5701424864163 |
| 22 | 122.3 | 114.292139737955 | 8.00786026204501 |
| 23 | 125.5 | 121.150889303946 | 4.34911069605408 |
| 24 | 148.4 | 161.952468839141 | -13.5524688391415 |
| 25 | 126.3 | 141.820088080406 | -15.5200880804060 |
| 26 | 99.6 | 114.330930031326 | -14.7309300313257 |
| 27 | 140.4 | 158.468316777822 | -18.0683167778224 |
| 28 | 80.3 | 76.103667450336 | 4.19633254966406 |
| 29 | 92.6 | 91.5099997783892 | 1.09000022161084 |
| 30 | 138.5 | 142.155019193663 | -3.65501919366267 |
| 31 | 110.9 | 130.82261788252 | -19.9226178825200 |
| 32 | 119.6 | 124.011853083112 | -4.41185308311196 |
| 33 | 105 | 115.229242095174 | -10.2292420951737 |
| 34 | 109 | 116.476607663784 | -7.47660766378387 |
| 35 | 129.4 | 116.966482707007 | 12.4335172929932 |
| 36 | 148.6 | 148.050329870125 | 0.549670129875324 |
| 37 | 101.4 | 128.964019288729 | -27.5640192887285 |
| 38 | 134.8 | 99.6220205129872 | 35.1779794870128 |
| 39 | 143.7 | 152.162179437852 | -8.46217943785194 |
| 40 | 81.6 | 80.0212821933726 | 1.57871780662735 |
| 41 | 90.3 | 93.4181970405116 | -3.11819704051156 |
| 42 | 141.5 | 140.783350177299 | 0.716649822701498 |
| 43 | 140.7 | 121.849978681189 | 18.8500213188111 |
| 44 | 140.2 | 130.47529005527 | 9.72470994472985 |
| 45 | 100.2 | 121.107034884099 | -20.9070348840991 |
| 46 | 125.7 | 122.147022453900 | 3.55297754609956 |
| 47 | 119.6 | 135.697013378742 | -16.0970133787416 |
| 48 | 134.7 | 156.956073049891 | -22.2560730498909 |
| 49 | 109 | 118.415772442545 | -9.41577244254475 |
| 50 | 116.3 | 121.236254667216 | -4.93625466721626 |
| 51 | 146.9 | 143.849462541121 | 3.05053745887881 |
| 52 | 97.4 | 79.1900307188684 | 18.2099692811316 |
| 53 | 89.4 | 93.7095433342137 | -4.30954333421366 |
| 54 | 132.1 | 143.192577388638 | -11.0925773886379 |
| 55 | 139.8 | 129.768647719405 | 10.031352280595 |
| 56 | 129 | 131.705789881828 | -2.70578988182803 |
| 57 | 112.5 | 105.636187052539 | 6.86381294746096 |
| 58 | 121.9 | 123.320922692383 | -1.4209226923831 |
| 59 | 121.7 | 126.117611532921 | -4.41761153292131 |
| 60 | 123.1 | 146.348068519575 | -23.2480685195753 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 113.459640628880 | 96.3315883874954 | 130.587692870264 |
| 62 | 120.273009022562 | 102.174500466326 | 138.371517578797 |
| 63 | 148.220115600902 | 128.207138399329 | 168.233092802475 |
| 64 | 88.7826108260244 | 70.0979528260481 | 107.467268826001 |
| 65 | 88.7979231027091 | 69.0910776021049 | 108.504768603313 |
| 66 | 134.411176744043 | 109.622097010197 | 159.200256477890 |
| 67 | 132.811807301196 | 106.660707089634 | 158.962907512757 |
| 68 | 126.588181350545 | 99.6337017801938 | 153.542660920897 |
| 69 | 105.767533360297 | 80.1108516189914 | 131.424215101604 |
| 70 | 117.283993882002 | 88.3337441384241 | 146.234243625581 |
| 71 | 118.460753727227 | 87.6312341444537 | 149.290273310000 |
| 72 | 129.548212502931 | -45.6960479819908 | 304.792472987854 |
