Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 7291 | 7059.29644705479 | -7.25767760066159 | 7529.96123054587 | -231.703552945211 |
2 | 6820 | 6696.66384735216 | -570.637832963754 | 7513.97398561159 | -123.336152647837 |
3 | 8031 | 8105.03147578964 | 458.981783533054 | 7497.98674067731 | 74.0314757896385 |
4 | 7862 | 8435.13104666571 | -195.968593715191 | 7484.83754704948 | 573.131046665713 |
5 | 7357 | 7492.89734339120 | -250.585696812842 | 7471.68835342165 | 135.897343391195 |
6 | 7213 | 7214.78738789924 | -252.319662295809 | 7463.53227439657 | 1.78738789924228 |
7 | 7079 | 7030.67786101956 | -328.054056391047 | 7455.37619537149 | -48.3221389804385 |
8 | 7012 | 6742.17265033516 | -166.289313377718 | 7448.11666304256 | -269.827349664842 |
9 | 7319 | 7113.16766083437 | 83.9752084520012 | 7440.85713071363 | -205.832339165634 |
10 | 8148 | 8159.98045968218 | 709.386447579791 | 7426.63309273803 | 11.9804596821750 |
11 | 7599 | 7223.29285647857 | 562.298088758993 | 7412.40905476244 | -375.707143521428 |
12 | 6908 | 6458.21711773595 | -43.5284363031902 | 7401.31131856724 | -449.78288226405 |
13 | 7878 | 8373.04409522862 | -7.25767760066159 | 7390.21358237205 | 495.044095228615 |
14 | 7407 | 7997.56521094242 | -570.637832963754 | 7387.07262202133 | 590.565210942425 |
15 | 7911 | 7979.08655479633 | 458.981783533054 | 7383.93166167061 | 68.0865547963349 |
16 | 7323 | 7452.11018645392 | -195.968593715191 | 7389.85840726127 | 129.110186453924 |
17 | 7179 | 7212.80054396092 | -250.585696812842 | 7395.78515285192 | 33.8005439609205 |
18 | 6758 | 6358.8761589154 | -252.319662295809 | 7409.44350338041 | -399.123841084606 |
19 | 6934 | 6772.95220248214 | -328.054056391047 | 7423.1018539089 | -161.047797517861 |
20 | 6696 | 6097.03955801429 | -166.289313377718 | 7461.24975536343 | -598.960441985708 |
21 | 7688 | 7792.62713473006 | 83.9752084520012 | 7499.39765681794 | 104.627134730055 |
22 | 8296 | 8304.0990868898 | 709.386447579791 | 7578.5144655304 | 8.09908688980431 |
23 | 7697 | 7174.07063699814 | 562.298088758993 | 7657.63127424287 | -522.929363001859 |
24 | 7907 | 8102.55611753246 | -43.5284363031902 | 7754.97231877073 | 195.556117532463 |
25 | 7592 | 7338.94431430207 | -7.25767760066159 | 7852.31336329859 | -253.055685697926 |
26 | 7710 | 8047.68463225956 | -570.637832963754 | 7942.9532007042 | 337.684632259558 |
27 | 9011 | 9529.42517835714 | 458.981783533054 | 8033.5930381098 | 518.425178357144 |
28 | 8225 | 8537.96628309847 | -195.968593715191 | 8108.00231061673 | 312.966283098465 |
29 | 7733 | 7534.17411368919 | -250.585696812842 | 8182.41158312365 | -198.825886310809 |
30 | 8062 | 8139.84467825182 | -252.319662295809 | 8236.47498404399 | 77.8446782518222 |
31 | 7859 | 7755.51567142672 | -328.054056391047 | 8290.53838496432 | -103.484328573277 |
32 | 8221 | 8289.49810095547 | -166.289313377718 | 8318.79121242225 | 68.4981009554685 |
33 | 8330 | 8228.98075166783 | 83.9752084520012 | 8347.04403988017 | -101.019248332173 |
34 | 8868 | 8646.79343314828 | 709.386447579791 | 8379.82011927193 | -221.206566851719 |
35 | 9053 | 9131.10571257732 | 562.298088758993 | 8412.59619866368 | 78.1057125773223 |
36 | 8811 | 9174.79429792085 | -43.5284363031902 | 8490.73413838234 | 363.794297920847 |
37 | 8120 | 7678.38559949966 | -7.25767760066159 | 8568.872078101 | -441.614400500338 |
38 | 7953 | 7785.48808781948 | -570.637832963754 | 8691.14974514427 | -167.511912180518 |
39 | 8878 | 8483.5908042794 | 458.981783533054 | 8813.42741218754 | -394.409195720598 |
40 | 8601 | 8440.17387570904 | -195.968593715191 | 8957.79471800616 | -160.826124290965 |
41 | 8361 | 7870.42367298807 | -250.585696812842 | 9102.16202382477 | -490.576327011926 |
42 | 9116 | 9223.22662130505 | -252.319662295809 | 9261.09304099076 | 107.226621305053 |
43 | 9310 | 9528.0299982343 | -328.054056391047 | 9420.02405815674 | 218.029998234304 |
44 | 9891 | 10365.7798723614 | -166.289313377718 | 9582.50944101636 | 474.779872361356 |
45 | 10147 | 10465.0299676720 | 83.9752084520012 | 9744.99482387598 | 318.029967672017 |
46 | 10317 | 10043.0602326372 | 709.386447579791 | 9881.55331978296 | -273.939767362754 |
47 | 10682 | 10783.5900955511 | 562.298088758993 | 10018.1118156899 | 101.590095551064 |
48 | 10276 | 10477.9704812413 | -43.5284363031902 | 10117.5579550619 | 201.970481241326 |
49 | 10614 | 11018.2535831669 | -7.25767760066159 | 10217.0040944338 | 404.253583166874 |
50 | 9413 | 9104.94802843086 | -570.637832963754 | 10291.6898045329 | -308.051971569143 |
51 | 11068 | 11310.6427018349 | 458.981783533054 | 10366.375514632 | 242.642701834939 |
52 | 9772 | 9306.68853796056 | -195.968593715191 | 10433.2800557546 | -465.311462039441 |
53 | 10350 | 10450.4010999356 | -250.585696812842 | 10500.1845968773 | 100.401099935587 |
54 | 10541 | 10780.7116177449 | -252.319662295809 | 10553.6080445509 | 239.711617744946 |
55 | 10049 | 9819.02256416658 | -328.054056391047 | 10607.0314922245 | -229.977435833422 |
56 | 10714 | 10944.7419608983 | -166.289313377718 | 10649.5473524795 | 230.741960898253 |
57 | 10759 | 10741.9615788135 | 83.9752084520012 | 10692.0632127345 | -17.0384211864603 |
58 | 11684 | 11921.6836236201 | 709.386447579791 | 10736.9299288001 | 237.683623620147 |
59 | 11462 | 11579.9052663753 | 562.298088758993 | 10781.7966448657 | 117.905266375341 |
60 | 10485 | 10183.4445146541 | -43.5284363031902 | 10830.0839216491 | -301.5554853459 |
61 | 11056 | 11240.8864791681 | -7.25767760066159 | 10878.3711984325 | 184.886479168146 |
62 | 10184 | 10015.0372183325 | -570.637832963754 | 10923.6006146312 | -168.962781667469 |
63 | 11082 | 10736.1881856370 | 458.981783533054 | 10968.8300308299 | -345.811814362985 |
64 | 10554 | 10282.7420467196 | -195.968593715191 | 11021.2265469955 | -271.257953280356 |
65 | 11315 | 11806.9626336517 | -250.585696812842 | 11073.6230631612 | 491.962633651679 |
66 | 10847 | 10818.7747548058 | -252.319662295809 | 11127.5449074900 | -28.2252451941567 |
67 | 11104 | 11354.5873045723 | -328.054056391047 | 11181.4667518188 | 250.587304572276 |
68 | 11026 | 10981.4504380764 | -166.289313377718 | 11236.8388753013 | -44.5495619236026 |
69 | 11073 | 10769.8137927641 | 83.9752084520012 | 11292.2109987839 | -303.186207235871 |
70 | 12073 | 12088.7774133873 | 709.386447579791 | 11347.8361390329 | 15.7774133872699 |
71 | 12328 | 12690.240631959 | 562.298088758993 | 11403.461279282 | 362.240631958999 |
72 | 11172 | 10928.3463560868 | -43.5284363031902 | 11459.1820802164 | -243.653643913167 |