| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 7291 | 7291 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6820 | 7048.68374732168 | -13.2611654876782 | -134.840613763128 | -1.04355479152437 |
| 3 | 8031 | 7493.2675035627 | 18.1125206526509 | 390.700375434312 | 1.83592902788528 |
| 4 | 7862 | 7713.3285430945 | 28.8066505623735 | 68.1715974272099 | 0.950525852620733 |
| 5 | 7357 | 7594.1384048245 | 23.0798460388473 | -171.851574428151 | -0.745883741957134 |
| 6 | 7213 | 7412.84403148663 | 16.7059932940849 | -106.718099601164 | -1.05098366565339 |
| 7 | 7079 | 7240.41648145544 | 11.3340005639096 | -74.4966734139742 | -0.977067469653487 |
| 8 | 7012 | 7113.3552188407 | 7.46874033390386 | -37.6958479907924 | -0.714894154450486 |
| 9 | 7319 | 7177.85961179782 | 9.0861735775606 | 114.943370105103 | 0.294204356472167 |
| 10 | 8148 | 7600.43942908297 | 21.1005217792702 | 358.031949126491 | 2.12923293199540 |
| 11 | 7599 | 7671.12617667357 | 22.5774335036598 | -94.8064467202298 | 0.254901740865258 |
| 12 | 6908 | 7357.73687688811 | 12.3387736497183 | -296.377822956583 | -1.72426220584337 |
| 13 | 7878 | 7511.47076379166 | 8.51365443585555 | 298.787423021676 | 0.832768070543478 |
| 14 | 7407 | 7659.66986826513 | 11.8478622837356 | -311.032025944386 | 0.699422629064606 |
| 15 | 7911 | 7671.23381991822 | 11.8358006325896 | 239.871423136174 | -0.00130998792483277 |
| 16 | 7323 | 7480.77206248346 | 2.98974315981812 | -80.5380609496657 | -0.963915941973353 |
| 17 | 7179 | 7361.8263009821 | -1.85757745151146 | -133.962787909043 | -0.603078425928941 |
| 18 | 6758 | 7105.35278873495 | -10.9982549616414 | -242.668769655792 | -1.28167187919449 |
| 19 | 6934 | 7000.51920549942 | -14.1551460848484 | -27.5727771673630 | -0.475030151478542 |
| 20 | 6696 | 6900.20396845968 | -16.9797170770225 | -168.358073091576 | -0.436603798980192 |
| 21 | 7688 | 7226.20463333312 | -5.76111259305233 | 319.131913166534 | 1.73702942415039 |
| 22 | 8296 | 7567.81289072912 | 5.61695542044239 | 583.833963319458 | 1.75729814634966 |
| 23 | 7697 | 7675.53418368365 | 8.88622142500431 | -20.9276420111328 | 0.515692754377049 |
| 24 | 7907 | 7951.36122736723 | 16.5890703596405 | -155.288979436146 | 1.34838690870133 |
| 25 | 7592 | 7772.57548414772 | 12.6707867788182 | -97.8375403304805 | -1.01798928366606 |
| 26 | 7710 | 7835.49119968508 | 14.1875247848437 | -146.081391091229 | 0.252633678064310 |
| 27 | 9011 | 8181.05794110254 | 26.9001528930008 | 701.200628354453 | 1.59972023941562 |
| 28 | 8225 | 8249.2530573704 | 28.5902851500672 | -40.2075104902041 | 0.199606300425917 |
| 29 | 7733 | 8054.82381943693 | 19.5965575902860 | -234.012742509691 | -1.09639231246194 |
| 30 | 8062 | 8106.60709785116 | 20.8452406792173 | -57.4865055559469 | 0.160177160475840 |
| 31 | 7859 | 8035.27611757368 | 17.3915861949327 | -139.097928536477 | -0.461110355506568 |
| 32 | 8221 | 8256.76186993817 | 24.8676813862013 | -118.305601105174 | 1.02230583362258 |
| 33 | 8330 | 8277.2927306556 | 24.7110059426319 | 54.4618614152546 | -0.0217149244208512 |
| 34 | 8868 | 8326.53546653458 | 25.5848595513574 | 531.546701703102 | 0.122682031477188 |
| 35 | 9053 | 8685.63746222032 | 37.171791607188 | 232.674474867262 | 1.66557172067662 |
| 36 | 8811 | 8842.15008222786 | 41.1452234701889 | -79.3767022788319 | 0.596870614182408 |
| 37 | 8120 | 8678.04946115365 | 34.5785186295075 | -474.561646742321 | -1.03559255897059 |
| 38 | 7953 | 8507.43091243122 | 27.4212054571413 | -471.798870485392 | -1.02413989936943 |
| 39 | 8878 | 8350.25867090033 | 20.3902199643988 | 600.399169125844 | -0.904397560154914 |
| 40 | 8601 | 8403.53971757847 | 21.6954792645921 | 184.617684975162 | 0.160550046591718 |
| 41 | 8361 | 8495.0619505369 | 24.4795444720377 | -161.510287368506 | 0.343326489198481 |
| 42 | 9116 | 8780.55396953299 | 34.7536852443553 | 231.890559913401 | 1.29321068413719 |
| 43 | 9310 | 9143.92121014197 | 47.4699676462999 | 34.9561472212568 | 1.63466389998092 |
| 44 | 9891 | 9572.85591085473 | 62.0073688716162 | 165.615506638669 | 1.89931762784982 |
| 45 | 10147 | 9905.72686145218 | 72.1962862258242 | 132.977377450595 | 1.34762897451159 |
| 46 | 10317 | 10016.5463278163 | 73.6304710877073 | 285.028409639867 | 0.191897580410769 |
| 47 | 10682 | 10249.3866632831 | 79.4557132360774 | 369.091116909503 | 0.79040497743052 |
| 48 | 10276 | 10306.3307066582 | 78.64376581864 | -21.3410179580736 | -0.111945866857702 |
| 49 | 10614 | 10610.3893717011 | 86.7552629680137 | -86.669737637248 | 1.12474976872109 |
| 50 | 9413 | 10373.6871584919 | 74.7790798188108 | -831.620064995144 | -1.60719749047823 |
| 51 | 11068 | 10428.3985484495 | 74.0102312779966 | 647.526101810366 | -0.098833694891011 |
| 52 | 9772 | 10169.4964445531 | 60.9846697124375 | -266.778910394404 | -1.63410867673940 |
| 53 | 10350 | 10377.9536413692 | 66.789656224051 | -85.9859696808395 | 0.72612670344276 |
| 54 | 10541 | 10505.5211005663 | 69.173203966405 | 11.4373540106450 | 0.300654683936889 |
| 55 | 10049 | 10455.9827891787 | 64.5548874606687 | -359.844378799897 | -0.588897114626286 |
| 56 | 10714 | 10576.9591525814 | 66.7301718431311 | 114.606820234871 | 0.280032877243103 |
| 57 | 10759 | 10665.7921714602 | 67.574869844074 | 84.4237502583255 | 0.109597200580330 |
| 58 | 11684 | 11037.5198861176 | 79.1010212184423 | 525.751221186944 | 1.50623759587080 |
| 59 | 11462 | 11154.6418526747 | 80.5308555217278 | 292.276658363425 | 0.188225193229656 |
| 60 | 10485 | 10971.8113472497 | 70.6750543478657 | -382.248618588742 | -1.30565169501504 |
| 61 | 11056 | 10973.8618623255 | 68.102014984308 | 109.431398351198 | -0.340815452641316 |
| 62 | 10184 | 10996.6247365204 | 66.3824462910915 | -794.619894168715 | -0.224752029060345 |
| 63 | 11082 | 10748.3522028842 | 54.2780137671281 | 457.965437368703 | -1.55274557482400 |
| 64 | 10554 | 10796.1334940286 | 54.0255517929649 | -239.575872566221 | -0.0319850409632741 |
| 65 | 11315 | 11072.3299582138 | 62.6939124156583 | 155.152418865576 | 1.09528742526485 |
| 66 | 10847 | 11027.8431526588 | 58.5156672325497 | -138.498157362335 | -0.529881669715866 |
| 67 | 11104 | 11242.8850459460 | 64.5950269826568 | -200.879518152256 | 0.775309707590191 |
| 68 | 11026 | 11197.4670355012 | 60.3431224231802 | -127.859921089333 | -0.545048847437742 |
| 69 | 11073 | 11193.4673259277 | 57.8691224108759 | -94.97905511919 | -0.318490297321043 |
| 70 | 12073 | 11347.0728949041 | 61.532449989892 | 688.044019310976 | 0.473401533514601 |
| 71 | 12328 | 11610.5506981819 | 69.2300751248162 | 637.574131423662 | 0.998473944486447 |
| 72 | 11172 | 11632.8718016608 | 67.445216111687 | -442.303003545541 | -0.232186314431388 |
