Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 105.7 | 113.438502657381 | -1.65475088289069 | 99.6162482255097 | 7.73850265738102 |
2 | 105.7 | 114.539396380605 | -3.33546746797459 | 100.196071087370 | 8.83939638060477 |
3 | 111.1 | 99.500274929356 | 21.923831121414 | 100.77589394923 | -11.5997250706440 |
4 | 82.4 | 96.1831124324614 | -32.8580649204433 | 101.474952487982 | 13.7831124324614 |
5 | 60 | 49.9459229325979 | -32.1199339593318 | 102.174011026734 | -10.0540770674021 |
6 | 107.3 | 96.9115654916517 | 14.7768550793945 | 102.911579428954 | -10.3884345083483 |
7 | 99.3 | 85.2772162326346 | 9.67363593619163 | 103.649147831174 | -14.0227837673654 |
8 | 113.5 | 114.483242716394 | 8.14175906753394 | 104.374998216072 | 0.983242716394017 |
9 | 108.9 | 122.129273121205 | -9.4301217221754 | 105.100848600970 | 13.2292731212050 |
10 | 100.2 | 94.4827473511068 | -0.450283493536637 | 106.367536142430 | -5.71725264889322 |
11 | 103.9 | 96.676223829073 | 3.48955248703777 | 107.634223683889 | -7.2237761709271 |
12 | 138.7 | 146.273301894470 | 21.8429880104924 | 109.283710095037 | 7.57330189447029 |
13 | 120.2 | 131.121554376705 | -1.65475088289069 | 110.933196506185 | 10.9215543767054 |
14 | 100.2 | 91.5100880688712 | -3.33546746797459 | 112.225379399103 | -8.68991193112879 |
15 | 143.2 | 150.958606586565 | 21.923831121414 | 113.517562292021 | 7.75860658656454 |
16 | 70.9 | 60.1294039101292 | -32.8580649204433 | 114.528661010314 | -10.7705960898708 |
17 | 85.2 | 86.980174230725 | -32.1199339593318 | 115.539759728607 | 1.78017423072492 |
18 | 133 | 134.753933060070 | 14.7768550793945 | 116.469211860536 | 1.75393306006974 |
19 | 136.6 | 146.127700071344 | 9.67363593619163 | 117.398663992465 | 9.52770007134363 |
20 | 117.9 | 109.781223425602 | 8.14175906753394 | 117.877017506865 | -8.11877657439848 |
21 | 106.3 | 103.674750700911 | -9.4301217221754 | 118.355371021264 | -2.62524929908895 |
22 | 122.3 | 126.446253685369 | -0.450283493536637 | 118.604029808168 | 4.14625368536892 |
23 | 125.5 | 128.657758917891 | 3.48955248703777 | 118.852688595071 | 3.15775891789116 |
24 | 148.4 | 156.247733322763 | 21.8429880104924 | 118.709278666744 | 7.84773332276347 |
25 | 126.3 | 135.688882144473 | -1.65475088289069 | 118.565868738417 | 9.38888214447344 |
26 | 99.6 | 84.5048637114989 | -3.33546746797459 | 118.030603756476 | -15.0951362885011 |
27 | 140.4 | 141.380830104052 | 21.923831121414 | 117.495338774534 | 0.980830104051861 |
28 | 80.3 | 76.522063369575 | -32.8580649204433 | 116.936001550868 | -3.77793663042502 |
29 | 92.6 | 100.943269632129 | -32.1199339593318 | 116.376664327203 | 8.34326963212922 |
30 | 138.5 | 146.042762648497 | 14.7768550793945 | 116.180382272109 | 7.54276264849668 |
31 | 110.9 | 96.1422638467932 | 9.67363593619163 | 115.984100217015 | -14.7577361532068 |
32 | 119.6 | 114.675430233267 | 8.14175906753394 | 116.382810699199 | -4.92456976673306 |
33 | 105 | 102.648600540792 | -9.4301217221754 | 116.781521181383 | -2.35139945920767 |
34 | 109 | 101.129997978085 | -0.450283493536637 | 117.320285515452 | -7.87000202191547 |
35 | 129.4 | 137.451397663441 | 3.48955248703777 | 117.859049849521 | 8.0513976634411 |
36 | 148.6 | 156.572435030982 | 21.8429880104924 | 118.784576958526 | 7.97243503098191 |
37 | 101.4 | 84.7446468153604 | -1.65475088289069 | 119.710104067530 | -16.6553531846396 |
38 | 134.8 | 152.143786920774 | -3.33546746797459 | 120.791680547201 | 17.3437869207736 |
39 | 143.7 | 143.602911851714 | 21.923831121414 | 121.873257026872 | -0.097088148285792 |
40 | 81.6 | 73.813929741468 | -32.8580649204433 | 122.244135178975 | -7.78607025853192 |
41 | 90.3 | 90.104920628253 | -32.1199339593318 | 122.615013331079 | -0.195079371746985 |
42 | 141.5 | 145.988827433312 | 14.7768550793945 | 122.234317487294 | 4.48882743331151 |
43 | 140.7 | 149.872742420299 | 9.67363593619163 | 121.853621643509 | 9.17274242029909 |
44 | 140.2 | 150.763088176584 | 8.14175906753394 | 121.495152755882 | 10.5630881765843 |
45 | 100.2 | 88.6934378539211 | -9.4301217221754 | 121.136683868254 | -11.5065621460789 |
46 | 125.7 | 130.861258975473 | -0.450283493536637 | 120.989024518063 | 5.16125897547327 |
47 | 119.6 | 114.869082345090 | 3.48955248703777 | 120.841365167872 | -4.73091765491023 |
48 | 134.7 | 126.842970034712 | 21.8429880104924 | 120.714041954795 | -7.85702996528761 |
49 | 109 | 99.0680321411727 | -1.65475088289069 | 120.586718741718 | -9.93196785882732 |
50 | 116.3 | 115.322767719634 | -3.33546746797459 | 120.61269974834 | -0.977232280365527 |
51 | 146.9 | 151.237488123624 | 21.923831121414 | 120.638680754962 | 4.33748812362379 |
52 | 97.4 | 107.133541442349 | -32.8580649204433 | 120.524523478094 | 9.7335414423494 |
53 | 89.4 | 90.509567758106 | -32.1199339593318 | 120.410366201226 | 1.10956775810608 |
54 | 132.1 | 129.411921848330 | 14.7768550793945 | 120.011223072275 | -2.68807815166954 |
55 | 139.8 | 150.314284120484 | 9.67363593619163 | 119.612079943324 | 10.5142841204839 |
56 | 129 | 130.699720159123 | 8.14175906753394 | 119.158520773343 | 1.69972015912262 |
57 | 112.5 | 115.725160118813 | -9.4301217221754 | 118.704961603362 | 3.22516011881294 |
58 | 121.9 | 126.089445527798 | -0.450283493536637 | 118.160837965739 | 4.18944552779811 |
59 | 121.7 | 122.293733184848 | 3.48955248703777 | 117.616714328115 | 0.593733184847636 |
60 | 123.1 | 107.392180424565 | 21.8429880104924 | 116.964831564943 | -15.707819575435 |