Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 105.7 | NA | NA | 0.97318121800085 | NA |
2 | 105.7 | NA | NA | 0.95152026739898 | NA |
3 | 111.1 | NA | NA | 1.21299453867965 | NA |
4 | 82.4 | NA | NA | 0.694503848470929 | NA |
5 | 60 | NA | NA | 0.75073415971995 | NA |
6 | 107.3 | NA | NA | 1.144233413222 | NA |
7 | 99.3 | 109.628344220261 | 103.6625 | 1.05755064965886 | 0.905787647403394 |
8 | 113.5 | 111.164689304183 | 104.0375 | 1.06850596471641 | 1.02100766628715 |
9 | 108.9 | 96.1580898841023 | 105.145833333333 | 0.914521163946287 | 1.13251001690295 |
10 | 100.2 | 104.364036104902 | 106.004166666667 | 0.984527678360778 | 0.960100852167917 |
11 | 103.9 | 109.412994093463 | 106.575 | 1.02662907899097 | 0.949612985741408 |
12 | 138.7 | 132.728266738881 | 108.695833333333 | 1.22109801883434 | 1.04499217391927 |
13 | 120.2 | 108.335344172203 | 111.320833333333 | 0.97318121800085 | 1.10951786712320 |
14 | 100.2 | 107.577295565016 | 113.058333333333 | 0.95152026739898 | 0.931423303344173 |
15 | 143.2 | 137.230115475958 | 113.133333333333 | 1.21299453867965 | 1.04350272899893 |
16 | 70.9 | 79.135819767227 | 113.945833333333 | 0.694503848470929 | 0.895928041290882 |
17 | 85.2 | 86.9099912235796 | 115.766666666667 | 0.75073415971995 | 0.980324572589352 |
18 | 133 | 133.956359213744 | 117.070833333333 | 1.144233413222 | 0.992860665821635 |
19 | 136.6 | 124.504556692129 | 117.729166666667 | 1.05755064965886 | 1.0971485994507 |
20 | 117.9 | 126.039182754673 | 117.958333333333 | 1.06850596471641 | 0.935423393132313 |
21 | 106.3 | 107.745835132272 | 117.816666666667 | 0.914521163946287 | 0.986581057815397 |
22 | 122.3 | 116.264514417088 | 118.091666666667 | 0.984527678360778 | 1.05191167410944 |
23 | 125.5 | 121.954979341802 | 118.791666666667 | 1.02662907899097 | 1.02906827320484 |
24 | 148.4 | 145.712609005819 | 119.329166666667 | 1.22109801883434 | 1.01844309159322 |
25 | 126.3 | 115.309809567876 | 118.4875 | 0.97318121800085 | 1.09531010824934 |
26 | 99.6 | 111.791737416038 | 117.4875 | 0.95152026739898 | 0.890942410433558 |
27 | 140.4 | 142.53191243877 | 117.504166666667 | 1.21299453867965 | 0.98504256062876 |
28 | 80.3 | 81.1846061202163 | 116.895833333333 | 0.694503848470929 | 0.989103770252868 |
29 | 92.6 | 87.463657666373 | 116.504166666667 | 0.75073415971995 | 1.05872544632445 |
30 | 138.5 | 133.503433487677 | 116.675 | 1.144233413222 | 1.03742650193925 |
31 | 110.9 | 122.301326172007 | 115.645833333333 | 1.05755064965886 | 0.906776757629172 |
32 | 119.6 | 124.026829854457 | 116.075 | 1.06850596471641 | 0.964307482021011 |
33 | 105 | 107.620088472229 | 117.679166666667 | 0.914521163946287 | 0.975654280632698 |
34 | 109 | 116.047097888117 | 117.870833333333 | 0.984527678360778 | 0.9392738119577 |
35 | 129.4 | 120.966848853273 | 117.829166666667 | 1.02662907899097 | 1.06971456416919 |
36 | 148.6 | 143.916577336450 | 117.858333333333 | 1.22109801883434 | 1.03254262122007 |
37 | 101.4 | 116.027530716151 | 119.225 | 0.97318121800085 | 0.873930517818776 |
38 | 134.8 | 115.443196442181 | 121.325 | 0.95152026739898 | 1.16767383574236 |
39 | 143.7 | 147.965117143272 | 121.983333333333 | 1.21299453867965 | 0.971174846980031 |
40 | 81.6 | 85.0622526075123 | 122.479166666667 | 0.694503848470929 | 0.959297426280402 |
41 | 90.3 | 92.1651303416192 | 122.766666666667 | 0.75073415971995 | 0.979763167103373 |
42 | 141.5 | 139.343791534331 | 121.779166666667 | 1.144233413222 | 1.01547401891341 |
43 | 140.7 | 128.510029777712 | 121.516666666667 | 1.05755064965886 | 1.09485617771137 |
44 | 140.2 | 129.356003353480 | 121.0625 | 1.06850596471641 | 1.08383064075416 |
45 | 100.2 | 110.131211168232 | 120.425 | 0.914521163946287 | 0.90982382684359 |
46 | 125.7 | 119.341163411966 | 121.216666666667 | 0.984527678360778 | 1.05328284395958 |
47 | 119.6 | 125.081920411562 | 121.8375 | 1.02662907899097 | 0.956173359079195 |
48 | 134.7 | 148.251475303312 | 121.408333333333 | 1.22109801883434 | 0.908591295462072 |
49 | 109 | 117.734652769394 | 120.979166666667 | 0.97318121800085 | 0.925810689003323 |
50 | 116.3 | 114.634404214892 | 120.475 | 0.95152026739898 | 1.01452963267455 |
51 | 146.9 | 146.191112630453 | 120.520833333333 | 1.21299453867965 | 1.00484904558691 |
52 | 97.4 | 83.9481526839235 | 120.875 | 0.694503848470929 | 1.16023994437048 |
53 | 89.4 | 90.6918145531688 | 120.804166666667 | 0.75073415971995 | 0.985755996177456 |
54 | 132.1 | 137.775238230372 | 120.408333333333 | 1.144233413222 | 0.958807995520335 |
55 | 139.8 | NA | NA | 1.05755064965886 | NA |
56 | 129 | NA | NA | 1.06850596471641 | NA |
57 | 112.5 | NA | NA | 0.914521163946287 | NA |
58 | 121.9 | NA | NA | 0.984527678360778 | NA |
59 | 121.7 | NA | NA | 1.02662907899097 | NA |
60 | 123.1 | NA | NA | 1.22109801883434 | NA |